Previews + Reviews
Round 1 Preview
Round 1
We're here in Week 15. Two teams have a bye (Addicts/Wolves) while the (#3) Dominators play the (#6) Losers and the (#4) Remix face the (#5) Marauders. 3 new teams enter the playoff fray this year (Doms, Marauders, Losers) while 3 from last year's crop (Cheetahs, Crew, WFT) did not earn a bid this time. There will be no 3-peat but hats off to the Cheetahs for a phenomenal run these last two seasons. There are 4 previous champions in the mix and two potential first-timers.
Let's meet all 6 playoff teams and then we'll look at the two key matchups for the weekend.
Ghetto Krackaddicts
Record: 10-4 (1st)
Week 15: Bye
Context: '06 Champs, 8th playoff appearance (4th consecutive), 6th division title
The Path: Fueled by QB, strong running game and solid receiving group. Comfortably locked up NLS division with 3 weeks to spare. 10-2 start with only 3 games below 100 points. Lost last 2 games.
Team MVP: Josh Allen (21.1 ppg)
Dire Wolves
Record: 9-5 (2nd)
Week 15: Bye
Context: '18 Champs, 7th playoff appearance (3rd consecutive), 4th division title
The Path: Driven by Bengals trio and leaned into it as season progressed. Well-rounded with #1WR and #2RB. 0-2 start, 7 game win streak, 2-2 down stretch but won in Wks. 13/14 to clinch division. Dangerous.
Team MVP: Ja'Marr Chase (20.3 ppg)
Dolla Dominators
Record: 9-5 (3rd)
Week 15: vs. Losers
Context: 5th playoff appearance (first since '21), 3rd division title
The Path: Excellent team balance. Two top-5 RBs and top TE. WRs hit or miss w/ high ceilings. Shook off 1-3 start and closed 8-2. Carry 4-game win streak into postseason. Hot at the right time.
Team MVP: Bijan Robinson (15.7 ppg)
Remix OG
Record: 9-5 (4th)
Week 15: vs. Marauders
Context: '16 Champs, 6th playoff appearance (2nd consecutive)
The Path: Massive win streak (7 games) showed contender chops. 4 games over 130 pts. 4 below 85. Hard to predict. Need more from Mahomes. Stud RB and two top-6 WRs. Supplemental players determine fate.
Team MVP: Kyren Williams (13.9 ppg)
Mitchell's Marauders
Record: 8-6 (5th)
Week 15: vs. Remix
Context: 3x Champs ('13,'14,'20), 7th playoff appearance (first since '20)
The Path: Top scoring team but lost too many close ones. Team strength notable (10 top-15 players) but supplemental starts have backfired. 5-game win streak ensured contention. Lamar must carry to victory.
Team MVP: Lamar Jackson (23.3 ppg)
Ledford's Losers
Record: 8-6 (6th)
Week 15: vs. Dominators
Context: 4th playoff appearance (first since '22)
The Path: Strong at RB but suspect team depth. Shored up WR room (Ladd/Waddle) but injuries have hampered. Need big games from Hurts and Harrison to push for title. Tough path through Wild Card, but have a fighting chance.
Team MVP: Joe Mixon (18.6 ppg)
Matchups
Dominators vs. Losers
Previous Meeting: 103-67.5 / Dominators (Wk. 12) - Gibbs went for 19 and the Texans D plugged in for 15 to lead the Doms in an unremarkable but easy win over the Losers, who were led by Hurts' 13.5 but let down by their run game. Ledford took a Fumble. On the flip side, in their Week 3 matchup, the Losers beat Dolla by almost the exact same score (flipped). Here comes the division grudge match.
This Time: Most of the action won't start in this one until the 4pm games. Mixon (Losers) is of course one to watch during the 1pm window. The Losers will count on Waddle to have one of his good games to win the flex battle while the Texans D is on the other side of the ball for Dolla. The Bijan projections indicate a big game is ahead, but that won't happen until Monday night. Jordan Love will likely underachieve this week. The rushing matchup is a great one here, but the receivers will decide the outcome. Can DeVonta show up for Ledford? Will either Zay/JSN have a peak week for DD? This one will come down to Bijan/Bowers on Monday night, but the Doms will take it.
All-Time H2H: 8-7, Losers
Experts Pick: Dominators by 10
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 12
LM Pick: Dominators by 15
Remix vs. Marauders
Previous Meeting: 101-95.5 / Remix (Wk. 3) - Kyren Williams charged ahead for 24, and while the Marauders took back the lead on Lamar's 23.5, the finish was decided on Monday by Terry McLaurin. Terry caught a late TD pass to complete the flip and deliver a key early win for the OGs. Both teams left key performances behind on the bench.
This Time: Kyren got the Remix on the board Thursday (13.5), but the Jacobs/Brown duo will give the Marauders a 10-point position cushion. Watch for Garrett Wilson and Scary Terry to have solid days to keep this one tight. Mahomes needs to match Lamar to give the OGs the winning edge. The Ravens D should feast. Can Gus Edwards be the difference-maker? For Mitchell, Amon-Ra and Tyreek have tough defensive matchups, so one of them must exceed projections. Kittle only posted 8 on Thursday. The Chargers D is a dice roll. DJ Moore will decide who advances on Monday night, which is a bad omen for MIM.
All-Time H2H: 10-8, Remix
Experts Pick: Marauders by 16
ESPN Pick: Marauders by 12
LM Pick: Remix by 2
For everyone in the consolation bracket, your results matter. Don't finish 0-3. Winning this week takes the magnet off your Christmas list. For Wes and Corey, enjoy the week off. Good luck, LOC!
Week 14 Review
Closing Statements
Week 14 is officially in the books. And thus...the regular season. Division winners and playoff order? Official.
Regardless of final records and feelings of made it/missed it, the story of Week 14 was full of statements.
Let's review the key moments from a big divisional week before we turn our attention to the postseason.
Pros & Cons
Josh Allen posted 51 for the 10-win Addicts! 4th-highest individual score ever. They still lost to the Crew in a shootout.
The Marauders earned their first points title! They still lost to the Wolves via a last-minute Burrow/Chase TD connection.
The Cheetahs crushed their division rival Losers, the Football Team stomped the Threat, and the Crew had a statement win this week (with their second 150+ game this year). Yet none of these playoff alums made the postseason.
The Remix turned the corner and pasted the woeful Crushers to get to 9 wins and enter the playoffs facing forward. They'll now have to carve a 3-game path through the Wild Card. The Dominators made hay with only 9 starters this week, finding their groove at the right time. That came at the expense of the Bruisers, whose 2-game turnaround was foiled by their worst week of the season.
Moments
When the division is on the line at season's end, you hope to bring your best to the table. In a solid back-and-forth battle, the Marauders appeared to have the WS division title locked up with only a minute to play on Monday night. Following a blocked punt-turned-first-down, Burrow connected with Ja'Marr Chase (37 on the night) for a 40-yard TD that delivered the Wolves a #2 seed and a Week 15 bye. An epic moment for sure.
The Addicts posted a season-high 148 points, none bigger than the 51 from Allen. The Crew were not to be denied, getting 35 from Charbonnet, 29.5 from Jefferson, and 21 more from Davante. This NLS matchup had no stakes, but all of the drama of a win-and-in. Kudos to 4:20 for closing strong.
The James-led Cheetahs have won two titles in a row and (like the Crew) tend to qualify for most postseasons. Injuries and bad timing cost them the chance for a 3-peat, but spanking their division mate Losers by nearly 2-1 certainly was a statement to close the season. Can't ever count out the champs.
Jordan Addison's 32 and a host of double-digit outings made for an impressive week from the Football Team. Their record playoff qualification streak finally draws to a close, but they pulled everything together for their best scoring week (by 24 points!) of the season.
Since a Week 3 dud, the Dominators have been over 100 every week. Their second-highest scoring effort of the year was fueled by balance and a timely snag of the Niners D (20) and Guerendo (21.5). They nabbed the Rest title in the process.
No McLaurin, no problem for the Remix. Everyone contributed to the cause (led by Jennings' 20.5). Quietly, the Remix are plodding toward a title run.
In Closing
This was the kind of week where many teams brought big games to the fantasy field. Statements were made and not much was left behind. Be proud of what you accomplished, even if it didn't go your way that often. You showed up and showed out and made this another competitive season. Don't unplug just yet. Whether you're chasing the title or avoiding the magnet, there's definitely work still to be done. The final ruling on our Season 19 champion is just 3 short weeks away.
Final Playoff Seeding
1. Addicts (NLS Champ - Wk 15 Bye)
2. Wolves (WS Champ - Wk 15 Bye)
3. Dominators (Rest Champ)
4. Remix (WC - NLS)
5. Marauders (WC - WS)
6. Losers (WC - Rest)
Points Champion
Mitchell's Marauders
1658 Points
Owner of the Week
THE 4:20 Crew
155 Points
Power Player
Ghetto Krackaddicts
Josh Allen - 51 Points
Fantasy Fumble
Ledford's Losers
76.5 Points
Week 14 Preview
Week 14
Here we are at the last stop for the regular season. Our second divisional week is here and the final W/L tallies will be determined. Division winners will be sorted. A team will secure a #2 seed and a bye week. The playoffs are waiting at the next station.
We'll cover the 6 playoff teams in detail this coming week. In the short term, everyone puts their best foot forward and closes out Season 19 on a good note. Ideally. It would be fun if there was more drama in the actual outcomes, but they still have weight.
The Commish is working all weekend, so the preview is basically non-existent. Questions to be answered today/tomorrow...
Who gets the other bye week? Who wins the Rest (Dominators or Losers)? Who wins the WS (Wolves or Marauders)? Can the Cheetahs and Crew--perennial contenders--get to .500 in the absence of a playoff berth? Can the Marauders match a franchise-best 6-game winning streak? Can the Threat end their 5-game slide? Will the Bruisers earn their 3rd scoring title? Can teams like the Remix and Losers enter the playoffs with momentum instead of backing in? Will the 10-win Addicts even watch football the next two weeks while they wait on the semifinals? Are the Crushers showing up today? Can the Football Team close the year with a win as their consecutive playoff streak comes to an end?
Let's see how it shakes out. Meet you back here soon for a full recap and plenty of playoff hype. Happy Holidays!
Week 13 Review
Determination
It drives success...or so say they say. This week's matchups were a hard-fought series that showed plenty of drive and an equal measure of determination.
In the end, all 4 remaining playoff spots were determined. The usual drama of a Week 14 divisional slate will be confined to sorting division winners and wild cards this year. If this was indeed the big moment for our 19th regular season, the record shows that most teams left it all on the field. Every game was fairly close, and all were solid fights.
Congrats to the Wolves, Marauders, Dominators, and Losers for punching their tickets to the postseason. Conversely, gutsy efforts from the Cheetahs, Football Team, and Crew will not result in a playoff trip this time around.
The Bruisers were certainly determined to pull off the upset against the top-ranked Addicts (who were on a 6-game tear). They accomplished the feat with room to spare, tying the Wolves for a share of the Owner of the Week. A (finally) healthy roster couldn't get the Threat back in the winner's circle. The Crushers had a chance to keep the door open for 6-win teams, but Bo Nix came up shy in the end. The Remix didn't need a win for their playoff chances but will find their place among the Wild Cards after a loss to the late-surging Cheetahs.
We've got a lot more to cover in the next week in terms of playoff positioning and precedent for this year's group eyeing Titletown. In the meantime, we'll close the curtain on a decidedly deterministic Week 13.
Owner of the Week
Dire Wolves
124 Points
Owner of the Week
Benny's Bruisers
124 Points
Power Player
Benny's Bruisers
Bucky Irving - 25.5 Pts
Fantasy Fumble
Threat Level Midnight
88 Points
Week 13 Preview
Week 13
Hope you're all enjoying the long weekend. The penultimate matchups for the '24 regular season are already well underway! Playoff positioning and elimination games loom large. The WS has division battles and the NLS face the Rest.
For the WS, that means division games in back-to-back weeks to close out the season. Across the board, we (technically) don't have a single division winner determined yet, though the Addicts can officially lock that up along with a bye week...with a win or a Remix loss this week. Neither the Rest or WS divisions will be decided until next week.
Let's tackle the matchups and what's at stake...
(ESPN projections are current and reflect Thurs/Fri action)
Crew vs. Dominators
Implications: Crew would need help next week to acquire playoff spot if they lose. Dominators clinch a spot with win.
Expectations: With a big start from Bowers (25) and Love (18), projections have shifted toward the Doms. Zay Flowers will have to perform this week to keep it that way. Expect a solid day from Bijan and sparks from Njigba. For the Crew, Kyler will need to have a 20+ point day. Jefferson is due for a great game. Can Kamara carry the weekend for 4:20? It will be close!
Projections:
H2H: 11-7, Crew
ESPN: Dolla by 8.5
Experts: Crew by 8
LM: Crew by 2
Remix vs. Cheetahs
Implications: Cheetahs are eliminated with loss. Remix move up to minimum #3 seed with win.
Expectations: A shootout with New Orleans would serve the Cheetahs' receivers well, and CMC needs to show up in style today. Engram may prove a clutch play. Run game got things started, but Jayden and the Hawks D will determine fate. Remix need Kyren to exceed expectations. Garrett and McLaurin should contribute well. Can Edwards carry the load? Is the Bengals D set for a big day?
Projections:
H2H: 12-3, Cheetahs
ESPN: Cheetahs by 10
Experts: Cheetahs by 14
LM: Cheetahs by 4
Football Team vs. Wolves
Implications: Football Team are eliminated with loss or low-scoring win. Wolves clinch at least WC with win.
Expectations: The trio of Dowdle, Kelce and the Cowboys D got the Football Team in a much better spot entering Sunday. Baker needs to bake today. Expect great games from Nico and AJ to keep this one close. The Wolves would love to re-affirm their Bengals-themed highlight potential, and the numbers should be good (if not great) for Burrow/Chase/Higgins. The run game will determine outcome. Can Chubb go for a dozen or more?
Projections:
H2H: 11-7, Wolves
ESPN: WFT by 12.5
Experts: WFT by 16
LM: WFT by 5
Addicts vs. Bruisers
Implications: Addicts lock up first round bye with win. Bruisers playing for pride and scoring lead.
Expectations: This should be a hard-fought game. The Addicts bring in a good effort from Achane (14.5) and Pollard/Conner should land around that same area. Josh Allen needs to reach 18 points and Pickens will have to ball out. Otherwise, the Barkley/Bucky Express will make the winning difference for the Bruisers. Stroud should excel. Can Sutton keep it going? Goes to the wire.
Projections:
H2H: 17-14, Addicts
ESPN: Bruisers by .5
Experts: Bruisers by 6
LM: Bruisers by 2
Threat vs. Marauders
Implications: Marauders clinch playoff spot with win and division if Wolves lose and they win. Threat looking for the sweep.
Expectations: The Marauders have never beaten the Threat, though this looks like the best chance for it. Hill/St. Brown were serviceable Thursday and Jacobs added 17. Lamar should bounce back, and final outcome will be contingent on Chase Brown and the Colts D. The Threat didn't get much over the holiday, and with half the roster already on the board, they will need massive days from Darnold and Evans to have a shot.
Projections:
H2H: 7-0, Threat
ESPN: Marauders by 43
Experts: Marauders by 8
LM: Marauders by 15
Crushers vs. Losers
Implications: Losers clinch playoff spot with win. Crushers looking to play spoiler again.
Expectations: A strong day from Jonnu (18) and Hopkins 11 will help the Crushers cause, while their run game should shore up the points floor. A decent day from Nix and the Breece flex will make the winning difference. The Losers still control their own fate, but need Taylor and Mixon to combine for 30+. Hurts will need to exploit the Ravens and McConkey will have to shine for this one to be won.
Projections:
H2H: 11-9, Losers
ESPN: Crushers by 5
Experts: Crushers by 24
LM: Crushers by 8
Week 12 Review
Home Stretch
12 weeks up. 12 weeks down. We're only 2 games away from the postseason, and the picture is getting clearer by the day.
The Remix were the high performers of the week, nearly reaching 150 in their playoff-clinching win over the Football Team. Two teams are now in the dance from the NLS. The other being the 10-2 Krackaddicts, who always seem to find a way to the winner's circle (6 straight wins!). Ghetto is close to locking up a Wk. 15 bye as well.
The Marauders and Dominators just extended their late runs of success by climbing to 7-5. Both now hold tiebreak leads in the WS and Rest divisions respectively. That's 4 straight wins for the Marauders, and the Doms just clipped the Losers in pursuit of the postseason.
In perhaps the biggest story of the weekend, both the Bruisers and Crushers put a firm stop to their 8-game losing streaks. For the Bruisers, it was Saquon's ridiculous 49-point effort that ensured the losing would not continue. That's an individual scoring record for Ben. The Crushers donned the spoiler cap, comfortably sending the Threat into elimination.
We'll go over the updated playoff picture in depth shortly. First, let's hand out those awards and review the Wk 12 matchups.
Owner of the Week
Remix OG
148 Points
Power Player
Benny's Bruisers
S. Barkley - 49 Points
Fantasy Fumble
Ledford's Losers
67.5 Points
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Matchups
Wolves vs. Addicts
As projected, the Addicts handled their business here and earned a comfortable win over the Wolves. Given the bye week blues for Dire, this one played out according to the script. Tony Pollard's 20 was the top total, with Dicker and Hockenson both posting 16.5 in support. Henry's 16 and Chubb's 14 was the best of the Wolves' weekend, as fill-ins failed to deliver at the receiver spots.
Losers vs. Dominators
The Dominators took advantage of a down week for the Losers, cruising to a comfortable win and evening the division race. Even without Bijan and Brian Thomas, the Dolla efficiency proved enough, with Gibbs reaching 19 and Njigba added 14.5 more. The Texans D was strong with 15. For Ledford, a letdown week was complicated by the absence of DeVonta, with the running game trio combining for only 11.5 points.
Crew vs. Marauders
Not the game of the week that projections suggested, but the Marauders still had to wait til Monday to earn their share of the WS lead. Josh Jacobs scored three times (24.5), DJ Moore flexed for 23, and Lamar was steady with 20.5. The Crew looked less like the team they've been, falling to 6-6 with Kamara and Adams on bye. The Bucs D (14) was the best it got, with rough outings from Kyler and JJ hurting the cause.
Cheetahs vs. Bruisers
The Cheetahs were favored entering this one, but it was Saquon and the Bruisers who charged forward for the win in this Rest battle. They posted a season-high in points and got a record 49 from Barkley. Sutton and Irving paired for 21.5 apiece to bolster this long-awaited win. Conover got a big game from Daniels (27.5) and the Rams WR combo compiled 32, but the run game was quiet and the title defense is in jeopardy.
Remix vs. Football Team
Projections are only as good as their accuracy. The Remix did not falter here...instead lighting up the scoreboard for 148 pts and locking up a playoff ticket. 20+ point games from Mahomes, McBride, McLaurin, and (Mc)Lutz the kicker ensured there would be no contest. The Football Team looked stronger than in recent weeks, yielding the output of AJ (19.5) and Nico (15.5) and Baker's efficiency to give them hope despite the grim postseason outlook.
Crushers vs. Threat
Long losing streaks are brutal to live through, but the Crushers survived theirs and rose up to send the Threat into the consolation void. Aaron Jones's 20.5 was the team high, with 17.5 from Bo Nix and 17 from Jonnu adding to the totals. Tua (28) did not start despite the Commish's recommendation. The Threat have spiraled in recent weeks, and even with Evans back (9), the points just weren't there. Darnold's 20 was a bright spot amid a turbulent tumble.
Week 12 Preview
Dirty Dozen
An important Week 12 is taking shape as we enter Sunday. The NLS faces the WS and the Rest squares off in division battles. The Wolves, Losers, and Remix all have the possibility of clinching a playoff spot with the right combinations of wins/losses elsewhere while teams like the Threat are fighting to save their season.
For others, it's a clamor for positioning. The Crew and Marauders are in the thick of the race, but their head-to-head matchup will split the momentum. The Dominators will hope to erase the Losers' one game Rest lead. The Football Team have a chance to clip the Remix and turn their own fortunes around. The Cheetahs can boost their title defense hopes with a win to get to .500. Lastly, the Crushers and Bruisers will both look to damage the playoff fortunes of their opponents while putting an end to ugly 8-game losing streaks.
No matter which side of the fence you're on, the scrum for a higher spot in the heap is likely to leave some in the dust. And with all of the bye weeks in force, it may get a bit dirty. The proficiency with which you've adjusted for team depth will be put to the test very soon. Good luck.
Wolves vs. Addicts
A face-off between the top 2 teams by record, this one heavily favors the Addicts. No Bengals firepower for the Wolves this week, while Allen and Cooper rest for the Addicts. Expect a closer game than the projections but the same outcome.
H2H: 10-6, Wolves
Experts: Addicts by 31
ESPN: Addicts by 29
LM: Addicts by 15
Losers vs. Dominators
This critical Rest battle features two teams that seem playoff-bound but are fighting for a division ticket. For Dolla, Jordan Love's effort against SF will tell the tale. The Losers are counting on rushing production to accumulate in their favor.
H2H: 8-6, Losers
Experts: Losers by 9
ESPN: Losers by 3
LM: Doms by 5
Crew vs. Marauders
This one could be the game of the week, with both teams coming in hot. One will fall in a shootout. For the Crew, keeping pace in the NLS will require big days from Ridley and Ekeler, while the Marauders need Tyreek V1 and more from DJ Moore.
H2H: 17-10, Crew
Experts: Crew by 3
ESPN: Marauders by 2
LM: Crew by 2
Cheetahs vs. Bruisers
These two have had some great battles over the years. Has the potential to be a trap game for the favored Cheetahs. The high-ceiling Bruisers should see strong efforts from the Broncos D and run game, while the Cheetahs will ride Rams WRs and CMC to the finish line.
H2H: 12-12, Tied
Experts: Cheetahs by 13
ESPN: Cheetahs by 7
LM: Cheetahs by 3
Remix vs. Football Team
Two teams looking to bounce back from losses last week and improve their playoff outlook. Expect the Remix (minus Wilson) to come in a little low here, while the Football Team take an AJ/Nico receiving combo to the win column.
H2H: 7-6, Remix
Experts: Football Team by 11
ESPN: Football Team by 4
LM: Football Team by 10
Crushers vs. Threat
In what should be hard-fought affair, the Threat will attempt to save their season against the desperate Crushers. The QB battle looms large here, but if either team's receiving corps can come to life as a unit, that will be the winning edge.
H2H: 3-2, Threat
Experts: Threat by 2
ESPN: Threat by 6
LM: Crushers by 5
Week 11 Review
Eleven On The Edge
Queue up the Aerosmith! Actually, don't.
That's it for Week 11. Some big performances this week...and some absolute bombs. Or to expand on the pop culture callback, some teams got back in the saddle and others saw the same old song and dance.
Apologies for that. More importantly, we only have 3 games left before the playoffs!!
For most teams, that has us on the edge of our seats, on the edge of contention, on the edge of a big streak to close strong, or on the edge of defeat and elimination.
How did all of that edginess play out? In a way that makes things much clearer moving forward.
Congrats to the Krackaddicts on being the first team to mathematically clinch a playoff spot. At 9-2, they rode an ugly win this week to ensure a spot in the second season. Regardless of the score, they've won 5 straight games and are lining up for a title run.
For the Crew, snagging an important division win gets them to 6-5 and keeps them in the chase for a Wild Card. They led the league in Week 11 with strong individual/team performance.
The Losers are holding steady atop the Rest division at 7-4 after another win. They'll need to fend off the Dominators, who are only a game back and just upset the Wolves.
The Marauders and Cheetahs are edging toward playoff spots, as both have now won 3 in a row to stave off elimination and stay in the mix.
On the other side of things, the Bruisers became the second team to be eliminated from the hunt. They (and the Crushers) are nursing 8-game losing streaks that have drained hope from the equation.
The Wolves' massive 7-game winning streak finally came to an end, though they remain out front in the WS division. The Remix have now lost 2 straight after their 7-game tear. The Threat must now win out to avoid elimination (and will need some help).
From here, it appears an 8-6 record is the safest path to the postseason. 7-7 will be risky, given the separation in the standings. For the 9 teams still chasing a postseason bid, the path to a championship lies just up ahead...around the corner's edge. As the LOC enters the home stretch, that path will become increasingly clear, perhaps culminating in a decisive Week 14 divisional slate that looms up ahead.
Let's get to awards and a review of the matchups.
Owner of the Week
THE 4:20 Crew
141.5 Points
Power Player
THE 4:20 Crew
Jared Goff - 40 Points
Fantasy Fumble
Walkertown FT
54 Points
Matchups
Game of the Week
Cheetahs vs. Threat
Cheetahs vs. Threat
Sure, both teams have losing records currently, but this battle involved a Monday night finish and plenty of points for two teams fighting to get into the playoff mix. In the end, the Cheetahs emerged victorious and left the Threat in a dire situation.
A midweek trade brought Puka Nacua into the mix, and between the Niners and Rams, it was a strong showing for the Cheetahs. Just about everyone showed up. Kupp and Nacua combined for 48 points, while Montgomery paced the rushing attack with 19. Things are looking up for Conover.
The Threat entered Monday night needing 24 points to close the gap, but a Ferguson injury inhibited the chances. CeeDee still managed 14, while a smart waiver snag of Watson netted 19.5. The leader in the clubhouse? Boswell, who kicked up a team-high 25 points.
Crew vs. Crushers
It's been up and down for the Crew, but they claimed a needed NLS win and got an Owner of the Week for topping the league. The Crushers took another consecutive loss (and a head blow), despite some solid performances overall.
4:20's oversight on IR cost them 1.5 points, but they still crested 140 behind the work of Jared Goff (40!) and an unexpected boon from Taysom Hill (36.5). There were a few 10's and 11's elsewhere, but big production from those two drove an important win.
Cliff had another rough weekend, though Bo Nix's 30.5 was a damn good play. Breece Hall added 23 to the count, but a series of 4-point efforts from Deebo, DeAndre, Jones and Bass kept a good scoring outing from being a great one.
Dominators vs. Wolves
The Wolves came in with all of the momentum, but it was the cagey Dominators that got out in front and never looked back. While the Wolves maintain their WS lead despite the L, the Doms continue to keep pace behind the Losers with this win.
Brock Bowers is the #1 TE, and his 25 points were a key component of the Dominators success in Week 11. The Texans D cashed in 17 on a wise spot start, while Love and Gibbs both reached 16. The run game remains a high-floor unit for this team as they angle for the playoffs.
Things had been nearly perfect, but last week's big hurrah was encored by a dud for the Wolves. Burrow was brilliant again in defeat (28.5) and Chase added a sturdy 19, but there was no 90+ combo this time. The Chiefs D (-1) and a lack of rushing hurt the cause.
Marauders vs. Bruisers
It was do or die for the Bruisers, and they certainly brought the effort. Serviceable scoring once again, but the Marauders got the better of this one and advanced their own playoff hopes. That makes 6 out of the last 7 games with 120+ for MIM.
The Marauders are lighter at WR post-trade, but they added Josh Jacobs and he delivered 19 in his debut. The best of a good week was from Amon-Ra, who delivered a season-high 31.5 to pace the win. The rushing trio was strong...only the kicker failed to show (2).
Credit Ben for making the most of it, but the patchwork fill-ins and bye weeks lowered the ceiling. To be fair, Jameson was a great waiver cull, adding 23 in the flex, and the Broncos D was strong with 17. Russell (2) and Waddle (4.5) not so much. Saquon's 30.5 was yet another impressive showing.
Losers vs. Football Team
Both teams entered as playoff ticket holders, but the Losers ascended to an easy victory and pushed WFT to the outside looking in. For the 5th time in the last 6 weeks, LL came out on the winning side to maintain their Rest lead.
RB5 Joe Mixon continues to elevate, posting a blistering 30.5 on Monday to cushion the big win. Ladd added 17.5 in the flex and the Lions D offered 17. The receiving stats were otherwise dismal, but it didn't slow the roll here (even with Harrison out).
The Football Team could not find their feet, as Baker/Hubbard were both on bye and no one else stepped up to make the difference. Shakir's 11 was the team high. Fairbairn's 10 was the only other 10+ effort. Cousins (1) and the Falcons (-5) failed to show at all.
Addicts vs. Remix
The matchup between the teams with the league's best records turned into a stinkfest. Regardless, someone had to win it, and the Addicts laid claim to that position. For the Remix, a "Lose 2/Win 7/Lose 2" sandwich was wrapped up here.
It's rare to post 83 and win by 20, but the Addicts managed it in this one. Allen's 21.5 proved to be the team best (and critically so). Achane added 16 and Pickens another dozen. Otherwise it was a survival quest that allowed Ghetto to get past the Conner bye and lock up a playoff spot.
No Rachaad/McBride this time, and the Remix had trouble finding the momentum of recent times. Jennings was a great flex call with 18 and Mahomes added 13, but the rest of the slate saw no double-digit posts (and a -3 from the Browns).
Week 11 Preview
Week 11
The clock is ticking down on the regular season, and every matchup this week carries playoff implications. One team faces elimination, one can be the first to clinch. None are more pronounced than the consequential NLS battle between the Addicts and Remix, but there is plenty of intrigue up and down the slate.
The Crew are looking up at both of those teams and need to clip the Crushers to stay in the race for the division crown.
There are important face-offs between the Rest and WS. A big matchup looms between the 7-3 Wolves and the 5-5 Dominators, both looking to hold/gain ground in their respective division races. Likewise, the 6-4 Losers face the 5-5 Football Team in a matchup both teams need.
In must-win territory, the fight for survival has the Bruisers seeking to end their losing streak (against the .500 Marauders) before it ties a franchise record. Neither the Threat nor Cheetahs can statistically afford a loss, and they'll square off to improve their postseason odds.
Let's look at a few players to watch and pick some winners. Note: The ESPN projections do include Thursday's results.
Addicts vs. Remix
Players
Addicts: All signs point to a comfortable win. Metcalf is back and will anchor the receiving game. Pickens will underachieve this week. No Conner but run game will hold up. Allen is key to the margin of victory.
Remix: Still a TE short of a full 10 and projections are unkind. Watch for a big game from Garrett Wilson. Mattison should outperform expectations. Browns D a smart start. Can Mahomes carry the team?
Projections
H2H: 9-8, Addicts
ESPN: Addicts by 15
Experts: Addicts by 18
LM: Addicts by 10
Wolves vs. Dominators
Players
Wolves: Bringing all the momentum into this, can Joe and Jamarr keep the magic going? Chubb should find his feet in this one, though Henry will face tough sledding. Andrews could have a dozen or more.
Dominators: Outcome heavily dependent on WR pair. Gibbs will excel. Jordan Love will be good for 20. Bowers and Brian Thomas must show up for a win to happen. Like the Texans D against Dallas.
Projections
H2H: 12-9, Wolves
ESPN: Dolla by 2
Experts: Wolves by 9
LM: Dolla by 4
Losers vs. Football Team
Players
Losers: Hurts was decent Thursday, DeVonta not so much. McConkey will get into the end zone. Can Bateman hold up? Mixon and Taylor should beat projections. No Harrison this week. Narrow win.
WFT: Cousins is due for a bounce-back. Rico should be okay, but Cam Akers is a dice-roll. Shakir should at least match Brown's 9. Nico's return makes this one really close, but only a win if the Falcons rise up.
Projections
H2H: 7-5, Losers
ESPN: Losers by 9
Experts: WFT by 2
LM: Losers by 3
Cheetahs vs. Threat
Players
Cheetahs: Rams combo (post-trade) should offer at least one 15+ score. CMC will reach 20. Purdy may come in below projections, but Montgomery will exceed them. Rams D is a solid stream. Win inbound.
Threat: With no projected chance to win, TLM will need a vintage A-Rodge game to hang. Swift and Harris will be find this week. Can Watson or Worthy go for 15+? A desperation heave. Lamb misses Dak.
Projections
H2H: 2-2, Tied
ESPN: Cheetahs by 26
Experts: Cheetahs by 29
LM: Cheetahs by 20
Crew vs. Crushers
Players
Crew: Dangerous run game is set to win the tilt (though close). Jefferson and Adams both bounce back. Walker won't do so well. Pack D should feast, Taysom likely to get a TD. Enough to win if Goff plays decent.
Crushers: Nice Washington start on Thursday. It feels like things are coming together too late. Breece and Aaron Jones will both have great days. Deebo due for a big one. Kittle and Bo Nix are the questions here.
Projections
H2H: 17-13, Crew
ESPN: Tie
Experts: Crew by 14
LM: Crew by 4
Marauders vs. Bruisers
Players
Marauders: Lamar may have one of his weaker games. Either Dobbins or Chase will go off, but not both (teams play each other). Tyreek due for a 100+. Montgomery joins the fun, Niners D rolls. Close one.
Bruisers: Saquon single-handedly raised the stakes. DP helped though. JaMo and Etienne may disappoint. No Nabers/Irving. Russell should get to 15, and the Broncos D will determine the Bruisers fate here.
Projections
H2H: 15-11, Bruisers
ESPN: Bruisers by 2
Experts: Marauders by 11
LM: Bruisers by 5
Week 10 Review
Ten Sent in
That's a wrap for Week 10!
For the first time since early in the year, we have defined leaders in every division. Some of the win/lose streaks of recent weeks have ended (though there are 4 carrying on). The battle for playoff positioning is officially here. 3 teams are ahead of the rest, with a pack of 8 fighting to catch up (sorry, Crushers). Only 4 weeks remain in the regular season, and we'll examine where every team stands in the race as we review Week 10's results.
Let's examine the fallout...
The Wolves carved out a new ceiling, thanks in large part to an epic Burrow/Chase 92-point combo on Thursday night. They converted that performance into a league-leading week and now a 7-game winning streak. Chase's 52.5 was the most ever by a Wolves player, surpassing Nick Foles' 49 from Wk. 9 of 2013. It was also the third-highest score in league history. The Wolves are two games clear of their WS foes with 4 to go. They control their own playoff destiny.
That Wolves win ended a franchise-record 7-game winning streak for the Remix, who had been on fire in recent weeks but put up a dud in this one. Terry McLaurin (15.5) reached double digits for the 8th straight week, but defensive and special teams failings ended the dynamic run. At 7-3, the Remix are in a great position to make the postseason, but they'll need to fend off a couple of tough divisional foes to ensure it.
The only other notable win streak remaining in play is the Addicts 4-game run, one advanced by a comfortable win over the struggling Threat. Despite Metcalf and Cooper being out, team depth proved capable enough to hold the position (Mooney/Pickens). Conner led the day with 17.5, but team balance was a key driver. That's how you get to 8-2 and atop the standings. Winning even one more game from this point would stamp a Ghetto playoff ticket.
For the Threat, midnight arrived earlier than expected. At 4-6, the path to the postseason is clearest when winning out...but at least a 3-1 block with solid scoring will be required. The health of Pacheco and Evans will be a strong determinant. Week 10's 63.5 points was a Fumble and a franchise low. Only one starter scored more than 9, that a 20-point strong play of the Vikings D. It will be an uphill battle ahead with a competitive division.
In the same pursuit of WS conquest, the Football Team rose to the occasion this week, upsetting the Crew despite a dismal projection. The Hubbard trade has proven to be a win, as he motored for 22.5 points in Germany to lead the WFT attack. AJ Brown (15) and Kelce (14) chipped in for 5-5. A late sub of Jameson Williams proved critical. Walkertown has a playoff challenge ahead and are tied for second in the WS. Win 3, probably safe, but it will come down to tiebreakers.
On the other side of the ball, the Crew couldn't make it 2 in a row, falling back to .500 in a hard-fought loss. Kyler was great with 23 and Ekeler strong with 17, but down days from Jefferson and Davante lowered the ceiling. This team has a strong roster and should challenge at the end, but now find themselves in the quagmire of 5-5 teams looking for at least 8 wins to make the dance.
Finally...CMC returned as the Cheetahs frontman. It's been a long-time coming, and the 4x Champs needed the boost. Up to 4-6 now, they know a serious winning streak is what it will take to extend their record of playoff qualifications...but the roster is certainly capable and the owner is proven. McCaffrey put up 13 in his return, but this division win was fueled by the Eagles D and their mighty 27-point effort. Purdy chipped in 23.5, helping Conover to their best output in 5 weeks.
The Dominators had been on the rise, but they were clipped in their Rest battle with the Cheetahs. They fall to 5-5 in the process, setting up a critical stretch where they play the Wolves and still have two more division games. Those matchups will determine their playoff fate. In this week's episode, it was Bijan who led the attack with 25.5 points. Derek Carr was a smart start and delivered 20.5 in place of Jordan Love (bye). The receivers failed to show.
It's been an inconsistent season for the Marauders, though they do lead the pack in total points at the moment. A needed win got them back to .500, a position they share with the 3 other teams referenced above. The real momentum is derived from Lamar, who put up a gaudy 35 in yet another solid performance. Chase Brown's 15.5 was the next best effort from the Wk. 10 starters. The path to ending the postseason drought is one where this team finds their way to 8 wins.
A long season stretched a little further for the Crushers, as did their losing streak (to 7 games). Tyler Bass's 13 points was the best it got, though three others reached at least 10. The lack of standout performances made this matchup a done deal. The Crushers are eliminated from contention and turn their attention to playing spoiler.
Quietly but effectively, the Losers are making their play for the postseason. At 6-4, they lead the Rest division and just got an important win over the Bruisers. Despite a down day from the receiving corps, everyone else rose to the occasion. Hurts led the way with 20.5, while both Taylor and Mixon delivered strong days. Tack on solid outings from the Lions D and Bates in fill-in duty, and it was enough for the win. A playoff bid is only a couple of wins away.
Over in Bruiserville, a previously unthinkable 7-game losing streak has this squad on the edge of elimination. It goes without saying that the only chance to avoid the consolation bracket is 4 straight wins. The points have been there for most of the year, but the decisive plays have gone against the Bruisers more often than not. Surprisingly, it was waiver plug Baum at IDP that led the team with 15 points in this one, with Sutton putting up 14.
Let's close out Week 10 with awards...
Owner of the Week
Dire Wolves
149.5 Points
Power Player
Dire Wolves
Ja'Marr Chase - 52.5
Fantasy Fumble
Threat Level Midnight
63.5 Points
Week 10 Preview
10 Things
As we enter the heart of Week 10, let's look at some tidbits about the weekend's matchups. The NLS plays the WS and the Rest has an important divisional week. Big streaks are on the line, division leads are on the line. Let's see how it all plays out! Here's a quick 10 for 10 to get you ready for gameday...
No one has ever scored 120+ on Thursday night before. Thanks to Burrow and Chase, the Wolves are already past that mark with 5 players still to play!
Combined, the Wolves and Remix have won 13 straight games. This matchup may be mostly decided, but it's still a noteworthy clash between two teams that have been unstoppable.
In the Crushers 8 losses, they've scored below 95 points only once. They are facing a Marauders team that is currently the points leader and hasn't scored less than 113 in 6 weeks.
In a must-win game for the Bruisers, they bring the second-most points scored and the most points against by far (with a 39-pt cushion over the next-closest).
The Cheetahs have a significant head-to-head edge over the Dominators (18-6), but the Doms got the better of the Cheetahs just two short weeks ago.
Carrying the highest points projection into the weekend (111.5), the Crew are expected to get a needed win in a close NLS race.
Despite being 12th in scoring overall, the Football Team have proven to be scrappy. Watch for a better-than-expected performance to keep things close.
The Krackaddicts have won three in a row and appear to be firing on all cylinders. Their run game will lead the entire league in scoring this week.
In the Threat's 5 losses, they've reached 100 points only once (Wk 5, 106). They will need at least 110 to win here.
In 3 of their last 4 division matchups, the Losers have handled the Bruisers. Can they make it 4 of 5?
Good luck to everyone today. 11 of 12 teams still very much in the playoff hunt. Go notch a win and make your run.
Week 9 Review
Battlegrounds
It's a term you've likely heard a lot this last month or two, as "battleground states" determine election outcomes more often than not. No blood will presumably be shed, but the figurative battles define the competition.
In Week 9, some streaks were busted and others extended, and the LOC battleground yielded a slate of closely fought games.
In the end, the Remix added a 7th win in a row to their streak, while the Wolves made it 6 straight. The two hottest teams in the league? Without a doubt.
The Addicts don't mind if attention is paid elsewhere, as they elevated to 7-2 themselves. The Crew busted their losing streak with a Monday night comeback, as did the Cheetahs in their last week without CMC. The Marauders led the scoring this week and ended their own 2-game skid.
It wasn't all good news. Both the Bruisers and Crushers have now lost 6 straight. The Dominators and Losers are still above .500 but saw their win streaks come to an end. Neither the Threat or Football Team could get anything going and fell to 4-5 in the WS.
Weekly awards are up first, followed by matchup reviews.
Oh, and don't stay up too late tonight...those election results will greet you tomorrow whether you want them to or not.
Owner of the Week
Mitchell's Marauders
130.5 Points
Power Player
Benny's Bruisers
Saquon Barkley - 29
Power Player
Dire Wolves
Joe Burrow - 29
Fantasy Fumble
Threat Level Midnight
81 Points
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Matchups
Game of the Week
Remix vs. Losers
Remix vs. Losers
This back-and-forth affair saw the Losers overtake the Remix on Monday night with Cade Otton's strong effort, only to fall victim to Mahomes magic that delivered a Remix W7.
It hasn't been the greatest year for Mahomes, but his 19.5 were a crucial contribution (and a season high). Garrett Wilson's 21.5 was the team's high point, but the best call was Jakobi Meyers in the flex (17). While the Remix haven't shaken the Addicts off, they do share the NLS lead at 7-2.
Hurts (24.5) led the Losers in defeat, with Mixon's 16.5 a steady assist. Despite the L after winning 3 straight, the Losers still hold a shared division lead in the Rest at 5-4.
Addicts vs. Dominators
Another streak was busted in the Doms' W4, this one at the hands of the feisty Addicts--who are quietly staking their claim to a high playoff seed. Ghetto rises to 7-2.
It was a pair of 23.5's that fueled this week's showing from the Addicts, as Josh Allen and De'Von Achane put in solid work in the same game. The rushing attack looked strong, with Pollard's 18.5 and Conner's 15 adding to a 57-point trio. Mooney stepped in for the injured Cooper to add 15 as well.
Zay Flowers certainly came to play. His 28 was the Dominators' top mark, and Bijan added 17.5. An Olave injury hurt the cause. The streak ends, but Dolla stays above .500 and maintains a tie for the Rest division lead.
Wolves vs. Threat
As WS division battles continued this week, it was the Wolves who showed up ready and willing to stretch their win streak to 6 and create separation in the playoff race.
Burrow's brilliance was on display with 29 points. Derrick Henry continues to be a workhorse, adding 23.5 to ensure the outcome was set. A down receiving day proved to be moot in this one. Dire is now 2 games clear of their division rivals.
Byes and injuries have caught up with the Threat, as Lamb (12) got dinged up and the fill-ins couldn't keep up. Darnold's 14 and the Vikes D (15) were the team highlights. TLM is in a 3-way tie in the WS at 4-5.
Crew vs. Bruisers
These are the matchups where you're glad someone ends a losing streak, though it came at the expense of the Bruisers. For the Crew, this was a necessary win in a competitive division race.
As RB3 overall, Kamara maintained his role as team leader with 26.5 points, but the scoring came from everywhere, with Jefferson's 19 and Davante's 16.5 big keys. However, it was Kareem's 18 on Monday night that sealed the comeback win for 4:20. Don't know what happened to Kyler this week.
In credit to the Bruisers effort, Barkley's 29-point highlight reel was the star performance of the matchup. Sutton delivered a strong 21.5 as well. The Rest division is still up for grabs--but must-win time starts now for BB.
Marauders vs. Football Team
The Football Team had been on a tear (even while not posting the points they'd like), but this one went the Marauders way in a division matchup that leveled out the standings behind the Wolves.
Almost by default, the Marauders nabbed their first OTW behind big days from 3 different spots. Lamar's 25 was the team high, while Chase Brown stepped up for 24. The Chargers D matched that number in a strong showing, and it was enough for Mitchell to find the win column.
Walkertown had an outside shot entering Monday night, and Kelce's heartened effort provided 17. That matched the 17 from Rico, which was complemented by Chuba/Cousins 16's. It was a solid scoring day, but just wasn't enough in this one.
Cheetahs vs. Crushers
Another game where a losing streak needed to end, this one did so with the 2x defending champs pulling out of the tailspin of recent weeks. It was also the closest matchup of the week.
The Cheetahs have strung together (and traded for) a viable running game in the absence of McCaffrey, but a support position was the difference here. Jayden't 19.5 was the top result, but Kupp's 17.5 was extra meaningful against the team that dropped him. It was Jayden Reed's 15.5 that proved the critical flex play.
For the Crushers, a Monday miracle almost materialized. D-Hop's 20.5 points were a nice boost to the odds but just a couple shy of game-changing. Tank's 17.5 and Tua's 16 were the other keys, but the McNichols flex (2) was costly.
Week 9 Preview
Streakin'
The result of a long weekend (with work blanketing it) is that we'll just get a quick survey of the situation as it appears entering Week 9 Sunday.
Looking at the LOC landscape, there are a lot of streaks painting the horizon in a uniquely orderly fashion.
Of the 6 teams who won in Win 8, they all have successive win streaks from 1-6. The Threat just got a needed one, the Addicts made it two straight, the Losers are on a 3-game rise, the Dominators escaped (post-adjustment) to get their 4th win in a row, the wiley Wolves are at W5, and the Remix are on a franchise-record 6-game tear.
Each of these teams has a lot to feel good about, but there are angtsy challengers on the other side ready to end their own streaks. The Football Team just had their win streak ended. Marauders have taken L's the last two. The Cheetahs are on a 3-game skid, the Crew have dropped 4 straight after a blazing 4-0 start, and the Bruisers and Crushers are stonewalled by 5 losses in a row.
There's the picture of balance (or imbalance, if you're on one end) in terms of momentum, but several of the teams on losing runs have high points totals and are waiting anxiously for the law of averages to kick in.
Matchups
There are two WS matchups (again) this week. The current battles are between WFT/Marauders and Wolves/Threat. Serious division movement is possible based on the outcomes here. If expert projections are to be believed, the Wolves will get to W6 and the Marauders will emerge victorious, but that doesn't account for the Football Team's tendency to slug out wins or the Threat's ability to keep every game in shooting distance.
In cross-division play, there are two big NLS/Rest matchups that will have the league's eye on them. The seemingly unflappable Remix will look for a 7th straight win when they face the charging Losers. Could go either way. The balanced Addicts (minus Metcalf) take on the streaking Dominators with hopes of keeping their current shares atop their respective divisions.
For the Bruisers and Crew, this will finally be a streak-buster for one of the two teams who started the year so hot. The Cheetahs and Crushers both desperately need a win, and one of them will end their losing streak and attempt to make a run.
Good luck to all of you in ending or extending your run. Also, if you haven't already voted, make it happen on Tuesday!
Week 8 Review
Losers & Winners
-Week 8-
-Week 8-
The back half of the season is underway, and the impact points are beginning to show. Massive (unexpected) days from teams in the middle of the pack, notable win streaks extended, and a ton of close matchups that came down to the final game. Divisional drama all around.
The Losers led the Week 8 fun with 164 points, making a statement about what they are capable of with a healthy roster. It was a fitting 10-year anniversary of their record-setting effort in Week 8 of '14. Interestingly enough, that 208.5-point effort was also against the Bruisers. Make it 3 straight wins for Ledford.
There was plenty of action elsewhere. The two big streakers in the league both kept the fun going. The Remix continue to roll, making it 6 in a row in a close division win over the Crew. And right there with them are the Wolves, who have now won 5 straight and are now perched atop the WS.
We saw the best of the Threat, as they dispatched of the Marauders, posted a season-high in points and busted a 3-game losing streak.
Thanks to George Pickens on Monday night, the Addicts are up to 6-2 after their comeback over the Crushers. That wasn't the only Monday night decision, as the tiebreak drama of the Dominators vs. Cheetahs has (after a Thursday adjustment) resulted in a Dominators win. The bipolar ESPN scoring adjustments are needlessly dramatic.
A separation in tiers is forming across the LOC landscape, and this week left us with fewer teams in the middle. There are now 4 teams with more wins than losses (all looking strong) and 4 teams at exactly 4-4. Which way will they split? The margin of error is lessening for the 4 below .500.
Let's get to awards and a few highlights.
Owner of the Week
Ledford's Losers
164 Points
Power Player
Threat Level Midnight
CeeDee Lamb - 31.5 Pts
Fantasy Fumble
Walkertown FT
81.5 Points
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Highlights
NLS Division
Remix vs. Crew
Tre McBride goes 9 for 124 to post 17.5 points in a balanced Remix win.
Kyler is solid in defeat, leading the Crew with 23.5 points.
This matchup remained close throughout. Two good teams.
Addicts vs. Crushers
Achane's return to form is well-timed. He leads GK with 21.5.
Kittle made the most of National TE's Day w/ 21.5 for the Crushers.
This one came down to the wire. The Addicts keep finding a way.
WS Division
Wolves vs. Football Team
A low-scoring battle that TJ Watt wins on Monday night.
His 13.5 matches Chase for team high in the Wolves W.
Kelce's 18 points for WFT is a season's best effort. Encouraging.
Threat vs. Marauders
CeeDee rips for 146 and 2 TD's to pace the league.
James Cook (Marauders) finds his highest total so far (24.5).
The Threat have still never lost to the Marauders.
Rest Division
Losers vs. Bruisers
4 players go over 20 for LL, with Hurts' 29.5 the highest.
Everyone posts decent (but not great) numbers for the Bruisers.
164 points is the 3rd highest Losers score ever.
Cheetahs vs. Dominators
The Josh Jacobs trade is serving Conover well (23 pts).
Flexing Pitts for 20 pts is a wise call by the Dominators.
This is the 2nd year in a row these two have tied (pre-adjustment).
Midseason Report
MIDSEASON Report
Here we are at the midpoint of Season 19!
As covered earlier, the league has a giant traffic jam in the middle, with 8 teams at 4-3 or 3-4. Two teams are atop the standings at 5-2...two sit below with 1 or 2 wins.
But that doesn't tell the whole story. In perspective, that's because there is still a lot of story to be told, and partially because teams across the current spectrum of records have already had reversals of fortune in the 7 weeks thus far. It's certain that things won't stay the same for long.
Over the course of this report, we'll cover how everyone got to where they are, where your situation stacks up currently, and how it looks going forward.
Back & Forth
Let's jump back to post-draft analysis to see how different things look than predicted. Since projections would not account for any sudden change in momentum, we'll simply split those and go from there.
Here's where the experts had your team by midseason (in order, with current record in parentheses):
Dominators: 5-2 (4-3)
Cheetahs: 5-2 (2-5)
Wolves: 4-3 (4-3)
Marauders: 4-3 (3-4)
Remix: 4-3 (5-2)
Crew: 3-4 (4-3)
Addicts: 3-4 (5-2)
Threat 3-4 (3-4)
Football Team: 3-4 (4-3)
Losers: 3-4 (4-3)
Bruisers: 2-5 (3-4)
Crushers: 2-5 (1-6)
Obviously, those expert picks could easily materialize by the time the season is over, but we all know that isn't going to happen. The biggest miss here thus far is the Cheetahs (no CMC), but no one would be surprised with a late run from them. Nor is anyone surprised that the experts generally hate the Addicts draft every year...but they are defying that doubt already.
As for final records and playoff berths, the Football Team, Losers, and Addicts are looking stronger than they were "supposed to", and 2 of the 3 would be in if the dance started today.
Gibbs (15.8 ppg) has been explosive for the Dominators.Next, we'll add up the current ppg from your top 10 players and compare that to what it looked like entering Week 1. These are in order of current scoring and exclude players in IR. This will vary from overall scoring because no one puts their best 10 players on the field every week. What it will tell you is how capable your team "was" vs. how it's currently playing out. Differences of 8 or more points are noted with the appropriate arrow. (preseason in parentheses)
PPG Ranks
Bruisers - 130.2 (111.7) 🔼
Wolves - 125.2 (111.6) 🔼
Crew - 124.0 (111.4) 🔼
Marauders - 120.9 (109.5) 🔼
Dominators - 117.9 (116.3)
Addicts - 114.4 (106.9)
Cheetahs - 113.3 (112.2)
Losers - 112.0 (110.4)
Remix - 110.2 (113.3)
Crushers - 109.1 (107.2)
Football Team - 106.1 (106.7)
Threat - 102.8 (110.8) 🔽
As you can see, the Commish's preseason points bump of 7 ppg for kickers was not enough to account for some of the standout kickers. Regardless, the overall tendencies suggest that teams in the top 6 should be the hottest teams in the league. The Bruisers, Crew and Marauders have had moments but have wavered of late.
For the Remix and Football Team, their scoring narratives have been unique, but smart and timely starts (and a bit of luck with your opponent in some cases) has proven to defy the presumed points ceiling or number of wins.
Barkley has been the foundation of Bruisers rushing success.
Here & Now
The most evident reality of the season to this point is that running games have seen a big uptick in success. More so than any season we've seen in the last dozen years. But how does that correlate with LOC success?
Of the top 24 running backs by average, here are the number of those backs rostered by each team (and the points per game they account for):
Crew: 3 (48.7)
Crushers: 3 (39.6)
Threat: 3 (36.3)
Losers: 2 (35.6)
Wolves: 2 (34.0)
Bruisers: 2 (32.6)
Dominators: 2 (29.7)
Marauders: 2 (25.4)
Cheetahs: 2 (24.9)
Addicts: 2 (24.3)
Remix: 1 (15.6)
Football Team: 0
So the 3 teams with the least amount of top-end production from their RB's are doing just fine. Conversely, there hasn't been a lot for the Crushers and Threat to sing about, but a sound running game is at least in their favor. The Crew should be optimistic as well. Overall, it's difficult to draw any valuable parallels here other than a higher ppg average generally leads to success (unless all of your eggs are in one basket).
Taking that larger context, let's look at overall scoring. The working average for a good (i.e. Top 6) game in the LOC is 107 points. Here is each team's current scoring average, along with the number of times they've reached or exceeded the 107 mark through 7 weeks.
Benny’s Bruisers / 120.6 - 6x
Dire Wolves / 114.2 - 4x
Mitchell’s Marauders / 113.6 - 4x
THE 4:20 Crew / 111.9 - 4x
Remix OG / 107.1 - 3x
Ghetto Krackaddicts / 105.9 - 2x
Dolla’ Dominators / 103.9 - 4x
Conover Cheetahs / 101.0 - 3x
Cliff’s Crushers / 100.5 - 2x
Threat Level Midnight / 97.8 - 1x
Ledford’s Losers / 96.1 - 1x
Walkertown FT / 96.0 - 3x
The two lowest teams on this list have 4 wins each...and 2 of the top 3 teams only have 3 wins. This should theoretically average out, as the number of strikes at 107+ generally means more wins, but let's not forget that wonderful blend of luck and timing that often defy the odds!
CMC's return should boost the Cheetahs' fortunes.
Adapt & Overcome
No matter what has been, making the playoffs is Goal #1. And everyone still has a shot at their run to glory. For some, it will be an uphill climb, but we've seen teams make that climb several times over the years. There is usually a team with 1 or 2 wins who gets things in order, goes on a run, and leaves teams that were sitting pretty through 7 weeks in their rear view.
Your odds of turning things around are about 14% with 1 or 2 wins, but there is precedent.
The '22 Wolves are a good recent example, as they were seemingly dead in the water at 2-5. They proceeded to flip the second-half script to 5-2, making a Wild Card run to the playoffs before a hard-fought loss to the eventual champion Cheetahs in the quarterfinals.
The legendary runs of the '08 Crushers and '09 Dominators after 2 and 1-win starts, both of whom reached the title game (with the Crushers winning their first LOC championship) have been well-documented.
How many wins will it take?
No one gets in with 6 wins. If you're in the "what the hell's wrong with my team/luck" category at this point, focus on getting to 7 wins and ideally a top-4 finish in scoring. We've seen that as the absolute baseline for getting into the postseason with two notable exceptions ('08 Underdawgz &'16 Dominators, both points champs who missed the tourney).
Don't worry about exceptions since there are 6 available spots now, but definitely find your way to .500 or better. 8 wins is usually enough to make the cut, and only one team has ever missed the dance with 9 wins ('07 Marauders).
So what are the current chances you'll make it?
Using the combined average of preseason playoff chances, we'll compare those to the current ESPN projection. Alongside is the change from 7-8 weeks ago.
Playoff % Chances (Then/Now/Change)
Dominators - 60.2 / 57 / -3.2
Cheetahs - 57.4 / 20 / -37.4
Remix - 54.7 / 78 / +23.3
Wolves - 52.7 / 73 / +20.3
Threat - 52.3 / 34 / -18.3
Bruisers - 51.5 / 39 / -12.5
Crew - 49.9 / 75 / +25.1
Marauders - 49.3 / 43 / -6.3
Losers - 46.6 / 63 / +16.4
Football Team - 44.6 / 31 / -13.6
Addicts - 43.7 / 84 / +40.3
Crushers - 43.7 / 4 / -39.7
They don't know (ESPN) but they still gave us a number here--so we used it. It will slide all over the place like Toadstool in a Mario Kart ink spot, but it's interesting to see where it stands. The NLS has 3 of the top teams by both record and current playoff odds, while teams like the Threat and Cheetahs are not being treated with a lot of optimism.
Speaking of optimism, as we prepare for massive Week 8 divisional battles and the second half of the year, here is a little bit of positive energy for each team. Good luck to you all!
Crushers
You've scored decently well, your running game looks good, and you're about to get Tua back. Find another WR to bolster depth and stay the course.
Threat
Losing key players hurts, but at some point, Pacheco and Evans will return. Find a couple of wins in the next two weeks and you should be able to make a run.
Cheetahs
From a team depth perspective, no one is more well-rounded. With Kupp activated and CMC soon to return, the second half surge is going to happen. Now's your time.
Marauders
Losing Godwin hurt, but Puka is back now and you've got Tyreek ready to contribute. Shore up your run game and challenge for the division.
Bruisers
Top scorer, best supporting cast in '24 thus far. Stay on the path, don't do anything desperate because nothing is broken. The wins will be there.
Losers
So far luck has been an ally, and injury timing has not. You're getting healthier and already have 4 wins banked, so the future should be good.
Crew
Top tier run game and plenty of weapons across the board. Tough division race ahead, but a playoff spot is just a steady hand away. Maintain.
Wolves
You're one of two teams that has been blazing through the league over the past 4 weeks. No one wants to play the Wolves right now. Get through bye weeks and back to the postseason.
Football Team
A winning record despite the RB blues means you've been granted extra time to sort it out. Nico will be back soon. Prioritizing team depth should help you into the "payloffs".
Addicts
It's nice to secure wins before your team feels like they are firing on all cylinders. That time has arrived, so maximize your opportunity with team depth.
Remix
It went from really bad to really good, and your squad has emerged as a force. If your running game holds up, this will be a playoff run and possibly more.
Dominators
The Dominators are due for a postseason trip, and this feels like the year for it. The receiving group needs a little more upside, but the run game should carry the water.
Week 7 Review
Seven Down
And there you have it. Half of the regular season is complete. A quick survey of the situation?
The Addicts and Remix are atop the heap, both now at 5-2. That's 5 straight wins for the Remix and a season high in points for the Addicts! Those are ideal trends.
Not far behind are the Wolves and Football Team, who just locked up their 4th wins in a row. The Dominators made it 3 straight wins and the Losers just got their second consecutive W.
All of these teams are rightfully feeling good after Week 7. There were Monday night rallies (Wolves) and overcoming late challenges (Dominators). There is the all-out race for supremacy in the NLS that has Ghetto and the OG's bringing their A-game. And there's the "don't count us out" efforts from Walkertown and Ledford.
Contrastingly, the Cheetahs found the bottom of the barrel this week, the Marauders lost their top receiver (points-wise) in a loss, the Bruisers watched yet another win get witched on Monday, the Crew and Threat continued their downhill skids into 3 straight losses, and the Crushers came up short yet again.
None of those teams' season is over, but it sucks to watch wins slip through your fingers week after week. For a few teams, the points were there in plenty. For others, this was another ugly chapter in a season that started with so much promise.
As we expected it might go, 8 of 12 teams are now 4-3 or 3-4, with two above and two below.
With the season making its turn into the back half, there are two vastly opposite narratives taking hold. The hold steady and the turnaround. No matter which one qualifies for you, don't let up now.
Owner of the Week
Ghetto Krackaddicts
140.5 Points
Power Player
Mitchell's Marauders
L. Jackson - 33 Points
Fantasy Fumble
Conover Cheetahs
56 Points
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MATCHUPS
Game of the Week
Wolves vs. Bruisers
Wolves vs. Bruisers
The Wolves continue to pile up wins, turning an 0-3 start into 4-3. Conversely, the Bruisers keep missing wins by a couple of points after a great start. Two of the strongest teams in the league this year, and they gave us a great matchup that came down to late Monday.
Derrick Henry's slow start gave way to 170 yards and two receiving touchdowns. His 24 points were the team high, with Andrews and Higgins both chipping in 14. Chase and London added 13 apiece in a balanced attack that has the Wolves looking tough to beat. The Bruisers were led by Saquon's 25.5 points and were spurred by 22 more from the Broncos D. But a receiving dud from Sutton and a late Wolves rally sealed the deal in this one.
Remix vs. Crushers
For three consecutive weeks, the Remix have amassed at least 130 points...that's an 89% win chance with no other factors considered. In this case, they handled business (for the 5th straight game) against the helpless Crushers. An NLS story with polar opposite directions in play.
Bigsby proved to be a worthwhile waiver snag, providing 21.5 points that were complemented by Kyren's 16. The key in this one was from the K/D spots, as the Eagles notched a team-high 22 and Lutz banged in 19.5. Mahomes and Diontae didn't show, but it didn't matter. The Crushers QB woes continue (Cousins / 4), and Deebo and Tank combined for .5 total. The running game did look good, as Breece (22.5) and Aaron Jones (16.5) paced the effort, but it just wasn't enough.
Addicts vs. Crew
Look out for the Addicts. They won when it was proclaimed they wouldn't, and now they are in full throttle. They elevated to 140.5 points this week against the Crew, who can't seem to find the magic from earlier in the year. The power shift in the NLS now has Ghetto and the Remix in the drivers seat(s).
The Commanders D and Josh Allen co-led with 21 for the Addicts and James Conner churned for 20.5 on Monday night. Seibert booted in 17.5 more, and the WR group looked steady. Cooper wasted no time contributing. for 4:20, it was more of the same frustration with defense and kicker (5 combined). Davante didn't show up as expected. Kyler did look good with 18, while both Hunt and KW3 reached 17 in the losing cause.
Dominators vs. Marauders
The Mitchell Bowl started out as a blowout and wound down to a decent game, but the outcome never wavered from a Dominators win. At 129.5 points and fueled by a nasty run tandem, this looked more like the Doms were supposed to on paper. They're up to 4-3 and first in the Rest.
In terms of actuals, it was Jahmyr's 28.5 and Bijan's 22.5 that gave Dolla a cushion they'd never really need. Brian Thomas added 17 and Brock Bowers continues to be a stud TE. The Marauders got a Power Player from Lamar's 33, but no run game support and a couple of injuries doomed the cause. Amon-Ra was strong with 21 (Tyreek only 1.5) and free agent Reichard added 16.5 in the shootout loss.
Losers vs. Threat
The Losers have been consistently taxed by injury, but they've managed to survive (and even thrive at times) to reach 4-3. Bolstered by a good waiver snag and a bad stroke of fortune for the bye-hampered Threat, they got a second win in as many weeks. The once 3-1 Threat found their 3rd loss in a row.
A rushing blast from Mixon (23) and plug-in Javonte Williams (20) were the big keys to victory for LL, assisted by 16 from waiver pick-up Cade Otton. Receiving was not an element of success, as the trio of Harrison, Smith, and Jeudy combined for only 6. Despite that, there was enough to score a win. TLM got 16 from Najee and 14 from the Bengals D, but an Evans injury and underachievement elsewhere sealed the deal.
Football Team vs. Cheetahs
In the league's ugliest game to this point in '24, the Football Team won by 20 without reaching 80, sending the Cheetahs to 2-5 in the process. WFT rises to 4-3 and are on a 4-game climb thanks to a combination of factors. This was the lowest score for the Cheetahs since Wk. 14, 2016.
Looking at the bright spots, there aren't too many to highlight here, but AJ Brown's consistency since returning from injury is a boon for the Football Team. His 16 + the Rams D's 16 were essential to the win, as were a pair of 12.5's from Irving and Fairbairn. No one else reached double digits. The Cheetahs got solid days out of Njoku (17, good call) and Jacobs (15.5), but also saw no other positives (and a -5 from the Jets D).
Week 7 Preview
Can Bijan lift the Dominators to 4-3?
SEVEN UP
Week 7 is here, marking the final games before the midseason. Here's what we know:
We will have at least one team with 5 wins entering the midpoint.
There will be at least 8 teams with either a 4-3 or 3-4 record.
Every team will still be in the playoff race.
At least one team and possibly more will carry a 3, 4, or 5-game winning streak.
There could be some ugly losing streaks carried into midseason as well. Remains to be seen. No matter what, it's a valuable week to get a win. For the top-heavy NLS division, they will have back-to-back division games, so this is a big two-week stretch for making moves. The WS and Rest divisions square off this weekend, but Week 8 is an interdivisional week for the entire league, so it's going to get real...real soon.
Either a couple of teams will continue to rise until they're clear of the pack...or we will continue down this path of uncertainty that is certain to surprise. Can't wait to find out!
The Picks
Addicts vs. Crew
Summary: In a battle for division supremacy that should come down to the wire, the Addicts and Crew square off for 5-2 and the NLS lead entering the midpoint.
For the Crew, watch for scores above projection for Davante (now a Jet) and Kareem. Walker's performance against the Falcons will be critical. Saints D with a letdown 1 point on Thursday. The Addicts traded for Amari, and his connection with Josh Allen out of the gate will be a big factor. Expect good numbers from Tony Pollard and the Comms D, making this one a photo finish.
H2H: Addicts, 19-10
Experts: Crew by 11
ESPN: Addicts by 6
LM: Addicts by 2
Wolves vs. Bruisers
Summary: Two teams on 3-game streaks (one good, one bad) face off for their 4th win. The Wolves will look to keep their hot streak going while the Bruisers are hoping to pull out of a slump.
The Broncos handed over 22 on Thursday, but a zilch from Sutton was an odd turn. Barkley and Hubbard need to win the run game battle and that position scrum should be a fun one to watch. Malik is back and should find the end zone. Can Geno get to 15? Dire brings a potent 1-2 run game hit and Chase/London should deliver a receiving game win. Burrow and the Chiefs D will be keys to the Wolves outcome.
H2H: 12-6, Wolves
Experts: Wolves by 3
ESPN: Bruisers by 6
LM: Wolves by 5
Dominators vs. Marauders
Summary: The annual battle of brothers finds them both at 3-3, with the Marauders fresh off a trade for Tyreek and the Dominators ready to see their run game deliver a win.
Watch for the Gibbs and Bijan duo to provide Dolla with an RB edge, though Zay Flowers will need to repeat his success from the last two weeks for the receiving not to be lopsided. Jordan Love should reach 18 points, and Bowers claims the TE win. The Marauders will count on all 3 of their receivers to provide a high floor, though Lamar's scoring will be a big key. Cook's workload and the Niners D (vs KC) determine the outcome.
H2H: 13-8, Marauders
Experts: Marauders by 3
ESPN: Marauders by .5
LM: Dominators by 5
Remix vs. Crushers
Summary: The surging 4-2 Remix battle the luckless Crushers in the other NLS matchup, with this one likely to be closer than the teams' overall records would suggest.
If there's an edge here for Cliff, it's the run game. Kyren (Remix) is dangerous, but Breece and Robinson will combo for more. Deebo and Kittle will need to excel against the Chiefs. The Bills D should go for double digits. The Remix will keep their win streak rolling behind some Mahomes magic and the receiving trio combining for 40+. The Eagles D and McBride are the only potential pitfalls here.
H2H: 11-9, Remix
Experts: Remix by 12
ESPN: Remix by 22
LM: Remix by 8
Football Team vs. Cheetahs
Summary: The defending champs will look to bounce back and begin their run toward the postseason against the wiley Football Team and their 3-game win streak.
The Cheetahs are sticking with Jayden at QB, and he should at least match Stroud on the other side. The Montgomery/Jacobs tandem will give Conover a healthy edge in the RB tilt, and Tracy is a flex with real upside here. The receiving win goes to Walkertown, as Brown and Aiyuk should see plenty of targets this week. Either Gibson or Irving will have to reach 15 to keep this one competitive.
H2H: 17-8, Cheetahs
Experts: Cheetahs by 8
ESPN: Cheetahs by 15
LM: Cheetahs by 10
Threat vs. Losers
Summary: These two 3-3 squads face off with their own challenges, as the Threat try to overcome bye week blues and the Losers attempt to finally shake off the injury bug.
Ledford is still without JT in the run game, but Mixon and Javonte (who notched 20 on Thurs.) will make up the difference against a weaker combo. Jeudy should see more targets with Cooper gone. Hurts to Devonta is a key to 100+ points. Raheem will need at least 10 touches to make things work for the Threat, though Mike Evans may catch 10 balls today. Worthy and Darnold will decide TLM's fate here.
H2H: 2-1, Threat
Experts: Threat by 1
ESPN: Losers by 21
LM: Losers by 7
Week 6 Review
Williams' 25.5 propelled the Remix to an OTW.
6 Things
The standings are bunched like an ill-fitting pair of boxers...with .500 teams piled up like Kelvin Benjamin's plate at the Sizzler. After six weeks, the future is murkier than a backwater cocktail.
Bad analogies aside, you already know just how crowded this race is. 7 teams at 3-3? A division with 3 teams at 4-2? Only two teams below .500 (and both a bounce or two from winning records)?
Not sure if 2016 is going to happen all over again (the one where half the league finished at 7-7), but it feels like that kind of race is shaping up. We've got a lot more to cover on the state of the LOC union in the midseason report, but that is a topic for next week.
In the short term, it's a crazy Week 6 that has many feeling like the fun is just getting started. The trends are not ideal for a few teams, but no one is remotely out of contention.
The Remix are red hot with a 4-game win streak, and they earned their first OTW of the year. A far cry from the Fumbles of Weeks 1 and 2. The Wolves continue to post big totals and have turned 0-3 into 3-3. The Football Team haven't made as much noise, but they too have won 3 straight and are definitely back in the mix in the WS.
Teams that have not had a fun time lately got back on the right track with Monday night wins, a welcome change in fortune for the Dominators and Losers.
And finally, the pendulum-swing Marauders got their 'up' moment and are back to .500.
On the other side, things went poorly for the Crew and Crushers, with both nursing 3-game slides. The Bruisers and Cheetahs brought the scoring potential but still fell in their contests. The Addicts and Threat didn't get the juice needed from their key starters. It's a small consolation to note that 5 of the 6 losing teams still have winning records!
Owner of the Week
REMIX OG
133.5 Points
Power Player
MITCHELL'S MARAUDERS
C. Godwin - 31 Points
Fantasy Fumble
THE 4:20 CREW
74 Points
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MATCHUPS
GAME OF THE WEEK
Losers vs. Cheetahs
Losers vs. Cheetahs
Summary
Because it truly came down to the last minute of action on Monday night, this narrow Losers win over the Cheetahs qualifies as the GOTW. The Jets D needed 5 points entering the game, and they managed only 1 (with near-misses for outcome-shifting plays), pushing the two-time defending champs to two games below .500. It was a surprising win for the Losers--their roster racked with injuries--but they now hold a share of the Rest lead with the Bruisers and Dominators.
Studs
Joe Mixon - Losers / Healthy again, Mixon lit up the Pats D en route to 24 critical points.
Jalen Hurts - Losers / Hurts put up his best game of the season (21), looking a lot more like the NFC Champs version than the one from recent weeks.
David Montgomery - Cheetahs / Montgomery extended his consecutive games with a TD streak, this week punching it in twice (16.5).
Duds
Harrison/Goedert - Losers / They were both injured in-game (unsurprisingly), but to have it happen with neither posting a single point is extra painful.
Jets D - Cheetahs / The Bills weren't an easy opponent, but with 4 straight double-digit performances, it seemed reasonable that the Jets would provide more than a single.
Win Left Behind
Brock Purdy arrived on the trade wagon and posted 26.5 points on the Cheetahs shelf. In a 3.5-point loss, his services would have been preferable to the 17 amassed by "inevitable cut" Jayden Daniels.
Dominators vs. Bruisers
Summary
The week's second closest matchup saw these Rest rivals pull to a deadlock on Sunday night, only for the Dominators to eclipse the Bruisers by 4 on Monday night via their IDP. It was good scoring matchup and could have gone either way, though the Dominators needed it more in terms of the division race. The Bruisers have dropped 3 straight despite continuing to score at a high level. Both these teams now sit at 3-3.
Studs
Jordan Love - Dominators / It appears Love is fully recovered, as he aired it out for a 4-pack of TDs and posted a team-leading 26 points.
Bijan Robinson - Dominators / After 3 weeks of either 9 or 10 points, Bijan doubled it up with 20 this week, an important assist for the Dolla win.
Steelers D - Bruisers / Outside of one bad week, the #1 overall defense continues to assist the Bruiser cause, this time to the tune of 19 points.
Duds
Travis Etienne - Bruisers / With 3 carries for -1 yard, the worst of a recent slog was realized for ETN, and his bad day hurt the team's chances.
Chris Olave - Dominators / No one wants to see a concussion, but the fantasy impact subtracted a point from the Doms day since it was on Olave's first catch (+ fumble).
Win Left Behind
A trio of eligible candidates in Sutton, Slayton, and Engram watched wistfully from the bench as their colleague Etienne failed to flex in a 4-point loss. Any of their outputs would have flipped it to a Bruisers W.
Wolves vs. Crew
Summary
What should have been a close battle--between the top team entering the week and the top team in recent weeks--instead turned into a blowout loss for the Crew and yet another solid outing for the Wolves. Team balance contributed to a solid all-around effort with 6 starters scoring between 11-15 for Dire and Co, to raise the floor. Alternatively, bye weeks and receiver depth were a real stinger for 4:20 in their Fumble.
Studs
Derrick Henry - Wolves / Henry continues to dominate, posting yet another 20+ point game (23) to lead the Wolves rushing attack.
Duds
Ridley/Wicks - Crew / Both receivers were needed to account for Jefferson's bye week, but instead they combined for 1.5 total points, a coffin nail for the Crew's chances.
Marauders vs. Addicts
Summary
There wasn't a lot of drama in this one, but the Addicts put up a respectable effort without two of their best players, while the Marauders continue to boom/bust their way through the season and managed a win here. There were low efforts from the Mitchell squad, but the defense/kicker combo and Godwin's power play were enough to create separation. The Addicts are tied atop the NLS despite the loss at 4-2, while MIM is up to 3-3.
Studs
Chris Godwin - Marauders / With a personal season high and league-leading 31 points this week, Godwin delivered the win almost single-handedly.
Josh Allen - Addicts / No matter how much you try to contain him, Allen still finds a way to score points. His 19 were the top mark for the Ghetto contingent in the loss.
Duds
James Conner - Addicts / He's had 4 really good games and two bombs, and this 24-yard effort was one in the latter category, dimming the Addicts outlook in this one.
Mike Williams - Marauders / Scooped up as a last-minute replacement for the injured James Cook, the Marauder attempt at spiking their Monday night total for an OTW instead resulted in a lowly .5.
Remix vs. Threat
Summary
Here come the Remix, rolling past the Threat and posting a season high in points in the process. That's consecutive games of over 130 on the board. Their 4-2 record has them eyeing the top of the NLS division, and they looked the part of contender this week. The Threat running game was good this week, but several stars let them down and kept this one from ever being close.
Studs
Caleb Williams - Remix / It's not hard to see why the Remix have swapped out Mahomes for Williams since acquiring him, as he came through with another 20-spot (25.5) in the win.
Garrett Wilson - Remix / As the top receiver for Rodgers, Wilson continues to develop chemistry, and he added 20.5 points on Monday toward the OG win.
Najee Harris - Threat / For the first time this year, Najee went over 100 yards rushing and helped the Threat in an otherwise forgettable week. His 19 points were the team high.
Duds
Dak Prescott - Threat / It couldn't have been much worse for Dak, as his -1 performance disallowed any shot at a victory for the Threat.
Football Team vs. Crushers
Summary
Quietly but effectively, the Football Team continue to piece together wins, this one against the struggling Crushers. They've turned the page from Week 3's 52 points and have scored at least double that in three straight. Even without Nico, the Football Team's finding ways to win. From a scoring perspective, the Crushers are within 15 total points of two of their 4-2 division rivals, but the win count remains at 1.
Studs
A.J. Brown - WFT / Right off the injury list and back into top form, Brown got into the end zone and over 100 yards to accumulate 20.5 in his return.
Cole Kmet - WFT / He had to wait 6 weeks for his chance, but Kmet delivered a rock solid 17.5 points in his fill-in for Kelce.
Breece Hall - Crushers / The Breece that everyone was waiting for showed up, as he went over 100 and posted 21 for the Crushers.
Deebo Samuel - Crushers / With a big 76-yard TD catch and run, Deebo locked up 24 points on Thursday night, which proved to be the team's best.
Duds
Trey Sermon - Crushers / Snagged on Sunday to replace the injured Robinson, Sermon preached to an empty house, managing only 29 yards despite 18 attempts. (3)
Win Left Behind
Allan Lazard's perturbed demeanor in the locker room after the game was likely due to his hearty 23-point effort being disregarded by Crushers management in favor of the veteran Hopkins (7) in a 12-pt loss.
Week 6 Preview
Daniels leads projections entering the weekend at 21.2 pts. (Cheetahs)
Big Six
We're underway on the sixth week of action, with the Rest division battling it out and the NLS facing the WS. Last week further equalized the standings, and if this week plays out the way it is projected, we're gonna have the majority of the league sitting at 3 or 4 wins. Better for the drama, better for league participation, worse for the nerves.
How about a dose of reality to go with the parity?
So the Wolves have been the hottest team the last two weeks, but those were also their first two wins of the year. The Crew and Bruisers were leading the charge early...but have looked much more vulnerable lately and seem to be trending in the wrong direction.
How about the Addicts at 4-1...and how about that they are 8th in scoring and squeaking by strugglers. The Cheetahs have been a scoring machine in recent weeks, but they are still playing chase at 2-3. Similarly for the Marauders, who've coughed up two Monday nighters and can't stay on the right side of the standings.
Hey, the Threat are leading their division! True. They've posted one solid spread and 4 bland appetizers. The Losers are down to high-school players to field a healthy roster. Can't win often that way. The Football Team are juggling free agents to run the ball and don't look like the team of recent years.
The Remix are on a 3-game tear. Certainly they can feel good, right? Only if Week 5 is the standard. They didn't score more than 101 until then. The Dominators were a preseason darling, drawing rave reviews for their draft. Someone should tell the players about that. That leaves the Crushers, who might be better than their record, but will now play without their points leader. Good luck there!
There you have it. Not a roast, but we've tapped into the tricky area between realism and pessimism--if only for a moment.
The good news in all of it? The parity. No one knows what your team will look like in 4 weeks, but as of right now, the opportunities are there to quickly gain ground. No one is more than a game or two out of the top 4!
It probably won't look that way in a month. So shoot your shot. Carpe Diem. You get the idea.
MATCHUPS
Remix vs. Threat
The Gist
With both teams at 3-2, this is a prime opportunity to move up in the standings. Unfortunately for the Remix, an incomplete roster due to two missing RB's, the odds are stacked against them already. The receiving corps (and Caleb) will have to compensate. Expect the Threat to cruise by in a low-scoring win, thanks to Dallas production.
The Picks
All-Time: 3-0, Threat
Experts: Threat by 6
ESPN: Threat by 14
LM: Threat by 15
Addicts vs. Marauders
The Gist
This seems like a matchup where the Addicts will keep pace at the top of the league (and NLS) despite the projections, but it will take a big rushing day and Josh Allen at his best. The Marauders don't have much in the way of winning momentum, but scoring averages are in their favor and their WR's should carry them to a close win.
The Picks
All-Time: 15-10, Addicts
Experts: Marauders by 12
ESPN: Marauders by 10
LM: Marauders by 3
Cheetahs vs. Losers
The Gist
Fresh off a trade, the upgraded rushing attack for the Cheetahs (+Jacobs) will help them fare much better than the injury-riddled Losers are capable of at the moment, but this one might be closer than expected thanks to the Eagles contingent making some noise. Jayden vs. Jalen will tell the story here.
The Picks
All-Time: 8-3, Cheetahs
Experts: Cheetahs by 15
ESPN: Cheetahs by 9
LM: Cheetahs by 5
Crew vs. Wolves
The Gist
Given the fire power in play here, the points ceiling is high for this matchup between two of the top teams in terms of scoring. If the Wolves' momentum is to continue, Sunday night's trio of Burrow/Chase/Higgins will be the driver. If the Crew are to reestablish their position, it will hinge on rushing and a serviceable receiving effort (minus JJ).
The Picks
All-Time: 10-8, Wolves
Experts: Wolves by 18
ESPN: Wolves by 5
LM: Wolves by 10
Crushers vs. Football Team
The Gist
The Crushers will hope to move into the 2-win pack when they play the Football Team, and a Thursday boon from Deebo and Kittle gives them a projected cushion. The run games are fairly offsetting in this one, but the receiving edge will grant the Crushers a win unless Stroud/AJ Brown go ballistic.
The Picks
All-Time: 12-11, Crushers
Experts: Football Team by 2
ESPN: Crushers by 30
LM: Crushers by 15
Dominators vs. Bruisers
The Gist
Both of these teams are looking to improve their season outlook, though the Bruisers have a scoring ceiling that will serve them well here. The battle of the run games here will be fun to watch, though the Dominators should win the receiving duel, making this a photo finish that comes down to a Monday night IDP.
The Picks
All-Time: 17-10, Bruisers
Experts: Dolla by 7
ESPN: Dolla by 3
LM: Bruisers by 2
Week 5 Review
Chase (Wolves) went ballistic for 38.5 points in Wk 5.
Game of Chase
The chase is on through 5 weeks in the LOC...and Ja'Marr Chase was certainly on in Week 5. His 193 yards and two TDs propelled the Wolves to a shootout win and a second straight week atop the scoring ladder (with over 140 points). The Dire express is rolling.
The pursuit is magnified by losses for the top three teams in the power rankings as well. The Crew were the last man standing, but they got clipped by the Cheetahs in yet another high-scoring showing from the Conover gang. The Bruisers fell again, this time to the Remix. The OG's have put 3 in a row together, posted their best score so far, and are challenging in the NLS. Over in the WS, the Threat--buzzing from last week's nail-biter over Benny--were stung on Monday night by the cagey Football Team.
Lost in the noise is an unexpected 4-1 start for the Krackaddicts. They aren't putting up the points (thanks Miami), and the experts refuse to acknowledge them, but they got by the Losers and are tied atop the NLS. On the other side, the highly-projected Dominators looked more like the team they hope to be, notching a second win in the process.
So now the Rest and WS divisions are mirrors, with division leaders at 3-2 and everyone else at 2-3. The win-heavy NLS has a three-way race forming. Once again, seven out of twelve teams have losing records. Did we mention that it's anyone's race to win?
Week 5 certainly reinforced that notion. Let's get to the awards and review the matchups.
Owner of the Week
Dire Wolves
143 Points
Power Player
Dire Wolves
J. Chase / 38.5 Points
Fantasy Fumble
Ledford's Losers
91.5 Points
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MATCHUPS
Game of the Week
Threat vs. Football Team
Threat vs. Football Team
This one earns GOTW status because of the razor-thin finish. It all came down to Xavier Worthy (TLM) vs. Travis Kelce (WFT) on Monday night, and Kelce's 3.5-point scoring edge over Worthy cemented a needed win for the Football Team.
Studs
WFT / Brandon Aiyuk: A welcome 20.5-point performance, only 1 point less than his combined scores from the first four games.
WFT / C.J. Stroud: Despite losing Nico to a pulled hamstring, Stroud still managed 19.5 points and should be able to keep up momentum.
TLM / Vikings D: Leading the Threat effort with 18 points, this was the correct defensive call over the Cowboys (+8).
Duds
TLM / Dalton Kincaid: Kincade managed only 4 points and has yet to reach double digits this season.
WFT / Ravens D: In a barn burner against the Bengals, this usually stingy D cost Walkertown a point.
Crew vs. Cheetahs
These two have a legacy of big games over the decades. This one got away from the Crew, as the Cheetahs again put up big points to hand 4:20 their first loss and secure an important win (as the two Rest teams above them lost).
Studs
HATR / Drake London: A season-best 27 points from London got the Cheetahs on the board Thursday and proved a timely indicator of receiving strength.
HATR / DJ Moore: With 23 points of his own and two TDs, Moore added to the big receiving week for the defending champs.
4:20 / Kyler Murray: The 7th-round draft value of Kyler for the Crew has proven itself, and he delivered 23 points to lead the team in this matchup.
Duds
4:20 / Dontayvion Wicks: What should have been a solid fill-in for injury instead hurt the cause, as Wicks' 3 points and key drops lowered the points ceiling.
Remix vs. Bruisers
The Remix are currently one of the hottest teams in the league, and they've continued to up their scoring each week, this time taking out the dangerous Bruisers to land at 3-2. The Bruisers were without Barkley, but the Remix won all of the key positional battles.
Studs
RMX / Caleb Williams: Starting Caleb over Mahomes was not an easy call, but the numbers bore it out as the right one. Williams posted a season-high 24 and helped key the win.
RMX / Garrett Wilson: It was past time for Wilson to have one of these games, and his 22.5 was far and away his best of the year.
BB / Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah: Good for the second-highest score on the team (Shaheed-17), JOK's 16.5 was a valuable boost on a down week for the Bruisers.
Duds
BB / David Njoku: In his fill-in role for LaPorta, Njoku proved to be a waste, getting hurt and managing only 1.5 points.
RMX / Diontae Johnson: Johnson has been on the up since Dalton took the reins, but he caught only 3 balls and turned in 4 points.
Dominators vs. Crushers
Both of these squads needed a win to get some positive momentum, but it was a flyover for the Dominators in this matchup (despite Gibbs on bye). The Crushers were let down by the Jets and a Jones injury.
Studs
QCDD / Brian Thomas Jr.: The surprising Jags WR is now in the top 10 overall after a team-high 24 points from the Dom's flex spot.
QCDD / Brock Bowers: It was a matter of time before the #1 TE looked like it again, and he caught a big TD en route to 21 points (and just missed the 100-yard mark).
CFFT / Bears D: Trusting that the Panthers would not cause issues, Cliff got 18 team-leading points from this defense in a smart start.
Duds
CFFT / Deebo Samuel: Though Hall came up short in the run game, the bigger surprise is Deebo's lack of involvement. His 2 points were a key factor in the Crushers loss.
QCDD / Chris Olave: While Zay Flowers put in work on the bench, Olave squelched out 2 points, mirroring his Week 1 dud within a yard (2 rec, 11 yds).
Addicts vs. Losers
Despite failing to reach 100 for the third straight game, the Addicts got it done in the W column, cutting by the Losers without the aid of Reek or Pollard. The Losers remain injury-bitten, and could not muster enough replacement value to get over the hump (or avoid a Fumble).
Studs
GK / Darnell Mooney: It certainly appeared the Addicts would light things up, especially with Mooney's nice 25-point outburst on Thursday night.
LL / Daniel Jones: No Hurts this week (or roster spots) meant a plug and play of Danny Dimes, who answered the bell with 18.5 to lead the losing effort.
Duds
LL / Jerry Jeudy: The entire Browns offense looks putrid, and Jeudy was right in line with 2 points.
GK / De'Von Achane: It's not Achane's fault that he suffered a sideline concussion, but getting only 2 from a top-tier back is dud-worthy.
Wolves vs. Marauders
With a closer finish, this one would have been GOTW. Both teams put on their scoring shades, but it was the streaking Wolves who again led the league and emerged victorious over their division rival. The Marauders overcame their bye issues but needed even more to keep up.
Studs
DW / Ja'Marr Chase: This week's Power Player was nearly unstoppable, catching 10 balls for 193 (and 2 big TDs) and amassing 38.5 points to lead the Wolves way.
DW / Younghoe Koo: For the second straight week, Koo was the difference for this team with accuracy and opportunities (17.5).
MIM / Lamar Jackson: Lamar is QB1 overall, and his 33.5 points reminded the Marauders of why they drafted him in Round 4.
MIM / Tucker Kraft: As a waiver plug-and-play, Kraft came through with two big TDs and 21.5 points.
Duds
There were really no duds in this one!
Week 5 Preview
Garrett Wilson (Remix) looks to get loose in London.
Quick Picks (5)
Week 5 Sunday is here. The NLS plays the Rest, while the WS quarrels among themselves. Bye weeks begin their test of team depth.
Let's take a quick aerial survey of the situation around the league before making some arbitrary projections.
Easy Money
To this point, one team from each division leads the pack. The Crew haven't lost yet, and there's no reason to doubt them at this point. Losing Rice hurt, but team depth suggests they will be fine. While the Bruisers dropped a game last week, 3-1 projects to a 10+ win season, and we still haven't seen this team at peak capacity.
Keep an eye on the Threat in the coming weeks. They're in this tier at 3-1 as well, with consistency being the key to whether they remain there. The Week 4 win showed signs of a contender.
Waiting Game
The Addicts are dealing with Fins issues and it has tanked their scoring, but their 3 wins early buy them time for things to equalize. The defending champ Cheetahs keep scoring well but can't draw an opponent on the right week. They could ascend if the law of averages kicks in.
Even with one win, the Wolves look better than their record, and they should be able to forge ahead soon. For the Marauders and Remix, a middling start makes it unclear what noise these teams will make later in the year.
Issues Abound
The injury depletion for teams like the Losers and Crushers has been brutal--and almost unprecedented in the Losers case. They aren't the only ones dealing with concerns. The Dominators have yet to play up to their preseason expectations. Is this the week they exceed projections? They need to right the ship soon. The Football Team just got in the win column, but still seem to be sorting their lineup. Potential for all 4 of these squads with some timely management.
Let's get to the picks...noting that ESPN predictions are based on current projections (halftime of Vikes/Jets).
MATCHUPS
Crew vs. Cheetahs
These two always seem to put up great battles. Expect another one in their annual showdown.
Experts: Crew by 4
ESPN: Cheetahs by 2
LM: Cheetahs by 5
Bruisers vs. Remix
Projections call for a close game, with the Remix aiming for a W3 against the top-scoring Bruisers.
Experts: Remix by 12
ESPN: Remix by 6
LM: Bruisers by 2
Addicts vs. Losers
Both these teams have underachieved but have winning records. This will be an important one in the standings.
Experts: Addicts by 13
ESPN: Addicts by 16
LM: Addicts by 7
Threat vs. Football Team
A WS battle that sees the Threat eyeing further separation in the division against a yet-undefined Football Team.
Experts: Threat by 6
ESPN: Threat by 31
LM: Threat by 15
Wolves vs. Marauders
The hottest in team in Week 4 faces their up-and-down division rival for better footing in the WS.
Experts: Wolves by 15
ESPN: Wolves by 27
LM: Wolves by 10
Crushers vs. Dominators
Someone will get a much-needed win here, but it will likely be decided by 5 or less in a low-scoring affair.
Experts: Dolla by 1
ESPN: Crushers by 1
LM: Dolla by 3
Week 4 Review
Four Square
What an impactful Week 4! Showdowns, shootouts, and shitfests.
Some teams looked the best they have yet, while others can't seem to put it all together. Injuries swept a couple more stars out to sea (Bon Voyage, Rashee), but new names are on the rise. Let's get to the details
We officially have a Last Man Standing! Congrats to The 4:20 Crew on reaching 4-0. With the Bruisers and Addicts both dropping to 3-1, they've earned their second career LMS (2014, 5-0). That trophy will continue to be updated until the Crew joins the rest of us in the land of the beaten.
A tip of the hat to the Wolves and Football Team, who got their first wins with solid performances. Everyone is now in the win column! The Wolves led the league and raised their points ceiling, while WFT got their running game and Kelce to show up at last.
The 3-1 Threat must have helped an old lady across the street yesterday, as they snuck by the Bruisers in a nail-biter in the final moments Monday night. The outcome changed hands twice, befitting the "LOC witching hour" that Monday nights have become.
For the Marauders and Remix, they're both now up to 2-2, a spot held only by them and the Losers.
As we discussed in the preview, we were going to have as few as 3 teams at .500 and as many as 7 after this week. Three is where we landed.
Conversely, we now have 5 teams at 1-3, so two-thirds of the league is playing chase. The emerging split in the standings suggests that this season might turn into two distinct groups (rich/poor) by midseason.
In news you didn't ask for, the Commish's attempt at picking standouts from every roster was an even 6/12. This means you'll have to see the list again next week, though a blind monkey may be used as a second option for making selections.
On to the awards and matchups!
Last Man Standing
THE 4:20 Crew
4-0
Owner of the Week
Dire Wolves
143.5 Pts
Power Player
Dire Wolves
D. Henry - 35 Pts
Fantasy Fumble
Cliff's Crushers
72.5 Pts
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Matchups
Game of the Week
Threat vs. Bruisers
Threat vs. Bruisers
Summary
What an incredible matchup this turned into. The Bruisers got an early lead, the Threat took it back, the Bruisers came back to get it with 1 minute left on Monday, and one play turned the outcome back to the Threat. The Dak to CeeDee combo that got TLM 38.5 points on Thursday was just the beginning, as DeAndre Swift went big for 23.5 and Mike Evans added 17 more. Contributions from Warner were the added piece to fuel the Threat's 3-1 mark. They maintain sole possession of the WS lead.
The Bruisers have been unflappable in the early weeks, and they just nabbed the scoring lead despite the defeat. While no player reached 20 points, a solid balance of roster value kept them in it (and they remain atop the Rest). Hubbard, Nabers, and Geno all matched up for 19.5 points, and Addison (17) was 1 of 5 Bruisers WRs to reach double digits. Outside of a defensive dud, there isn't much to nitpick.
Clutch Start
Fred Warner / Threat: Not that there would be any reason to start anyone besides the #1 IDP, but Warner's pick-six and 15.5 points was a big difference-maker.
Failure to Launch
Steelers D / Bruisers: After scoring no less than 16 points per game in the first 3, the steel curtain was sheer against the Colts, resulting in only 1 point. (Honorable mention: TLM / Carson Steele, -1)
It was over when...
...Geno tossed a prayer into double coverage in the end zone, resulting in a (controversial) interception and a one-point loss instead of a one-point win.
Crew vs. Crushers
Summary
The Crew entered Monday night with a small deficit, but they leaned on their stars to put the game away and beat their division foe, the Crushers. The run game was the big driver, and Kenneth Walker was the star of the show, streaking for 26 and finding paydirt 3 times. Kamara continued his excellence, adding 19 to the cause. Murray had a down week, and the loss of Rice will hurt a little, but the star power has the Crew rolling in the NLS.
For Cliff and Co., there was hometown favorite Brian Robinson leading the way with 18.5 and Aaron Jones donating a steady 16, but letdowns from Hall and Quentin Johnston (3 combined) proved too much to overcome. They drop to 1-3.
Clutch Start
Titans D / Crew: It was simply smart to roll with the defense playing against the dismal Dolphins, and the Crew planned for it, earning a 19-point plug and play in the process.
Failure to Launch
Breece Hall / Crushers: Breece hadn't posted less than 13.5 points this year, but he never got going in this one, managing only 2 points and sinking the Crushers' chances.
It was over when...
...Kenneth Walker (LM Pick!) rolled into the end zone for his second of three TDs of the night. On the other side, Aidan Hutchinson failed to record a single point, shifting the balance quickly.
Wolves vs. Cheetahs
Summary
It's been an uneven start for the Wolves, but they got their turn in the spotlight in Act 4. They nabbed OTW and Power Player honors in a big scoring win against the hamstrung Cheetahs. Both teams brought the points in this one, but it was King Henry's massive night that drove the victory. A foot shy of 200 yards, Henry found 35 points in a clock-winding performance. Mason continued his smart play, adding 22.5 more. Chase and Diggs combined for 31 in a solid receiving day and Koo kookachooed 21.5 more.
We have to talk about the Cheetahs luck lately (and it's not about CMC). For the second straight week, the Conover unit put up the second highest point total for the week and lost. That hurts now, but those points will matter later. Jayden Reed got the nod at flex and came through with a team-leading 23. The run game paired for 24, and Burrow added 19. No starter finished below 7.5 points. Reasons for optimism.
Clutch Start
Younghee Koo / Wolves: Anytime a kicker gives you 20+, the odds are decent that you'll win. Koo's 4 FGs (2 from 50+) were an essential difference in this one.
Failure to Launch
Mark Andrews / Wolves: Despite the win, the only ugly mark in this matchup was the star TE posting a zilch. He hasn't shown up yet, and this wasn't the week.
It was over when...
...Derrick Henry scampered 87 yards on the opening play of the game Sunday night, a sign that he would drive up the lead for the Wolves to where a comeback wouldn't be possible.
Football Team vs. Dominators
Summary
A miserable start to the season gave way to a W1 for the Football Team, as they found their way past the underachieving Dominators. The Texans connection finally reached peak capacity, with Stroud distributing 22.5 points and Nico lighting things up for 27. While not a huge day, the running backs contributed for a combined 20. Everyone played their part...even Kelce reached 12 in this one. If this is the beginning of a sixth straight playoff run, it's a good start.
The Dominators continue to rank highly in ROS projections, but couldn't find the scoring to get back to .500 here. The return of Jordan Love was a bright spot, with 4 TDs and 28.5 points to show for it. Gibbs added 15.5 and Olave/Browns D reached a dozen, but it just wasn't enough this week.
Clutch Start
Bucky Irving / Football Team: With a vacancy at RB2, WFT leaned on Irving to help fix the problem, and his 9.5 points were important to the outcome, even as increased production is likely still to come.
Failure to Launch
Zay Flowers / Dominators: After a decent start to the year, Zay saw only 2 targets and 1.5 points in this one, an unpleasant outing in a game where a boom was needed.
It was over when...
...Nico crossed into double-digit receptions en route to a 12-catch, 151-yard day. His 3-yard TD and repeated targeting by Stroud ensured the Walkertown lead would be secure.
Remix vs. Krackaddicts
Summary
The Dolphins are partially to blame for the Addicts' first loss, but the Remix did their part as well, tightening up the NLS division race in the process. Kyren Williams' 16 was the team lead, and Diontae (at least you've got him!) offered a clutch 15.5 in the flex. Mahomes and McLaurin both reached a dozen, and while no one lit up the scoreboard, the balance got the OG's back to 2-2.
The Addicts got 17 from Conner and 15.5 from Pollard in a good rushing day, but neither Hill nor Achane came up with points, and Josh Allen was bad this week. Poor outings from the support positions sealed the deal earlier than expected.
Clutch Start
Taysom Hill / Remix: Tight Ends are a hard start these days, but the Remix wisely grabbed Hill and he delivered a valuable 10-point contribution to the cause.
Failure to Launch
De'Von Achane / Addicts: Ten carries, fifteen yards. Despite the young RB's skillset, he managed to go nowhere fast Monday night, sinking the Ghetto comeback chances in this one.
It was over when...
...Kyren Williams reached the end zone (for the 6th time in 4 games) in the 4th quarter. He continues to impress and lead the Remix rushing attack.
Marauders vs. Losers
Summary
It wasn't the most thrilling game, but the Marauders did have to wait 'til Monday night yet again to learn their fate (trailing the Losers by 1). Amon-Ra's 15.5 points made it less than stressful, helping Mitchell get back to 2-2. Amid a sea of mediocre single-digit output from the RBs, Lamar posted 20 and the Niners D (24) went off. Sometimes you take them where you can get them.
The Losers have been bitten hard by the injury bug, with 5(!) players ruled out for this week. They didn't go to the wire for help, but Jon Taylor continued to lead the way with 16. The Raiders D added 13 and Harrison chipped in 11, but whelming days from Hurts and the ancillary spots kept the cap on any shot at a win.
Clutch Start
There isn't a qualifying start for this one.
Failure to Launch
Ty Chandler / Losers: There wasn't much in the way of current roster swaps that could have helped, but Chandler didn't arrive Sunday, leaving the Losers stranded with 1.5 points.
It was over when...
...Amon-Ra caught two passes in a row on the Lions second drive, propelling the Marauders into the lead for a late win.
Week 4 Preview
Rashee Rice has been a big key to the Crew's 3-0 start.
Week 4
The end of September is here! The season is racing along now. Week 4 presents a breakeven scenario that tends to show up this time every season, when a glut of 2-2 teams likely emerges from the fray.
The number of us at .500 could be as high as 7 teams or as few as 3. If it's on the lower end, separation will be clear in every division, but history tells us it will likely be around half the league.
That's a good thing for league parity...it keeps everyone feeling like they are very much in it (though you're still in at 0-4, for that matter). Speaking of 0-4...can WFT and the Wolves avoid that unenviable start?
On the opposite end, will the Addicts, Bruisers, and Crew keep it rolling to 4-0? They are all projected to do so, but projections are notoriously hit/miss.
Want evidence? You only have to go back to last week to see that the experts picked the Wolves to win by 23 (they lost by 15). To their credit, they did pick the other 5 winners correctly, but in Week 2 they only got 2 of 6 games right.
In summary, expect 1 of the 3 undefeated teams to drop a game.
It's a division week for the NLS and a Rest vs. WS shootout.
We'll get to the matchups in a moment, but first, a couple of new things.
You didn't request it, but the Commish is giving you his top players to watch for FPAE (fantasy points above expectation) from each team. These aren't ranked, but rather listed in alphabetical order by team. This new weekly series will continue until pick accuracy drops below 50% ...so it might be a one-time thing.
After that is a quick look at historical numbers relevant to the current week.
(Archive Note: See News/Nuggets for these features).
THE NARRATIVE
Bruisers vs. Threat
"There's going to be a clean-up on Aisle 5!" The words rang out over the PA in the rural Scranton Piggly Wiggly. Perhaps unintentionally, the mike was left on for a follow-up "Go puck yourself". It's unclear what started the altercation, but sanitation manager Ben Scarn seems to be embracing his own moves: "If doing the Scarn is gay, I'm the gayest man in the world!"
The recipient of most of the verbal gunfire is his brother (and customer service manager) Mike "Willy" Scarn. "Ben will be Etienne trouble this week. He is Barkley up the wrong tree with TLM. Win guaranteed for the Threat. I'm not Njoking around." All employees are gathering in Scarn's office currently to review and resolve this issue prior to a scheduled visit from corporate liaison David Wallace.
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All Time: 2-1, Threat
ESPN: Bruisers by 14
Experts: Bruisers by 3
LM: Threat by 8
Crew vs. Crushers
Adversity has besieged a regional racing team, due in no small part to a new female hire who has slashed expenses at the main garage and created animosity among the drivers. Utility cancellations and a new requirement that all team vehicles use spare tires on the track has generated some heat. Entering the 4th race of the season, Next Level Swervers spokesperson J-Rod O'Boyce did not mince words when asked about the implications: "F**k Helen and the hell hole you came from. I just want a hot shower!"
Not everyone seems to be as discouraged. The crew chief was overheard saying "No power, no cell service, but we're headed for 2-2! We f**king love adversity." It's unclear what Helen's future is at NLS.
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All Time: 17-13, Crew
ESPN: Crew by 6
Experts: Crew by 23
LM: Crew by 4
Addicts vs. Remix
Despite recent success in moving illicit drugs in the local club circuit, local kingpin CoCo Danley is concerned that his AddictTrack scoring system is demotivating the runners. "I hope more than two players score points this week." He's likely also annoyed by the recent encroachment from a dance unit with plans of their own to chip away at the profit share.
Requests for comment from veteran DJ Sir Remix-a-lot yielded no response. Unsubstantiated rumors are circulating that Sir Remix-a-lot's primary assistant and dance man Patty "Jig is up" Mahomes has considered quitting the business.
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All Time: 8-8, Tied
ESPN: Addicts by 7
Experts: Remix by 4
LM: Remix by 7
Losers vs. Marauders
Boat sales are up, in part due to the formation of a new ocean in Western North Carolina. Unfortunately, this new waterway has increased crime in the area, with opportunistic pirates patrolling the waters in search of easy prey. One of these so-called 'marauders' was spotted yelling at a stranded boater just yesterday: "We're gonna sink your Loser life raft and take prisoners, if we can find anyone on board worth keeping."
Search and rescue crews reached the boater earlier this morning, finding him building a fire with old wood from a former Hickory hosiery mill. Converted Rastafarian Leddy Jah made it clear he is on the lookout for his foe: "We gon make dem Marauduhs walk da own plank, mon!" No word yet as to whether this brewing standoff will result in any fist-a-cuffs.
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All Time: 7-4, Marauders
ESPN: Losers by 3
Experts: Marauders by 9
LM: Losers by 5
Cheetahs vs. Wolves
Members of a local board game club are preparing for a Mouse Trap marathon this weekend, and our news team caught up with two of the most competitive members of the group. When asked about prep for the battle, West "Long Grain" Rice simply deferred: "I'm conserving my energy for the game this week". Meanwhile, his chief rival Jimmy "Trade Raider" Nex appears to want nothing to do with Long Grain's prep. "I'm not Mason around with West...too strong", he said dismissively.
For interested attendees, the tourney begins at 1pm sharp with a special "Get Well Soon" tribute to club president Chris Mac, who is unable to attend do to penal tendinitis.
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All Time: 10-8, Cheetahs
ESPN: Wolves by 5
Experts: Wolves by 12
LM: Wolves by 2
Dominators vs. Football Team
Reports are coming in about a potential rivalry gone haywire between chain retail stores. Charlotte dollar store GM Andy Michelli espoused extreme confidence about his franchise's ability to win this brewing rivalry, stating plainly "Domination is at hand". Plans are not so above-board for struggling rival Walkertown Walk-in. Their spokesman Chuck Wagon levied harsh words about the opposition: "March to 6th straight payloffs starts with torching the dolla stores."
Local police are on standby to make sure arson is avoided, but Chuck was spotted purchasing 17 gas cans at a Walkertown hardware store. More updates soon.
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All Time: 11-8, Dominators
ESPN: Dominators by 9
Experts: Dominators by 22
LM: Dominators by 5
Week 3 Review
Three For Three
And there you have it...
Some late outcome shifts and a couple of favorites beginning to emerge. Several wins left behind. Scoring picked up Monday night after a slow Sunday for many.
Three teams now stand at 3-0. All 3 have momentum on their side (even with injuries, which have spared no one). There's a poll up on ESPN if you'd like to weigh in on who will survive the coming weeks.
Regardless, the current upper crust is made up of those teams (Crew/Bruisers/Addicts) and the two 2-1 squads (Losers/Threat). Conversely, 7(!) of the 12 LOC'ers are 1-2 or 0-3. More losing than winning?
The top tier speaks for itself...the Bruisers ran hot yet again, earning their first OTW (w/ over 125 pts all 3 weeks) and continuing to find big individual scores to power the momentum. The Crew are making waves with an early scoring lead, thanks to big games from their big 5 (QB/RB/WR). The Addicts haven't gotten Tyreek's usual contributions yet, but Josh Allen (and good matchup timing) has kept them in the clear thus far.
Right behind them, the Threat dropped their first this week (vs. the Crew), but the Losers bounced back and look like a team on the rise.
We spoke in the preview about indicators of ascending teams this week and about figuring out who teams really are. If any of that was accurate, then we're seeing some signs.
The Remix and Crushers got in the win column this week, with both posting their highest points totals thus far. If these two teams are showing what they're made of, then the NLS division is going to be a real power struggle all year.
Even in losses, the Cheetahs and Wolves looked better than expected. Conversely, teams like the Dominators, Football Team, and Marauders did not look great.
It's still anyone's ball game, but the hot/cold nature of fantasy football has most of the league still trying to sort out their starting 10.
Week 3 gave us clues about who to watch, but the league is crowded with 'mid' teams right now and we've got a lot yet to learn.
Owner of the Week
Benny's Bruisers
138 Points
Power Player
Benny's Bruisers
S. Barkley - 32 points
Fantasy Fumble
Walkertown FT
52 Points
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Matchups
Game of the Week
Bruisers vs. Cheetahs
Bruisers vs. Cheetahs
Summary
This was a high-scoring and ultimately well-played game, though it looked lopsided for a while. Sure, the Bruisers got nothing from Shaheed, and LaPorta continued to underwhelm, but the sun shone everywhere else. Barkley continues to excel, earning a second Power Player to lead the way. The Hubbard call was on-point, and the defense/kicker combo yielded another 28.5 in tertiary support. Nabers looks like he's here to stay (19.5).
The Cheetahs are making do while tendons heal. The Jets D (23) and Burrow (25) were big drivers this week in a rotating cast of characters. Akers and Waddle underachieved, but Montgomery added 19.5 and Moore/London got to double digits. It added up to the second-highest score of the week (but up against the first).
Clutch Start
Chuba Hubbard / Bruisers: Snagging him off waivers this past week, the Bruisers benefitted massively from Chuba's matchup-winning 25-point performance. Well-timed roster adjustment.
Failure to Launch
Jaylen Waddle / Cheetahs: Of course it's too early to bench Waddle, but for the second consecutive week, he served up a poor showing (4.5) that has managers wishing Tua were back. (Shaheed's 0 would have been here if Ben lost.)
It was over when...
...Saquon scored two TDs and a 2-pointer in the 4th quarter. That production put him over 100 yards and gave the Bruisers a lead they would never relinquish.
Crew vs. Threat
Summary
Our only battle of 2-0's meant that someone would leave the unbeaten column. It was to be the Threat in what developed into a competitive matchup. The Crew were coming off a 175-point game, so there was bound to be some settling, but they stayed hot enough to seal the victory. Rashee Rice (23) is tearing it up, and Kamara got a nice assist from Ekeler in the RB room. The Hawks D was a difference-maker as well. Outside of Likely's dud, the Crew kept things rolling.
Hope was still alive for TLM entering Monday, after big days from Dak (26.5) and Charbonnet (21) to boost the baseline. Unfortunately, only the Saints D joined them in double digits. This team has a decent amount of balance, it just wasn't at a high enough level this week to get Win 3.
Clutch Start
Seahawks D / Crew: They were culled from the wire last week and slotted in this week against the woeful Dolphins. That timely move generated 17 points toward the Crew win,
Failure to Launch
Jake Bates / Threat: If you aren't going to get a field goal attempt, then hitting the XP's becomes the only way on the board. Bates fish-hooked an extra point and scored none.
It was over when...
...Austin Ekeler turned back time with a big run and an icing TD for the Crew that outpaced anything Dalton Kincaid would do on the other side.
Crushers vs. Wolves
Summary
It seemed as though the Crushers were poised to excel, but the Kupp/Deebo injuries had soured the mood. They shook off the swarm this week against the Wolves, reaching 120 behind another solid day from Aaron Jones. His 23 was team-high. Getting healthy QB play (Rodgers-18.5) and 17 from the Bills helped the cause, while waiver plays elsewhere yielded enough to earn the Cliffs their first win and best week yet.
The Wolves couldn't get the same outcome, despite their best week thus far. Henry raised his scoring ceiling with 27.5 and Chase came alive with 25.5 more. Those would account for half the team points but are good signs for the future. Andrews (0) continues to mystify while Diggs is doing better than anticipated. A win left behind here...but optimism lingers.
Clutch Start
Aaron Rodgers / Jets: Given Tua's injury, it seemed likely that Rodgers would get a shot at starting, but his 18.5-point day was better than he'd looked in the first two weeks--an important piece of the Crushers victory.
Failure to Launch
Brock Purdy / Wolves: It made more sense to start Derek Carr (6), but in a 15-point loss, Purdy's 24 would have been the Dire difference.
It was over when...
...the Bills D took the field and immediately manhandled the Jags offense. That 5-sack, 17-point effort gave the Crushers enough of a margin to hold off the Wolves.
Losers vs. Dominators
Summary
The Losers moved to 2-1 and looked comfortable in their win over the Dominators. No Joe Mixon meant a poor spot start of Ty Chandler (1), and the flex position (Warren, 1) continues to be a bugaboo, but the rest of the team is clicking. Jon Taylor's 24 would normally have been the team lead were it not for the timely scoop of Goedert (see below). Hurts and Smith combined for 20 here, and Harrison caught another TD. There are areas that need improvement, but so far so good.
The Dominators never got out of the starting gate, stymied by Rhamondre (0) and subpar days from most every starter. Olave had 16 and Gibbs posted 14, but a series of 3/5/7/9 elsewhere wasn't enough to make it happen. They'll look to bounce back next week.
Clutch Start
Dallas Goedert / Losers: While it might have been Eagles homerism at heart, the Losers put in a waiver claim for Dallas as soon as he was dropped, and his massive day (24.5) was basically the difference.
Failure to Launch
Rhamonde Stevenson / Dominators: While Stevenson was averaging 17 points per game entering this one, his fumble and ensuing goose egg were icing on the Dolla pound cake.
It was over when...
...DeVonta Smith left the game with a concussion. Dallas Goedert became the primary target, catching a 61-yarder late to seal the game for the Losers.
Remix vs. Marauders
Summary
The switcheroo matchup this week brought the Remix to victory lane on a late TD from Scary Terry. They slid by the Marauders to earn a measure of winning confidence after a slow start to the season. Kyren had a great game (24) that could have been even better, and TMC's 18 saved the receiving day. Mahomes (at least_ provided 15.5 as he continues to find some sort of rhythm. Are the Remix about to hit their stride?
The Marauders continue to leave wins behind, this one with options. Lamar's 23.5 was the team high, with Amon-Ra adding 15.5 and Cook (14) doing enough. Bad days from Dobbins and the Niners kept the points below 100 after a good Week 2, and it's 1-2 for the MIM coaster.
Clutch Start
Terry McLaurin / Remix: There just isn't a better example of sticking with your guys until they show up. After 2.5 and 5 points in the first two games, his 18 points rewarded the Remix for their continued faith.
Failure to Launch
Devin Singletary / Marauders: The decision to flex presumed Rams #1 WR Demarcus Robinson (3.5) over Singletary was a critical failure in a 5.5-point game. His 14.5 would have been plenty.
It was over when...
...Terry McLaurin caught a 27-yard TD pass as the final minutes ticked away. That catch got him to the 100-yard milestone and flipped the loss into a win for the Remix.
Addicts vs. Football Team
Summary
We saved the best for last. Well, we saved this one for last. 124.5 combined points would have been good enough to beat most teams this week (if that's how it worked). The Addicts got the win, limping to 72.5 points with two clear stars and a lot of haze everywhere else. Josh Allen was on fire, throwing for 4 TDs and reeling off 30 points. Big Play DK got 21. Seven of the other eight starters finished with less than 6 points. This team was hot out of the block, but in this case they will just take the win and run.
The Football Team's rushing (and winning) woes continue, and that was complicated by forgettable days from Stroud, Kelce, and the Raiders D. Shakir led the way with 14 and Nico chipped in 11, but there just wasn't anything else to feel good about except that it was over (and that 50 points was surpassed).
Clutch Start
There just isn't anyone the Commish can find from either starting squad to justify putting a player here. :/
Failure to Launch
Raiders D / Football Team: No one likes the feeling that they should have just left the roster spot open. The Raiders managed a painful -4 on defense against the previously beatable Panthers. (The Bengals weren't much better at -3).
It was over when...
...Josh Allen threw 3 second-quarter touchdown passes to widen the margin. That proved enough to create an insurmountable lead for the Addicts in a low-scoring slugfest.
Week 3 Preview
Josh Allen (GK) projects as the highest scorer for Wk 3.
Week 3 Arrival
We're wheels-up and descending into an important Week 3 weekend. The competitive Rest division sees divisional action and the NLS faces the WS in cross-division play.
What do we know going in? For starters, we know our number of undefeated teams will be reduced by at least one since the Crew and Threat are squaring off. We know a winless team will get their first win when the Wolves and Crushers game is decided. And finally, based on outcome math, we know that half the league will be at 1-2 or 0-3 by Monday night.
In other words, no matter how beaten up or underwhelming your team may be, the locker room of underachievement will be crowded entering Week 4.
On the positive end of the spectrum, this feels like the weekend we will see another team take a big step forward. As was hinted at in Thursday night's game, Week 3 furthers the process of revealing who teams really are. Not necessarily for playoff time, but at least what we can expect over the next month...the time before cold weather plays an impact, before injured stars return, and before teams truly jell and rally in the back half of the year.
Some waivers wonders will start to look fluky. Some previous legends or high-ADP guys will lose carries or target share. In contrast, some stars will fire up their A-game. Some rookies and sleepers will begin to prove their worth. It's just an important time to figure out who you really have and what you still need to balance out your roster.
Who will emerge with a squad that suddenly appears better suited for the upper echelon of the league? Whose hot 2-0 start will suddenly look less sustainable? These are the answers we'll see taking shape by the time the dust settles on our third round of action.
Don't assign this weekend hype to worthless bluster. This is a signal game for your squad. Will yours be sending out Mayday! or Full Speed Ahead! alerts to the rest of the league. We'll soon know.
[LM Note: Preview format shifting slightly. 2% more fun added.}
Crew vs. Threat
Winston-Salem, NC: According to local sources, members of a group self-identifying as The 4:20 Crew were spotted milling about outside a local office paper supply store, holding signs and threatening the business with imminent defeat amidst a 2-0 start for both parties. When asked about their specific beef with the Threat operation, the ringleader confidently stated that they were no 'threat' at all, rather more like "Threat Level Zero. The Crew are on to 3-0 and a championship run."
When reached for comment, TLM organizer Billy C. Rilem-up responded smugly, quickly turning the matter personal with a "F*** Jeremy...and his haircut." The sort of random scattershot one would expect when an unlearned shotgun is fired into the wind. How this matter is resolved remains unclear. One thing that is certain...both of these teams will not reach 3-0.
___
Last 5 matchups: 3-2, Threat
ESPN Pick: Crew by 3
Experts Pick: Threat by 4
LM Pick: Crew by 10
Addicts vs. Football Team
Walkertown, NC: In the typically quiet town of Walkertown, an 0-2 start has the offices of Dr. LOCburn packed with concerned patients. Just today, a forlorn Football Team owner laid out his sad summation that "my team sucks." It is unclear why clients give up on their future goals so quickly---or at least begin to sour on them---but the issue was compounded when a clearly-disturbed Krackaddict yelled at the man from the street: "Aaahhhh, I try win real bad!!"
Looks were exchanged, but nothing more has come of it just yet. Authorities remain on standby should an intradiction be necessary. The reduction in substantive dialogue has the doctor and other citizens rightfully concerned.
___
Last 5 matchups: 4-1, Football Team
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 6
Experts Pick: Addicts by 9
LM Pick: Addicts by 3
Bruisers vs. Cheetahs
Conover, NC: Old wounds don't fully heal, at least not when they're prodded. What started as a chance encounter at the road adjacent to the Bunker Hill Bridge turned into a reminder of matchups passed that still haunt a team who has yet to lose a game this year. Bruisers management was heard scolding their opponent: "This will not be a repeat of the 2022 championship game."
Further attempts to goad the once-lauded passerby into a confrontation were met with a simple "I'm not playing because of my tendinitis." To some, it may sound like a way to de-escalate the situation, but eyewitness accounts suggest that a scrum did ensue.
___
Last 5 matchups: 4-1, Cheetahs
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 7
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 3
LM Pick: Bruisers by 10
Losers vs. Dominators
Indian Trail, NC: South of Charlotte, a debate over the value of local currency and 90's rap affectations has devolved into a potential assault. The monotone blasts of "Cash rules everything around me, CREAM--It's a new year, Dolla Dolla bill y'all." followed by "Domination is at hand, bitches" could be heard echoing through the chambers of the local city government office. When plied for comment, the Loser candidate made his annoyance with his colleague clear: "Dolla Dolla Done! is what I say."
While the devaluation of said Dolla remains to be factually verified, what is certain is that the debate will continue at least through the weekend. Further updates once they are available.
___
Last 5 matchups: 3-2, Dominators
ESPN Pick: Losers by 7
Experts Pick: Losers by 12
LM Pick: Dominators by 8
Wolves vs. Crushers
Conover, NC: A leaked personal note written to a local business owner has gotten quite its share of attention. While the business--operated by experienced roster flattener Clifford B. Crushenstein--has had its share of early red flags, the reality as stated by the Crushers owner is even worse: "It may not look good from the outside...but on the inside it's a real sh** show."
Be that as it may, the aforementioned note--written by a werewolf enthusiast from Yadkinville--really puts their presumed meeting into perspective. Here it is in its entirety, presented without additional context:
"I mean, obviously this a huge matchup for us both, and I trust that Cliff is training just as hard. Winning the annual LOC LibTard bowl means a lot to both of us. I’ve been gearing up for the matchup by drinking plenty of pumpkin spice lattes and listening to NPR during my morning and evening yoga sessions. I got a few on my team that are questionable at best. I might try to figure out a way to sneak in an illegal in my IR spot. If worst comes to worst, I know a guy named JoBu who has a history of doing some Caribbean voodoo to turn teams’ losing fortunes around, although I might have to eat a cat to break the curse. I’m not too plussed about that possibility, but I got some extra vaccines stashed in my makeup bag just in case."
___
Last 5 matchups: 5-0, Crushers
ESPN Pick: Wolves by 16
Experts Pick: Wolves by 23
LM Pick: Wolves by 5
Marauders vs. Remix
Lexington, NC: Meeting at the site of several recent fantasy drafts, an off-kilter pirate was seen engaging with a self-assured DJ, setting the stage for either a potential plundering or a complete reimagining of a classic hit. The DJ seemed less than confident about his turntable setup, denoting that "The Remix is in a sad state of affairs right now."
In a contrastingly condescending manner, the Marauder suggested that "perhaps this foe should return to his jollies with the smaller vessels". It's all a bit unnecessary when seas are calm and the rhythms of the season are not yet established, indicating a lack of confidence is actually warranted for both parties.
___
Last 5 matchups: 4-1, Remix
ESPN Pick: Remix by 8
Experts Pick: Remix by 1
LM Pick: Marauders by 1
Week 2 Review
2x4 impact
Ever gotten hit with a 2x4? Makes quite an impact, especially if unplanned.
In Week 2, dual-threat Alvin Kamara made quite the dent in the scoring, scoring 4 TDs and looking like his younger self with a massive 40-point day for the 4:20 Crew. Maybe unexpected, but certainly welcome in this case.
It was truly a time to shine for the Crew, as they amassed 175 points in the process. More about that accomplishment in the Nugget.
Week 2 also trimmed the winners-only circle to 4 teams. The Crew are joined by the Bruisers, Addicts, and Threat as the remaining unbeatens through two weeks.
We're starting to see some trends. The Bruisers are the only team to reach 125 points in both games thus far, an indicator of their elevated scoring floor. The Addicts weren't quite as explosive in Week 2, but still look like a force. The Threat had to toil in both wins, but they earned 2-0 nonetheless. These early wins can make the difference down the stretch.
The Marauders and Dominators both elevated their scoring significantly to get even at 1-1. Overall, 8 of 12 teams reached 100 points this week. While team scoring has improved--especially compared with Preseason Wk 4 last week--it's not all a gravy train.
Injuries continue to build, and this weekend saw concerning outages for the Crushers. They lost Tua Thursday, then added Kupp and Deebo to that list, vacuuming points from what is otherwise a solid starting roster. 0-2 is the result. Likewise, teams with plenty of potential just haven't played up to it yet. The Remix, Football Team, and Wolves are also at 0-2, with the Wolves and Remix yet to reach 100 points.
The Cheetahs title defense has been rocked by CMC's injury, and they've yet to crack triple digits either. The Losers ran into the Crew buzzsaw this weekend, dropping them to 1-1 just like the defending champs.
As for the (very early) division race, the Bruisers and Threat hold outright leads in the Rest and WS, respectively, while the Crew and Addicts are tied atop the NLS. A few teams are swinging lumber, with plenty more just trying to pull out the splinters.
Let's dive into the awards and matchups from Week 2...
Owner of the Week
The 4:20 Crew
175 Points
Power Player
The 4:20 Crew
Alvin Kamara - 40
Fantasy Fumble
Remix OG
83 Points
---
Matchups
Game of the Week
Crew vs. Losers
Crew vs. Losers
As covered above, the Crew fired on all cylinders this week, raising the bar for this year's points output. They cruised past the Losers to get to 2-0, though LL put up a decent week in defeat.
Kenneth Walker was ruled out, but it barely registered in the sum of 4:20 production. Kamara's 40 points and Kyler's 29.5 were massive boosts to the final numbers. Receiving was a boon, as Jefferson and Davante both came alive with 20+ point outings and the trio (including Rice) combined for 60.5 points. The Chargers D was the right call (18). Only Likely underachieved in this massive outburst. Watch out for the Crew!
The Losers found better scoring than last week, as rookie Harrison exploded for 28 and Hurts connected with Smith for a 35.5 point combination. Two zeroes in a starting 10 rarely results in a win, and although it wouldn't have helped in this one, the Ledford depth will have to be sorted to keep up in the Rest.
Threat vs. Wolves
This was certainly the nail-biter of the week, with the Threat holding off a late comeback attempt by the Wolves to win this division battle and move to 2-0. Koo was called upon multiple times but needed 2 more points in the Dire effort.
The run game continues to outperform expectations for the Threat, but they lost Pacheco to injury (he and Charbonnet both reached 13). You usually lose when your IDP is your high scorer, but it was the difference maker here. Fred Warner's 20.5 were quite clutch. CeeDee added 18.5 more to the win, and while Evans and the Cowboys D both failed to show, there was just enough to get a W for the '21 champs.
For the Wolves, it was another week of "not quite enough". Jacobs and Henry combo-ed for 28.5 points, and both look to be sturdy starters for the foreseeable future. If not, Jordan Mason added 16.5 from the flex spot and appears set to get a big workload over the next month at least. Purdy (and Goff) aren't playing up to par for this team, and Chase and Diggs have yet to really show out.
Bruisers vs. Crushers
The beleagured Crushers ran up against a hot Bruisers team, falling to 0-2 with the obvious injury toll. The Bruisers hold the outright lead in the NLS after another solid performance.
Unlike the first outing, this week's Bruisers win was fueled by the receivers (a low point last week). One consistent boost that we saw again this week was the K/D combo. The Steelers D (17) and Aubrey (18.5) were key ancillary assists in a win highlighted by Malik Like-a-good-Nabers. He farmed 23.5 to lead the team, with Shaheed added 19.5 more. LaPorta still isn't himself in the Lions offense, but Barkley (15.5) seems a steady hand for this 2-0 squad.
Likely the best of the 0-2 teams, the Crushers will have to find a way to hold it together til their stars can get back. Team depth is already being tested, with some of those better scores left on the bench. Breece Hall was his solid self with 18.5, and Deebo (later injured) posted 17 for the cause. Kittle's 15 was a welcome addition, but the chances were clipped in this one.
Addicts vs. Cheetahs
It wasn't a dominant weekend as in Week 1, but the Addicts found points where needed to move to 2-0 and take down the Cheetahs, who are still looking for a steadying hand to get things rolling.
Tyreek had a rare dud (likely due to Tua's bad day), but the Addicts weathered the storm and earned a winning streak. DK Metcalf was in his element, racking up 26.5 to lead the WRs. In the running game, Achane (23.5) and Conner (18.5) are shaping up to a dangerous 1-2 punch. Josh Allen had a down day, but most of the news is good for the Ghetto attack.
Not crazy for the 4-time champs to have a rough start, but it will be if scoring woes continue. No shame in Montgomery and Ford holding the rushing attack while CMC is sidelined, but DM's 13 was their second best showing of the weekend (topped by the Jets D - 14). Drake London chipped in a dozen, but Jayden and Jaylen had off games that could have helped.
Dominators vs. Remix
Both of these squads were looking to turn things around, but only the Dominators found a better foothold this weekend, riding team balance to a win over the Remix. The OG's struggles continued with another Fumble.
An impressive bit of team balance showed that the Doms can always be competitive if they play the right pieces. 6 starters (and 9 players overall) reached 13+. Kirk Cousins led the way with 17 in a solid Monday night showing. Robinson (14) and Gibbs (13.5) will continue to be a tough positional duo to beat, with Rhamondre (13.5) right there in support. The WR's weren't great this week, but optimism is warranted.
The Remix are likely capable of a lot more, but it hasn't been seen just yet. TE Tre McBride's 15.5 were the team high, with the up-and-coming JaMo adding a dozen. Kyren had a manageable 11 and Mahomes 11.5, but the breakout performances for this season are still untapped. Rachaad White's 2.5 were emblematic of the early struggles here.
Marauders vs. Football Team
A WS battle that saw the Marauders come alive, riding team depth to 140+ in a matchup that was never close. The Football Team has reasons for optimism, but the running game tanked their chances.
It was a solid scoring blitz from the key weapons that elevated the Marauders after a subpar Week 1. Lamar and the Niners D both underachieved, but the RB trio of Cook, Dobbins, and Singletary combined for 55 points (led by Cook's 22.5). Chris Godwin got the start and also provided 22.5, while Amon-Ra added 19.5 before exiting. Maxx Crosby's 15 was icing on the cake.
No AJ Brown for WFT this week, forcing them to call up Greg Dortch. He and Aiyuk failed to assist the cause, though Nico Collins continues to pace the squad. His 23.5 were the best of the starters. Fairbarn kicked in 22.5 to pump the numbers. Kelce and the running game are not playing up to potential, so the Football Team will look to adjust moving forward.
Week 2 Preview
Achane's 23.5 was Thursday's best. (Addicts)
Seconds
Let's have a second helping of fantasy football, shall we?
While Week 1 was unpredictable and uneven, this second one should reinforce whatever new routine is being established. One thing that hasn't changed is the early injuries to key players. From CMC and Puka to Jordan Love and Tua and on down, early roster adjustments are being required once again.
Speaking of, our first week of waivers claims are in...did you get who you wanted? Team depth matters; even more so right now for those teams trying to account for injured stars. Let's see what these new arrivals bring to the table in Week 2.
Whether you're set or scrambling, we're all looking for either 1-1 or 2-0 this weekend. The slate is made up of WS division games and the NLS taking on the Rest. Who will emerge unscathed and who will fall back? Who will right the ship after a bad Week 1? We'll guess now and find out soon.
As you'll notice, the experts don't agree with ESPN very often this week.
Crew vs. Losers
H2H
8-8, Tied
Summary
This battle of 1-0's sees the Crew and their strong WR trio against the run-first attack of the Losers. A goose egg from Keon Coleman on Thursday has the LL squad facing an uphill battle in this one.
Boomers
DeVonta Smith (Losers) - Watch for he and Smith to hook up down the field in a combo that keeps this one close.
Austin Ekeler (Crew) - Should be utilized as Daniels' safety valve and reach double-digits in a fill-in role for the Crew.
Busters
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Losers) - He'll play better than in Week 1, but not to WR1 level.
Isaiah Likely (Crew) - Despite a crazy good Week 1, Mark Andrews will step up and cap Likely's production.
Picks
ESPN: Crew by 6
Experts: Losers by 4
LM: Crew by 10
Addicts Vs. Cheetahs
H2H
14-8, Cheetahs
Summary
These two had opposite showings in the first week, but also both won. The defending champs are without CMC and got 6 from Waddle on Thursday, while the Addicts got muted production from Hill and Allen (but a big game from Achane). This one may come down to Goedert.
Boomers
Drake London (Cheetahs) - Due for a bounce-back after the Week 1 dud. Will cruise by the 10.9 projection.
George Pickens (Addicts) - As the Steelers #1 guy in the receiving game, he'll catch 7+ passes and reach 15 points.
Busters
David Montgomery (Cheetahs) - Getting the worst end of the timeshare this week, he'll post single digits.
Broncos D (Addicts) - The Steelers beat the Broncos with more offense than expected, pushing them down to 5 or less.
Picks
ESPN: Cheetahs by 1
Experts: Addicts by 8
LM: Addicts by 3
Bruisers vs. Crushers
H2H
14-9, Bruisers
Summary
Both these teams lit up the scoreboard in Wk 1, but only the Bruisers came away with a win. A Tua injury hampers the Crushers cause in the short term, so they'll lean on their RB 1-2 punch while the Bruisers look for more AR/Saquon magic.
Boomers
Sam LaPorta (Bruisers) - This uber-talented TE finds the end zone and looks like the top guy from last year.
Aaron Jones (Crushers) - Proving he still has gas in the tank, Jones once again reaches 15+.
Busters
Courtland Sutton (Bruisers) - The ebbs and flows of a rookie QB cause a Week 2 shortage of opportunity.
Commanders D (Crushers) - It makes sense they would excel here, but the division rival Giants defy the odds.
Picks
ESPN: Bruisers by 3
Experts: Crushers by 7
LM: Bruisers by 2
Wolves vs. Threat
H2H
3-2, Wolves
Summary
This WS clash sees the only 1-0 team in the division (Threat) looking to keep that lead against the capable Wolves. This one may bring out big scores from both teams, but the Jordan Mason factor may prove the difference for Dire.
Boomers
Zach Charbonnet (Threat) - With Walker out, Zach gets nearly 20 with a full-time starting workload.
Mark Andrews (Wolves) - Andrews returns to form and easily gets to 15+ in a win against Vegas.
Busters
CeeDee Lamb (Threat) - With Dak looking to distribute, this will be a down week for the star WR.
Stefon Diggs (Wolves) - Without finding the end zone, Diggs manages 8 or less in a tough matchup.
Picks
ESPN: Wolves by 4
Experts: Threat by 9
LM: Wolves by 5
Remix vs. Dominators
H2H
6-3, Remix
Summary
Bother of these teams are coming off of disappointing Week 1's and would love to take it out on the opponent. Both the Remix and Dominators will lean on their strong rushing attacks, though the difference will be made in the WR sets.
Boomers
Michael Pittman (Dominators) - With Richardson settling in, Pittman will ascend sharply from last week's low score.
Garrett Wilson (Remix) - Rodgers will spread it around more in Week 2, but Wilson will also get more than before.
Busters
Chris Olave (Dominators) - A tough road matchup caps his production to not much more than last week.
Rachaad White (Remix) - A Lions team looking to make a statement holds White to single digits.
Picks
ESPN: Remix by 1
Experts: Remix by 10
LM: Remix by 3
WFT Vs. Marauders
H2H
14-12, Marauders
Summary
Two 0-1 teams square off to put a mark in the win column and keep early pace in the WS division. WFT looked decent last week and will again count on their receivers while the Marauders hope Cook's 22.5 are a sign of things to come.
Boomers
Brandon Aiyuk (WFT) - Building on last week, Aiyuk shows he's happy in San Fran with a big day.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (Marauders) - After ghosting through Week 1, he looks like the '23 version and hits paydirt.
Busters
Jeff Wilson Jr. (WFT) - He was a risky dice roll that netted a pair once Achane was declared active.
Devin Singletary (Marauders) - A questionable flex call that proves as fruitless as last week's effort.
Picks
ESPN: Marauders by 23
Experts: Marauders by 11
LM: Marauders by 7
Week 1 Review
First Impressions
Week 1 is done...and it went down differently than most thought.
Subpar outings from studs, big days from young bucks, and team scores all over the board. It wasn't exactly an explosive opener--a topic we'll explore further in the Nugget.
While the numbers were a bit muted overall, half the teams in the league are not complaining at this point. 1-0 always feels good.
The Cheetahs, Losers, and Threat all had to hang on for victory in less-than-ideal situations. but as the old saying goes, "You can't win 'em all unless you win the first one." Plus, you're at least in the division lead for one week. Even if it was ugly, it counts.
There were some standouts, of course! For the Addicts, it was all systems go, defying projections to lead the league in Week 1 scoring. Likewise positive for the Bruisers, who scored a pair of 27's from QB/RB in their win. The Crew reached 120 with help from a strong rushing attack.
The good news for the defeated? 0-1 isn't the end of the road. We're just getting underway. Whether you took an untimely injury, started the wrong guys, or your team just straight underachieved, this is an ideal time to get your course corrected.
Either way it went for you, don't overreact to a wacky Week 1. There's a long tradition of weird and unpredictable season openers. Waiver claims tonight are a good first stop if your draft is looking less like a sure thing than a week ago.
The commish is feeling better (despite an ugly Monday night finish), and now it's time to look at what went down over the last 5 days. As for cleanup, the division/season previews have been migrated to the Previews/Reviews page. Your roster rank charts have been moved to your team pages. Let's get to the action...
Owner of the Week
Ghetto Krackaddicts
138 Pts
Power Player
Benny's Bruisers
Barkley/Richardson - 27.5
Fantasy Fumble
Remix OG
72.5 Pts
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Game of the Week
Addicts vs. Crushers
Addicts vs. Crushers
This was the highest-scoring matchup of the week, with the Ghetto wagon outpacing a good effort from the Crushers. Tyreek Hill's 25.5 points were nicely complemented by Allen's 24.5 and 24 more from the Vikings D. While the TE position did not shine favorably upon the Addicts, they got plenty of additional value from the running game, as Achane and Conner combined for 32.5 points. The Crushers had big showings from all of their key positions as well, with Kupp (25) and Tua (20) chief among them, but the defensive scoring differential secured a Ghetto win.
Bruisers vs. Football Team
A hard-fought game in its own right, the Bruisers posted 130 and staved off the Football Team behind big days from Richardson/Barkley (27.5 apiece) and a fun 22 from their kicker, Aubrey. Saquon looks comfortable in the Eagles system and Richardson's dual threat status is confirmed. Baker Mayfield (28) was the highest scoring QB this week, but he did so from the Walkertown bench. AJ Brown's 23.5 points were the team high, with good support scoring from Nico (16.5) and the Seahawks (17). These were offset by a dismal rushing effort and Kelce's slow start.
Threat vs. Dominators
The Cowboys D immediately earned their draft value (10th Rd) by securing a Threat win against the highly-projected Dominators. Their 19 points were a team high, and when combined with a pair of good days from the receivers, it was enough to secure the win. Things started out promising for the Doms when Jordan Love posted 18, but didn't end well. A good rushing day was compromised by a forgettable receiving effort in the loss.
Cheetahs vs. Marauders
It wasn't pretty. CMC was ruled out on Monday, setting up a finish that came down to defensive scoring and Kyle Yooosheck. It ended with a one-point win for the Cheetahs, with the outcome switching hands multiple times throughout Monday night. Rookie Jayden Daniels led the way with 21.5, while Waddle's 15 offset lesser support elsewhere. Lamar was strong with 26 in the Marauder's subpar effort, but outside of Cook, no one else reached 10 points.
Crew vs. Remix
The Crew put together an optimistic showing for their '24 campaign with the week's biggest win (47.5 pts). Kamara and Walker reached 17 each and Rashee added 16, but the Saints D/ST provided the best production (21). Kyler may need another week or two to get rolling. The pieces are there for the Remix, but no one saved the day this time. White's 13.5 was the best it got, with Mahomes (11.5) and the receiving corps failing to deliver. It ended in a Fumble.
Losers vs. Wolves
Joe Mixon looked alive for the Losers, finding 24.5 points in their win over the Wolves. Hurts and DeVonta combined for 29 more, a combination that made the difference in a close game. Harrison, not quite there yet, but Engram will have better days. The Wolves had their moments, when Diggs hit the end zone twice (14.5) or when Jacobs (11) broke free late. But bad games from Andrews and Allen hamperd the cause.
Week 1 Preview
The Full SLate
The commish had grand ambitions for this preview and then he got sick. The bare-bones is all that remains. Enjoy the games (even without the hype) and we'll meet back here in a couple of days. Apologies.
Losers vs. Wolves
After a disappointing Thurs/Fri slate for the Wolves and injury questions all weekend (will Ja'Marr play?), the Losers will comfortably cruise to victory behind big games from their RB's and Marvin Harrison Jr.
Experts: Losers by 20
ESPN: Losers by 27
LM: Losers by 15
Addicts vs. Crushers
Look for a tight game that comes down to the wire, with the Crushers winning the RB slate and the Addicts surging with Hill/Metcalf. Whoever scores more between Tua and Allen will lift their team to victory.
Experts: Addicts by 6
ESPN: Addicts by 7
LM: Crushers by 3
Remix Vs. Crew
Kyler outpaces Mahomes' Thursday numbers at QB and the receiving trio for the Crew also wins the position. Despite big games from Garrett Wilson and Rachaad White, the Remix fall in a close one.
Experts: Crew by 4
ESPN: Crew by 15
LM: Crew by 2
Dominators Vs. Threat
The Dominators entered as heavy favorites, but this will play out more competitively, as the Threat's Lamb/Evans post solid output and Dak matches Jordan Love. Bijan will be the difference for Dolla in the end.
Experts: Dolla by 5
ESPN: Dolla by 10
LM: Dolla by 4
Cheetahs Vs. Marauders
While projections push a Marauders win, the run game edge for the Cheetahs and a big day from Jaylen Waddle will make this a true battle. Lamar's 26 and Amon-Ra's expected output will be just enough for MIM.
Experts: Cheetahs by 3
ESPN: Marauders by 15
LM: Marauders by 6
Bruisers vs. Football Team
Tied entering Sunday, this SFA alumni showdown will be determined by the return of Richardson (BB) and whether the WFT run game can prove their worth. Nico will help make it close, but the Bruisers emerge in the end.
Experts: WFT by 6
ESPN: Bruisers by 9
LM: Bruisers by 2
LOC NLS
REMIX OG
Last Year (9-5 / Finish - 4th)
The '23 Remix came firing out of the gates, winning their first 5 games and earning a Last Man Standing. That streak was a sign of things to come, as the wins/losses all came in groups for the rest of the year. After a 3-game slide late, the OG's won a critical Week 14 and clinched the NLS, beating their division rival Addicts in Round 1 before dropping to the eventual champs in the semis. This successful season was paced by strong balance, with both White/Kamara providing RB1 numbers and a sturdy receiving group. A trade for Deebo elevated the unit to address inconsistencies from Kupp and Cooper. Justin Fields was top-shelf at times but not reliable. All in all, a good run for the Remix.
This Year
With a bit of a roster reset, the Remix are rolling with Kyren Williams and Rachaad White as their lead back, and those two should provide a potent combination of points. Perhaps slightly underrated. RB Depth value behind them is unclear. Mahomes is the leader of the pack, and there's no doubt he'll start and contribute every week. Wilson's value at WR should increase with a healthy A-Rodge, and McLaurin has plenty of appeal as a 6th rounder (though the QB connection is TBD). He and Diontae will be counted on to shore up the positional output, though Jameson Williams may soon find his way to a start. Roquan is a great IDP, though the Bengals D is replaceable. Should be a winning unit.
Draft Steal: Ladd McConkey (9th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Elijah Mitchell
Playoff %: 54.7
W/L Projection: 8-6
Commish's Pick: 8-6
THE 4:20 CREW
Last Year (8-6 / Finish - 5th)
A healthy Justin Jefferson might have propelled this team to the top of the division (or the league), but injuries absorbed much of the year and forced the Crew to adapt. They still managed a winning record and a Wild Card berth, aided in large part by a critical win streak in Wks 12-14. They took a loss in the opening round against WFT but rallied to claim a 5th-place finish over the Addicts. Along with Jet, Lamar Jackson and the 1-2 punch of Henry/Mixon provided top-tier performances to raise the scoring ceiling. Mike Evans also elevated his play, finishing as WR7 overall. This was a season of unfinished business, but 4:20 has a knack for putting playoff runs together and this was no exception.
This Year
Jefferson returns to anchor this year's version of the Crew, and he's joined by a reputable fleet of receivers: Davante looking to prove he's still got it, a likely top-15 play in Rashee Rice, and Calvin Ridley and Mike Williams hoping to return to form. The run game should be okay, with Kamara seeking to maintain his value and KW3 providing occasional pops of excellence. Zeke may end up getting into the mix as well if he can find his feet in Dallas. While some may criticize Kyler as the starting QB, he stands to increase his output from last year and may rise into the top-5 at the position. Some of that is contingent on his new receivers. Overall, the upside is there for this team to make a run.
Draft Steal: Rashee Rice (6th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Austin Ekeler
Playoff %: 49.9
W/L Projection: 7-7
Commish's Pick: 8-6
GHETTO KRACKADDICTS
Last Year (7-7 / Finish - 6th)
The season outlook looked promising. Trevor Lawrence was set to excel, Nick Chubb was certain to pace the run game, and Tyreek would lead the way. Unfortunately, Lawrence wobbled out of the gate, Chubb suffered a season-ending injury in Wk 2, and it was left to the Cheetah to carry the load. In a positive turn, surprising rookie Breece Hall stepped in and up, turning in a hell of a season (RB2). D'Andre Swift and DK Metcalf supplemented production, and the Addicts clawed their way to a .500 season and a Wild Card spot. After a 150+ point Week 13 win, the wheels came off in the final 4 games against division opponents, but 6th place was still reasonable given the uphill battle.
This Year
On paper, this Addicts squad appears ready to surpass last year's model with a stronger fleet at each key position. Tyreek is back and is again joined by DK to ensure the receiver scoring stays high. Watch for Pickens to excel if the Steelers can stay steady at QB. In the rushing lanes, it's possible that Achane was overvalued, but between he and James Conner, there should be a decent floor and a lofty ceiling in the balance of their scores. The bench looks a little underwhelming, with only Addison likely to see the field unless Pollard rediscovers value. Josh Allen takes the reins at QB, and while he had a WR reset this year, he should still provide a lot of value (though less than #1 overall). Playoffs are a reasonable goal.
Draft Steal: George Pickens (7th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Rome Odunze
Playoff %: 43.7
W/L Projection: 7-7
Commish's Pick: 9-5
CLIFF'S CRUSHERS
Last Year (6-8 / Finish - 7th)
In a year marked by roster turnover (second only to the Bruisers in that dept), the brightest spot was Josh Allen, who led the LOC in QB scoring and basically justified his top-pick status. Kyren Williams was banged up through part of the season, but still managed to finish 5th at the position. Kittle was TE2 and looked like his old self. Team depth basically wrecked the ride, with no other RB providing starting numbers and a WR group that got subpar efforts from Godwin/Lockett. Michael Thomas was a shell. There were moments of upside, with a mid-season run through the bye weeks that got the Crushers to 6-6, but a late slip kept them out of the playoffs in a competitive division race.
This Year
The prognosticators don't care for this year's iteration of the Crushers, but there are some opportunities for them to contend again late if the team stays healthy. Tua may be seen as the worst starter drafted, but that ignores the weapons around him and his increased mobility from offseason work. Expect QB3-5 numbers. Breece Hall should have an easier time finding rushing lanes with Rodgers distracting the second level. Aaron Jones isn't being given enough credit either, and he should get plenty of touches in Minnesota. Deebo and Kupp form an interesting WR duo that present inherent injury risks but apparent upside. Dell and Brian Robinson are two solid depth pieces. Can Cliff keep the ship steady?
Draft Steal: Tua Tagovailoa (8th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Allen Lazard
Playoff %: 42.8
W/L Projection: 4-10
Commish's Pick: 7-7
LOC REST
CONOVER CHEETAHS
Last Year (9-5 / Finish - 1st)
What else can be said about the most dominant franchise in LOC history? A second straight title run in '23 was led by the peerless CMC, with momentum building throughout the year. A 3-4 start yielded to a 6-game winning streak, where 4 of their 5 highest scores came during bye weeks. A #2 seed in the playoffs, the Cheetahs overcame the Remix in the Semis and cruised to victory in the LOC Bowl (w/ 156 points). With QB shake-ups and a few trades, the best of Goff and Jon Taylor helped the '23 squad stay competitive every week, while pickups like Puka and Rashee Rice supplemented several wins. Their 4th league title and 5th points title earned, the Cheetahs have raised the bar.
This Year
Is another championship possible? The draft reports are projecting Conover as a top-3 team again this season. CMC gets one more ride as the alpha, while Burrow gets the nod at QB. Montgomery and Ford will be solid assets in the run game, particularly early in the year. The real upside group is the WR trio of London/Waddle/Moore. London and Moore get new QBs, which stands to benefit both of them. Waddle should see increased target % this season. Team depth appears pretty sound, though the run game may have to shuffle. Potential questions at TE (Goedert). More to like here than not.
Draft Steal: Jerome Ford (9th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Jayden Daniels
Playoff %: 57.4
W/L Projection: 9-5
Commish's Pick: 9-5
LEDFORD'S LOSERS
Last Year (7-7 / Finish - 12th)
The Losers got off to an 0-3 start, but then put together a 5-game winning streak (scoring 108/108.5/108 in 3 of those games) with solid team balance and Mahomes leading the charge. There weren't many studs on this roster, but a slate of mid-tier players such as KW3, Hopkins, and DeVonta Smith kept the Ledford unit competitive and challenging for the division until the final couple of weeks. Injuries to Josh Jacobs and inconsistency from Drake London also hampered progress, but the end result was a .500 season that felt like it could have been more.
This Year
If there's a valuable connection to watch, its new lead Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith. Their combo points will determine a lot (as will Jalen's rushing TD count). The run game should be solid, with Mixon likely to have some tread left and Jon Taylor poised for a comeback season. Can Marvin Harrison Jr. live up to the hype right away? The lack of WR depth will require it. Jonathon Brooks (IR spot available!) should be a nice contributor when he comes off the shelf, and Evan Engram should round into form as the season progresses. It may be a long year, but the Losers have the potential to overcome.
Draft Steal: Keon Coleman (8th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Jakobi Meyers
Playoff %: 46.6
W/L Projection: 5-9
Commish's Pick: 6-8
DOLLA' DOMINATORS
Last Year (4-10 / Finish - 8th)
There isn't a lot to say about last year's campaign that wouldn't just be piling it on. A strong 3-0 start followed by a devastating 10-game losing streak, starting with a .5 point loss to the Cheetahs and then spiraling from there. It was ended by a division win in Week 14 that gave the Dominators a soft landing after a miserable flight. Bijan Robinson was a top-10 star for this team, but tended toward boom/bust all year. The run game was a strong point, with Conner and Cook allowing for 3-start RBs when healthy. Health was an issue, and it took out Burrow and Achane for multiple weeks. Turning the page.
This Year
Bijan runs it back with a slight upgrade to his offensive system, a feature that has him in the top 2 RB projections. If healthy, Gibbs will be a prime tandem back and Rhamondre is a solid fill-in. Olave and Pittman lead the receiving group, with the upside of Zay Flowers worth a look. Depth may be in question here. Jordan Love isn't a sure thing, but does have a chance to prove he can repeat his late-season success. The Browns D will be stingy all year. Tucker is worth a win or two every year at kicker. This team projects to be a playoff lock, but there are some areas of potential need.
Draft Steal: Kirk Cousins (13th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Playoff %: 60.2
W/L Projection: 10-4
Commish's Pick: 8-6
BENNY'S BRUISERS
Last Year (4-10 / Finish - 11th)
In a notably poor season for this franchise, the breaks never came after a choppy start. That led to a 7-game L streak late in the season and frustrated ownership. Excessive waiver cycling and consistent injury tolls ensured that the Bruisers were not going to pull out of the tailspin. The trade/drop of Gibbs didn't help, but there were a few bright spots elsewhere. Sam LaPorta was a top TE (offsetting the Andrews injury) and Dak provided some sizable performances. When healthy, Saquon was a force for this team, but a lack of support in the receiving corps was a sore spot throughout the campaign.
This Year
A lot of familiar faces return for the Bruisers this year, with Saquon and LaPorta chief among them. Spears and Sutton are back in support roles, and Anthony Richardson will get another shot at a full season of production. There are reasons to believe that a new system for Barkley could reap even more dividends. Etienne will be a serviceable 2, and positional depth appears sound. The WR group raises questions anew, with the much-hyped Malik Nabers carrying a bit of risk as the key weapon and no certainties behind him. This team will be better than projected but may struggle early.
Draft Steal: Tyjae Spears (7th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: DeMario Douglas
Playoff %: 51.5
W/L Projection: 4-10
Commish's Pick: 7-7
LOC WS
DIRE WOLVES
Last Year (10-4 / Finish - 2nd)
The Wolves prowled their way to a late 7-game winning streak, earning a WS division title and the top-overall seed in the postseason with the steady scoring of Jalen Hurts and a still-explosive Travis Kelce. The run game was a question mark early, but a timely snag of Jahmyr Gibbs proved pivotal later in the campaign. With smart starts and waiver claims, the Wolves seemed on course for titletown. Receiving injuries hampered the postseason run, but this team fought their way to the runner-up spot and logged another successful season.
This Year
Outside of returning Keenan Allen and TJ Watt, it's mostly a roster reset for this year's Wolves. Henry and Jacobs should exceed their projections and form a strong rushing duo. Purdy gets the nod at QB, and he will look to prove he belongs in the upper tier of QBs. Ja'Marr Chase's holdout isn't helpful, but expectations are that he will have another top-tier season. Depth behind him is in question, with Diggs' workload uncertain and Higgins a bit of a boom/bust play. Mark Andrews should excel again as a top-3 TE. Chiefs D/ST will finish as a top-5 unit by season's end despite mid-level projections.
Draft Steal: Jared Goff (11th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Marquise Brown
Playoff %: 52.7
W/L Projection: 9-5
Commish's Pick: 9-5
WALKERTOWN FT
Last Year (7-7 / Finish - 3rd)
While it ended with a consolation win in their 5th consecutive playoffs, the road there was not as smooth as in year's prior. An 0-3 start was fixed by a 4-game winning streak, but the up/down nature of things landed WFT at 7-7. A critical Week 14 win propelled them into the tourney, where they handled business in the first round before laying an absolute dud in the semis. The play of their star trio--Adams, AJ Brown, and DJ Moore--was critical to their success along the way. Brock Purdy was Walkertown's 12th round pick but finished as QB5 overall.
This Year
Davante is gone after 3 years with the Team. AJ Brown is back, joined by the upstart Nico Collins, and both should be key contributors. Kelce still has a lot of gas (and red zone targets) in the tank. Like others in this division, the run game is the primary concern entering the season. Zamir White could be a strong piece, but Dowdle is an unknown and Chubb's future is unclear. That will have to be addressed early. Look for Aiyuk to lead the Niners in catches again this season. The Ravens have new leadership on defense, but should still be a strong start most weeks. Stroud to Nico is a connection to watch.
Draft Steal: Brandon Aiyuk (5th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Tyler Lockett
Playoff %: 44.6
W/L Projection: 6-8
Commish's Pick: 7-7
THREAT LEVEL MIDNIGHT
Last Year (7-7 / Finish - 9th)
The road was uneven for last year's Threat squad, but they did challenge for a playoff spot late and reached 7-6 before a brutal loss to the Football Team in a win-and-in game in Week 14. The high points were high for this team, with many scoring weeks in the top 5 overall, but JaMarr Chase struggled down the stretch (no Burrow) and Herbert did not live up to his 5th round billing. The receiving game with Chase and Waddle had its moments, and Etienne finished as RB3 in a solid but unmemorable year for the '21 champs.
This Year
An early alliance with the Cowboys may actually prove fruitful, with Dak/Lamb creating combo points that should raise the scoring floor. The Dallas D is still solid, though perhaps not a league-winner with the change in coordinators. Evans is a phenomenal WR2 pick, and Kincaid should benefit from the lack of proven WRs in Buffalo. There are concerns in the run game, though Pacheco should outperform his ADP. Najee and Chubbard are both question marks and that will have to be addressed, specifically after Brooks is activated for the Panthers. Hopkins and Samuel provide solid receiving depth.
Draft Steal: DeAndre Hopkins (8th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: Chuba Hubbard
Playoff %: 52.3
W/L Projection: 7-7
Commish's Pick: 6-8
MITCHELL'S MARAUDERS
Last Year (6-8 / Finish - 10th)
After previous success as keeper, the Marauders held on to Austin Ekeler for one season too long, costing valuable points in close games and shifting the pressure to Tua and the receivers to carry the load. Raheem Mostert was a draft steal (RB6, 12th Round), but the Jon Taylor wait-and-trade didn't help, and further attempts to lean on fill-in backs failed. Amon-Ra and Nico were joined by Nakua (via trade), and they were the best part of yet another sub .500 season that extends the Marauders streak of futility since their last title in '20. They'll look to escape the WS basement this year.
This Year
Amon-Ra takes the keeper role for MIM and is rejoined by alums Puka Nacua and Christian Watson. Along with Godwin and Cooper, the depth for this WR group sets it up to be one of the strongest. Lamar was drafted high to provide the dual-threat points that were missing last year, and his numbers should be top-3. The run game is uncertain, with an aging Raheem in support of Bills starter James Cook. Singletary and Dobbins are questionable fill-ins. Conklin and Freiermuth are salvage TEs. The Niners D should shine most weeks. The upside is there for this team, but likely less than projected.
Draft Steal: Tyler Conklin (12th Rd)
Inevitable Cut: JK Dobbins
Playoff %: 49.3
W/L Projection: 9-5
Commish's Pick: 7-7
Season Preview
Season PRimer
Introduction
What's a primer anyway?
If you've done any painting, you know it's the important undercoat that prepares the surface for the all-important visible exterior. The stains and blemishes of your initial lineup will undoubtedly need a bit of priming so they are masked and sealed before the vibrant colors of fantasy success are applied and seen later in the year.
Let's be real...you might need a second coat by midseason, but good planning doesn't require a crystal ball. It just means you aren't winging it, and that's half the battle.
So you've got a roster. You've got opponents. You've got championship goals. What do the experts say about your team? What do the projections indicate? Perhaps least importantly, what does the commish think is going to happen?
We begin our coverage of Season 19 with the annual league preview. We'll cover draft grades, positional ranks, historical precedent, and predictions about what's to come. Most of this content will be judged on the "what if" scale by season's end since there are a lot of factors that will weaken some teams and strengthen others.
How you manage your squad despite injuries and setbacks, how you use the waiver wire and trade market, and--let's be real--the amount of good luck and timing that intersect with your path...these are the keys that will unlock your 2024 title run.
For now, we don't have any of those answers, so we'll engage in the annual soiree of guesstimation and ordered lists. Think of it as the shoddy base layer of commish speculation. You can begin painting over that in *checks calendar* less than a week. It's prime(r) time, LOC. Let's go!
First Draft
No good book conquers the bestseller list on it's first draft. True, the commish only does one draft when it comes to league content, peppering in his poor prose with awkward turns of phrase, but that's primarily due to the constraints of free time. The larger point being, first drafts can be rough. Refinement, reconsideration, and revision are required to produce the best possible finished work.
We've only recently assembled our rosters, so there's no reason to doubt your picks just yet. No one had a noticeably "rough draft" (unless you count poor sticker placement on the board). That said, after you consider the experts' opinions and--more importantly--the first couple of weeks unfold, the signs that more work is needed may start to become apparent. Unrelated: Chase Claypool is a free agent.
Enough about that...let's tackle the draft rankings from 3 different sites and see how the numbers stack up. First up is ESPN.
Rather than copy/paste the rankings they provide on the app, we're opting for the projected ppg average of your current 'best' 10 players. This is a truer definition of projected strength, though certainly subject to change once actual football is played. ESPN's listed rankings are next to each team in parentheses.
Note: I've scaled up the kicker projections since their algorithm doesn't understand .5 point per 5 yards for the position.
ESPN
Dominators - 116.3 ppg (1)
Remix - 113.3 ppg (5)
Cheetahs - 112.2 ppg (6)
Bruisers - 111.7 ppg (4)
Wolves - 111.6 ppg (7)
Crew - 111.4 ppg (2)
Threat - 110.8 ppg (3)
Losers - 110.4 ppg (9)
Marauders - 109.5 ppg (8)
Crushers - 107.2 ppg (12)
Addicts - 106.9 ppg (10)
Football Team - 106.7 ppg (11)
I won't even try to explain how ESPN arrives at their rankings graph, but the top 7 teams in terms of projected scoring show a ton of variance from their baked-in chart. Also, we see you, Dominators! A full 3-point edge in terms of gap between the next closest rank. Is it a sign of things to come?
Next, we move to a ranking using fantasy experts player ranks from top fantasy sites. A draft score is assigned to each team.
Expert Review
Cheetahs - 9.7
Dominators - 9.3
Marauders - 8.8
Wolves - 8.7
Threat - 8.5
Football Team - 8.3
Addicts - 8.2
Remix - 8.1
Crew - 7.9
Losers - 7.8
Crushers - 7.7
Bruisers - 7.7
So the experts expect far less of the Bruisers and Remix and far more of the Marauders and Football Team. It can't be both ways. Let's see if there are any trends to be found from the FFT Ranker tool. Calculated ppg and added that in as well.
FFT Ranker
Wolves (106.8 ppg)
Cheetahs (106.2 ppg)
Addicts (105.5 ppg)
Marauders (105.2 ppg)
Threat (104.6 ppg)
Football Team (103.9 ppg)
Dominators (103.8 ppg)
Losers (103.7 ppg)
Bruisers (103.7 ppg)
Remix (101.6 ppg)
Crushers (100.1 ppg)
Crew (99.3 ppg)
There's a lot of see-sawing in the ranks for many teams. Perhaps these are the teams with the most boom/bust potential? When we discuss positional strength, we'll see if we can identify the difference.
POLE Position
Is being closer to the pole really the best position? Sounds like an NLS question.
Regardless, positional strength is a great gauge for determining where opportunities exist to 'revise your draft'.
Here's a quick look at current positional strength (starters + bench) using a draft sync tool:
Quick takeaways from their chart:
Almost everyone has highly ranked positions, but the exceptions still have a decent balance. And everyone seems to have a zit or two.
WFT has the highest number of top-ranked positions (with 3), but key scoring spots drop them to the middle of the pack.
Even the top 3 teams have positions ranked near the bottom of the league.
Only the Remix are without any players ranked in the top 4 at their position.
The Wolves, Threat, and Losers have no players ranked in the bottom 3 by position group.
Let's try one more positional strength setup, this one from FantasyPros. (Chart now at bottom of article)
This is ordered by starter ranks but also shows each team's total positional ranks in the following categories: QB / RB / WR / FLX
Cheetahs: 8 / 2 / 7 / 2
Football Team: 6 / 12 / 6 / 1
Dominators: 10 / 1 / 10 / 7
Marauders: 4 / 11 / 2 / 3
Threat: 9 / 10 / 1 / 8
Wolves: 11 / 6 / 5 / 4
Addicts: 1 / 8 / 4 / 5
Remix: 3 / 7 / 9 / 9
Losers: 2 / 5 / 8 / 11
Crew: 7 / 9 / 3 / 6
Bruisers: 5 / 3 / 12 / 12
Crushers: 12 / 4 / 11 / 10
After comparison with the image chart above, there is little to note in terms of ranking variance. If you like your starter rank but the positional ranks aren't that great, it tells you something about your bench.
However, when we compare it to the ESPN PPG projections for starters that we covered at the top, there are some wild discrepancies in the spread.
The Bruisers can't have the 4th best starting ten and the 11th best. Nor can the Remix have the scoring projections of a 2nd place squad and be ranked 8th. You've already seen how much these lists can vacillate. The takeaways here are threefold:
Wild variances in expert ranks are usually tied to injury concerns or an opaque expectation about the number of touches a player will receive (new offense, crowded position, coaching change, etc.)
If there are consistent ranges for your team/player ranks, it's probably accurate (to the degree that anything can actually be known before it happens).
Figuring out a plan for upgrading your positional depth is a critical part of most well-managed fantasy seasons. Not too early to start thinking about it.
If you have the luxury of lazily coasting to the playoffs with barely a perusal of the waiver wire, hats off to you, but most of our outlooks (and rosters) will have shifted with the football tides by then.
Exceeding expectations is a worthwhile motivator, but--unlike the next literary classic--you won't have to spend hours a day editing your most recent draft or redefining the narrative. Watch the free agent pool. Watch for opportunities. Spend a couple minutes a day assessing your team depth and upcoming schedule.
Simply paying attention will get you halfway there. The rest of the way requires that magical blend of good timing and better luck.
Back a Chapter
Given what we've seen from the experts, let's quickly revisit last year and walk through our tradition of comparing projections with results.
You already know that the Cheetahs nabbed another points title and their second trophy plate in a row at year's end. That the Wolves notched a 1-seed with a 10-4 season before injuries clipped their finish in the postseason. That the Football Team made their LOC-record 5th consecutive playoff appearance. And that the NLS sent 3 teams to the dance for the second straight season, with the Remix, Addicts, and Crew all vying for the prize.
How do those outcomes from last year compare to the preseason predictions?
Here--in order of initial playoff % projections--are accompanying projected records from the experts (and the commish) from '23 along with final record. [E-Experts, C-Commish, A-Actual]
The playoff chances entering last year are noted in parentheses.
1 Crew – E: 10-4, C: 9-5, A: 8-6 (83)
2 Cheetahs – E: 10-4, C: 8-6, A: 9-5 (80)
3 Threat – E: 9-5, C: 8-6, A: 7-7 (71)
4 Remix – E: 9-5, C: 7-7, A: 9-5 (67)
5 Losers – E: 8-6, C: 7-7, A: 7-7 (66)
6 Dolla – E: 9-5, C: 8-6, A: 4-10 (65)
7 Wolves – E: 6-8, C: 7-7, A: 10-4 (59)
8 Addicts – E: 7-7, C: 8-6, A: 7-7 (55)
9 Crushers – E: 5-9, C: 6-8, A: 6-8 (43)
10 Bruisers – E: 5-9, C: 6-8, A: 4-10 (26)
11 MIM – E: 5-9, C: 4-10, A: 6-8 (21)
12 WFT – E: 5-9, C: 7-7, A: 7-7 (14)
As is noted, the experts missed big on three of their projections, first with the Dominators. Though Dolla started 3-0, an ensuing 10-game losing streak torched the facilities. We've already seen that the Wolves and Football Team defied the subpar expectations placed on their teams. And while the Crew made it into the postseason, it wasn't as the most dominant team on the way.
For the under-projected teams, that's where the nugget of hope exists...knowing that the experts can't actually see the future, and that every year a couple of teams projected to suck deliver a memorable campaign.
Paper Champs
So if last year's composite playoff projections did hit on 4 of the eventual 6 playoff participants, let's give that model another spin for this time around. To improve potential accuracy, this one is an average rank from 3 platforms that should help extinguish some of the extremes. It's all just a paper expectation, but here it is for your reference.
Projected Playoff %
Dominators - 60.2
Cheetahs - 57.4
Remix - 54.7
Wolves - 52.7
Threat - 52.3
Bruisers - 51.5
Crew - 49.9
Marauders - 49.3
Losers - 46.6
Football Team - 44.6
Addicts - 43.7
Crushers - 43.7
So the Dominators are getting a lot of love here, as are the defending champ Cheetahs. The Remix and Bruisers are being treated with more volatility in some of the ranks, but here they are elevated to likely playoff qualifiers. And it would appear the WS division race is a two-man battle (Threat and Wolves).
We know that none of these ranking platforms ever like the Krackaddicts, as they've had to prove the experts wrong several times over the last few years. All of the teams in the bottom 6 could just be a player away. Or a single key injury could send one of the top teams tumbling.
You aren't bound by your ranking, and we'll look back on these prognostications at some point in the future to see who disproved the doubters and who turned out to be a paper tiger.
Footnotes
There's a lot we can't control in fantasy football. Specifically, what any other team does--whether in our division or when playing against us. But in the spirit of balance and based on an idealistic locus of control, let's highlight the biggest factors of success or failure for each team (from the commish's perspective). These elements will be explored a little more in the coming days when we walk through the teams/divisions in greater detail, but here's a quick overview:
NLS
Remix
Great Year: Mahomes and underrated run game deliver winning edge
Poor Year: WRs 3-5 lower ceiling, Kyren loses touches
Addicts
Great Year: Tyreek/Achane/Allen generate healthy points trifecta
Poor Year: RB, supplemental depth undercuts averages
Crew
Great Year: Kyler, WRs overcome doubts; Kamara returns to form
Poor Year: Adams declines, Darnold effect on JJ, bye weeks
Crushers
Great Year: Jets play as advertised, Tua takes the next step
Poor Year: Injury risks dampen receiving, A Jones falls off
Rest
Cheetahs
Great Year: CMC stays healthy, WRs 3-5 exceed expectations
Poor Year: Receiving depth and TE issues lower ceiling
Losers
Great Year: Hurts reignites, RB duo validates draft value
Poor Year: Rookies underachieve, depth not shored up
Bruisers
Great Year: Richardson, LaPorta fuel high upside, youth excels
Poor Year: Nabers hits rookie wall, WR depth fails
Dominators
Great Year: 3-pronged rushing attack delivers, WRs outperform projections
Poor Year: Olave/Pittman falter, Jordan Love regresses
WS
Football Team
Great Year: Stroud to Nico connection shines, Kelce stays healthy
Poor Year: Low-ceiling RB room costs close games
Wolves
Great Year: Henry, Jacobs get into end zone, Purdy is consistent
Poor Year: Run game, Diggs show age, team balance weakened
Threat
Great Year: Value picks (Pacheco, Swift) exceed projections, star WRs shine
Poor Year: Cowboys struggle, team reliance affects win total
Marauders
Great Year: St. Brown, Nakua repeat success, Mostert maintains starting job
Poor Year: RB issues, supplemental starters destroy points ceiling
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Do these all seem like fairly obvious observations? Are you convinced that the structure is secure?
We're running low on time before the first big test. Opening weekend! If you're excited at this point, just wait 'til kickoff Thursday night...or Friday night...or the moment Red Zone comes to life on Sunday afternoon.
Our 19th season looms large and all the drafts have been turned in. How will yours look after a few edits? Or will it shine unfettered from the very first read? Or to borrow from our opening analogy, how much paint will it take to make a winner?
One way or another, the story of LOC '24 is about to be written, and potential masterpieces are soon to be unveiled. Good luck to you all!