'22 Previews & Reviews
Championship review
LOC BOWL XVII
CHEETAHS vs. BRUISERS
It was quite the battle...until it wasn't.
By the time the dust settled on Sunday night, the Conover Cheetahs had amassed a postseason record 208 points! Congratulations to James!
They nearly broke the LOC scoring record in the process, but they most certainly won the most lopsided title game in league history. But perhaps "most lopsided" isn't entirely fair to the game.
From Thursday until Sunday mid-day, the Bruisers were feeling confident about their scoring. And rightfully so. Their final score of 124 would have been enough to win the title in 8 of the 16 previous seasons.
This was less about the Bruisers falling short and more about the Cheetahs explosion. It was fun to see a team reach 200 for only the second time ever, and to do it in the LOC Bowl...even crazier.
THe Details
If ever the reliance on one team proved a winning strategy, the Cheetahs stack of Brady/Evans/Godwin was the perfect formula for championship week. Evans led the way with 46.5, Brady put up a career-best 41, and Godwin added 19 more. Quite a trio of performances.
This combination reminds the commish of the ol' Peyton and Broncos stack that helped previous franchise iterations contend for titles a few years back. But this was even better than that.
Other than Kelce (7.5) in a rare single-digit effort, everyone on the roster came to play. CMC was brilliant with 28, DJ Moore proved a solid start with 20.5, and Najee delivered 19 more in a day when everyone feasted.
In fact, only IDP Jewell (and Kelce) didn't reach 10+ in the win.
With that, the Cheetahs claim the trophy for the 3rd time, joining only the Crew and Marauders in that rare group.
For Benny and the Bruisers, losing Hurts...well, hurt. Purdy was certainly not a bad play, garnering 17. Schultz led the TE scoring with 17 himself.
McKinnon was again a viable flex, putting up 15.5, while the Chargers D (in a last-minute swap) added 13. The WR pair were certainly ready to play, with DeVonta posting 18 and Lamb 17 more.
In totality, the Bruisers did the things that got them this far, making gut decisions on starters that allowed them to rattle off 7 in a row. It worked again as intended, minus the forgettable rushing effort.
There just wasn't going to be enough to contend with a team scoring 200. A solid campaign ends with a runner-up finish.
THe Others
The 3/4 matchup between the Addicts and Football Team actually ended in a tie. And then ESPN removed the points from Monday night. With the Bengals/Bills game being called off, the Commish proposed that the two teams split the winnings 90/90 for 3rd and 4th place finishes. Both owners agreed to these terms, and winning will be split regardless of the final standings.
The Losers have secured a cumulative win over the Wolves, notching a 5th-place finish in their return to the LOC. Not only that, they'll earn the LOC MVP with Patrick Mahomes, who led the league with 24.2 ppg. Nicely done.
Over in the Pinky Bowl, the Dominators will escape the pink shirt after beating the downtrodden Threat in a rematch of last year's title game. The defending champs take 12th place. How the mighty have fallen.
Final updates and payouts will be handled over the coming days. Your career numbers will be updated on your team page, and some additional cleanup will take place as well.
Thank you all for being a part of the League this year (as every year). Much love and a happy 2023 to you all!
Championship Preview
LOC BOWL XVII
CHEETAHS vs. BRUISERS
The Finalists
Here we are...championship weekend! What a way to ring in the new year!
We've already had points scored Thursday, and final starting decisions loom large.
Benny's Bruisers and the Conover Cheetahs are squaring off for the first time since their second divisional matchup in Week 5. In that versus, the two combined for 291 points(!) with the Bruisers emerging victorious 154.5-136.5.
To be fair, this was back when Gabe Davis and Melvin Gordon were on the team, and Daniel Carlson was a kicking machine every week. The Cheetahs were still a Herbert-led outfit at that point, but their core roster has stayed fairly consistent.
At the midpoint of the season, the Bruisers were 3-4 and the Cheetahs were 5-2. To get here, Conover stayed strong throughout, but had to overcome a tough division race and pull off a close semifinals win. The Bruisers turned things around, grabbed a Wild Card ticket, and now arrive with a 7-game winning streak after a stormy half-season.
Beyond the current campaign, both of these two-time champs have had different LOC backdrops that converge once again.
Spreadsheets of integrity
The James-led teams struggled in the early days, but with focused leadership, they soon turned fortune around and became a force in the league. They've made the postseason more often than not over 16 seasons...9 times to be exact. It's no surprise this is their 6th title game appearance.
We'd be remiss if we didn't take a moment to revisit all of James' team iterations that have made appearances over the years.
The first two seasons, it was the forgettable Team Hicks. 2009 gave us Breaston My Face and '10 was ELI'd 2 ME.
This was followed by 3 successful band-themed years: A7X in '11 and Hollywood Undead in '12 and '13. From '14 to '16, For Whom Odell Tolls was the moniker (and key draftee) of choice.
Then Gronky Kong, NUKlear Meltdown, and All Barkley, No Bite for the next 3 campaigns. Kamaravirus infected the league in 2020, and there was a brief appearance by Lights, Kamara, Jackson but for the last two years it's been the Cheetahs.
Following runner-up finishes in '10 and '11, the Undead (and the Odells) broke through in 2012 and 2015 with impressive title runs for this franchise. There was a near-miss in 2020, but now they're back in the big game.
The Cheetahs arrive here with the second-most playoff appearances, wins, and championships, but can grab a share of two of those records with a win this weekend.
We're Grown Ass Men
For the Bruisers, success came early and often (excluding the last minute '06 entry), with playoff runs and 2 championships ('07, '11) and 2 points titles ('09, '11) in their first 6 years. It seemed they were a force that would always challenge for the trophy.
In fact, Ben was the first owner to ever hold the physical trophy, as 2011 was the year we brought it in as a tangible beacon of glory for LOC winners.
The ensuing years have not been as kind, with a few heartbreaks and struggles to place for 8 seasons thereafter. The passion and will to compete was always there, and the Bruisers found their way back to the postseason in '20.
This year they discovered another gear at midseason, one that culminated in a win over the top seeded Addicts via a run of savvy waiver moves and general momentum. Here they are with a chance to win their 3rd title.
The Rematch
Who did the Bruisers play in that 2011 title game? It was James and A7X. At the time, it was the closest game in LOC Bowl history, with the Bruisers winning by 1.5 points, 121.5-120.
Now, for only the second time in league history, we'll have a championship rematch.
By the way, the first rematch was in the controversial and unprecedented '15 finale, when the Odells and Crew (who had squared off in '10) took things to the wire...and then some. That year, the trophy was awarded on 3 separate occasions: by default on top-seed tiebreak, by correction via bench score tiebreak, and finally by scoring adjustment nearly three days after the final action. Good times.
Back to the matter at hand. In the original championship matchup between our current two contenders, the 2011 squads were led by some LOC legends.
The Bruisers were anchored by Calvin Johnson and Rob Gronkowski, with a healthy dose of Big Ben, AJ Green and Reggie Bush. Their receiving group was a force that also included a young Antonio Brown.
For A7X, it was the Panthers connection of Cam Newton to Steve Smith that paced the team, with Roddy White an equal presence and CJ2K leading the backfield. Jamaal Charles missed most of that year with injury.
From different paths before and since, both those '11 squads brought their best to the party that week and gave the league an enjoyable championship duel. Now they face the prospect of another LOC title, and it's only one step away.
We're all hoping this year's battle will be just as entertaining as the first time around.
HeaD To Head
Anyone remember head to head football? That's what we played as kids in the 80's before there were consoles. We've got 3 head to head matchups today, one of which is for all the marbles.
Let's look closer at championship Sunday.
In the 5/6 game, the Losers and Wolves will play their second in a row, with the Losers currently holding a 33-point edge from last week. It will take a Justin Fields miracle or some version of a Losers implosion to change the cumulative outcome here.
Over in the 3rd place game, our top 2 regular season teams battle for a better final spot. The Football Team sent injured WRs Hopkins/Deebo packing, but they still have plenty of firepower. The Addicts aren't exactly at full strength either (minus their top 2 RBs), so this game may come down to the substitutions...Zach Moss for WFT and Chuba Hubbard for GK. Which one of those will step up today?
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And then there's the trophy match. No Monday night action here, so this one will be decided by Sunday night when the Steelers/Ravens play.
In that one, the Bruisers have the Ravens D and the Cheetahs are running with Najee. Would be fun if those two starters decided our 17th championship, but most of the story will be told this afternoon.
Let's start with the picks (adjusted based on Thursday) and then get to the teams. The Commish doesn't pick winners in the playoffs, so we'll leave it to the experts.
H2H Record: 11-9, Bruisers
This Year: 2-0, Bruisers
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 2
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 12
Benny's Bruisers
Entering Sunday, the Bruisers were rewarded with 17+ from both Dalton Schultz and CeeDee Lamb, points they will definitely need when considering the opposition.
Expect slightly less from DeVonta Smith this week, but he will still be serviceable. Can Purdy keep it real against the Raiders? A dozen or more from him will likely be enough.
The trio of Bruisers RBs will be critical, but carry plenty of upside this week. Montgomery and McKinnon should both go for double digits, while Zonovan will be at the mercy of game script against Seattle.
With Carr benched, the Raiders may be settling for FGs more often today, which would be a nice boon for Carlson.
All in all, the pieces are there for BB to find against an opponent they've had success against. In fact, they're the only legacy team with a winning record against the Cheetahs. They'll need a little of that luck today to emerge with their 3rd championship.
conover cheetAHs
The Cheetahs would have liked a little more from the reliable Cowboys D on Thursday (against a bad Titans team), but 11 points from a team defense is certainly acceptable.
An expected Bucs trio of Brady, Evans and Godwin will pace this team's success today, with essential points needed against a banged up Panthers D. Will Brady outpace Purdy on the other side? It would be surprising if he didn't. Meanwhile, the WR stack faces its usual logistical challenge, with one of the two likely doing well and the other providing 7-10.
Conover will live with that 35 or so from the Bucs, but they'll now need more from their star TE. Given Schultz's big game, will Kelce get more than the 9 he put up against Denver in Week 14?
The key decision point is that DJ Moore gets the flex nod over McLaurin. Moore is trending in the right direction, so keep an eye on this one.
CMC is certainly going to put up his share of points, but CC will want those as handoffs (vs. checkdowns from Purdy). This will be a close matchup, and Najee may indeed decide it. Expect the Cheetahs to be right there at the end with a chance for their 3rd title.
In Closing
Good luck to our finalists and the other playoff teams fighting for final position. Good luck to the Threat and Dominators who are trying to stave off a 12th place finish.
We'll review all of the action tomorrow evening, and the Commish will update all of the team records and hand out final awards on Tuesday. If anyone hangs around over the next week, there will be additional record book updates made as well. Payouts will be coordinated with each of you by week's end.
Hope you all have a wonderful 2023! Thank you for playing in the LOC.
Semis review
McLaurin was an unsung hero for the Cheetahs in Wk 16.
Our championship matchup is set! Congrats to Benny's Bruisers and the Conover Cheetahs for advancing to the title game. One of these two teams will be claiming the trophy for the third time in a matter of days.
The semifinals turned into an upset special, as both the top seeds were knocked off in close battles. It took until Monday night for the games to be decided, but for the second straight year, neither regular season favorite will be playing for the title.
Congrats to the Addicts on a historic 13-1 season, and to the Football Team on a second-straight scoring title, but these two will now face off in the consolation game.
Over in the 5th place game, the Losers took the first of their two matchups with the Wolves. Meanwhile, the Toilet Bowl (or Pink Shirt Game) will be fought between the Threat and Dominators. ESPN determines Final Standings based on the postseason.
Cheetahs vs. Football Team
Summary
It was a hard-fought matchup that literally came down to the last seconds on Monday night. The Football Team needed 15 entering the Colts/Chargers game, but Moss and Pittman combined for 13.5, ending a great run for WFT this season. The Cheetahs may not have had their best week, but they had a balanced approach and got enough points to break through to their 6th championship game.
Cheetahs
Travis Kelce led the way to victory with 16, but just about everyone (sans Evans) showed up to contribute to the effort. Najee and CMC combined for 23, and McLaurin chipped in a critical 13.5 from the Flex. While the Bucs didn't have their best game, Brady/Godwin both reached double digits. The team scoring will likely need to go up in Week 17, and this team is certainly capable of more.
Football Team
The stars seemed to align for Walkertown in this matchup, but the Raiders were ultimately why they came up just a couple points short. Kittle lit up the scoreboard with 120 yards and 25 points to kick things off. Burrow posted a valuable 23.5 in the win over NE, and Roquan showed why he has been a WFT veteran, adding 15.5 to aid the cause. But the run game combined for 6 and Davante had only 2 catches.
Bruisers vs. Krackaddicts
Summary
As expected, the Bruisers (minus Jalen Hurts) had to build a lead in this one and hope it held through Monday night against the cagey Addicts. Thanks to solid IDP play that offset the Addicts' Mike Williams, the Bruisers held fast and pulled off the upset of the #1 seed. They'll be back in the title game for the first time since 2011, and now get their shot at a third championship.
Bruisers
In the season of giving, it was receiving that propelled the Bruisers into the next round. CeeDee has 27 huge points, and DeVonta put up 25 (with Minshew) to secure the win. There were points left on the bench, but it won't matter to Benny and Co. today. Purdy was serviceable (12.5) in replacing Hurts, and Zaire Franklin's 8.5 on Monday was likely the biggest story, as it staved off the Addicts comeback attempt.
Addicts
The Addicts have revved up time and time again this season, but the Carr wouldn't start this week. The Rams D was certainly a smart call, as their 20 pushed the game into a competitive Monday. Hill (14) and Cooper (10) did their part, while the run game of ETN and Pollard added 23 more. In the end, it came down to points left behind (Dak/Higbee) and a bit of unfortunate luck...luck that had been on this team's side all year.
Semis Preview
McKinnon (Bruisers) has gotten hot at the right time.
Here we are at the key moments of Week 16. What once marked the culmination of the league's annual campaigns is now the Round 2 lead-in to the championship matchup. 3 previous champs and 1 resilient contender remain in the hunt for the trophy.
The Addicts and Football Team are back after an earned week away, but if they want to get into the title game, they'll have to fare better than last season. Both these teams were favored entering the playoffs, but neither made the LOC Bowl. Will things go differently this time around?
The Bruisers have the best active winning streak in the league, and the Cheetahs have the most playoff experience in the field. Who is most prepared to advance? And let's be honest here...who has luck on their side this weekend?
Christmas comes once a year, but for one of our final 4 teams, it will show up again next week.
As we think of history as the backdrop, how have these franchises fared historically in semifinal matchups? Here are their records in semis, with the last year in which they advanced to the title game.
Addicts: 2-2 (2018)
Football Team: 1-2 (2019)
Cheetahs: 5-3 (2020)
Bruisers: 2-2 (2011)
Obviously, two of these teams are going to improve those marks over the next few days. Can't wait to see who steps up.
Not to be forgotten, the Wolves and Losers square off in a cumulative two-week matchup over in the consolation box. Worth an extra $20 to prove your team was better than the final results reflect.
With semifinal action running from Thursday to Monday (and a full Saturday slate), the preview of matchups will evolve as we move through the Thursday/Saturday results. Once Christmas morning rolls around, it will stay as it is until the week is complete.
Krackaddicts vs. Bruisers
Matchup Stats
Head to Head: 16-13, Addicts
Last Matchup: 88.5-84.5, Addicts (Wk 1)
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 4
Experts Pick: Addicts by 3
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KrackAddicts
Overview
The Addicts enter this matchup having lost Jon Taylor in the bye week, but they still bring enough firepower and a track record of success this season to make a championship run.
Etienne got things started on Thursday, and he provided a solid opening dozen for GK. Saturday brings the bulk of the starting power for this team, but the final points won't be scored until Monday night when Mike Williams takes the field.
Saturday
6 out of the last 7 games for Carr have been worth 15 points or more, and that would be enough to ensure a positional win, given the injuries on the other side.
Pollard should provide plenty of opportunities in what should be a high-scoring DAL/PHI game. Unless Jerry calls in another 15-touch game for Zeke.
The Addicts will be watching the Browns/Saints game for points as well, with both Amari Cooper and Taysom Hill in action. Hill is a boom/bust TE option, but Cooper should get plenty of targets.
Sunday
Tyreek Hill will be in action on Christmas day, and his performance will be essential to the bottom line. Expect good things.
The Rams D will get a shaky Denver squad and should provide a 10+ point game for only the third time this season.
Monday
As the last stand or potential security blanket, the dangerous (when healthy) Mike Williams will look for his 5th big game this season. Would be timely.
Summary
The Addicts have been threatening for a second title in recent years, and they should get to at least 105 in this penultimate matchup. Will it be enough to advance?
Bruisers
Overview
With a 6-game winning streak in tow, the Bruisers enter their matchup against the top seed with plenty of momentum. They'll try to keep their "waiver raid" approach rolling toward a 3rd title. And they'll have to do it without their team MVP, Jalen Hurts.
9 of 10 starters for Ben will be rolling out on Saturday, with only a defensive player running on Monday night. This will likely be a chance for the team to build a lead and hope it holds through the final two days.
Saturday
All three Bruisers RB's will be hitting the ground at 1pm, and McKinnon is the biggest X-factor of the three. He has gone for at least 26 in the last two games, and his dual role should be steady. Dobbins is putting up 100-yard games these days, so his game against ATL will be important.
David Montgomery and CeeDee Lamb are known commodities, so they simply must maintain momentum.
The Ravens D could come in under expectation, and Freiermuth's usage is unclear. More Christmas Eve questions: Can Daniel Jones deliver at least 12? Will DeVonta Smith perform without Jalen?
Monday
We don't know a lot about Colts LB Zaire Franklin other than that he's a tackle machine who's gone for at least 9 points in four straight games. His effort against the Rams could be the difference.
Summary
In what could be a very close game, the Bruisers will need their supporting players and recent acquisitions to deliver them a finals berth. It will be a true test.
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Football Team vs. Cheetahs
Matchup Stats
Head to Head: 15-8, Cheetahs
Last Matchup: 172-138, WFT (Wk 11)
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 8
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 5
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Football team
Overview
The last four seasons have seen the Football Team rise to contention at every opportunity. They head into the semis looking for more West Coast magic to get them back to the title game.
Central to the roster, Saturday and Sunday at 1pm will carry the most weight, with the Bengals and Raiders getting their turn. But a big Sunday night game may tell the final story in this one. A close game could come down to Monday night.
Saturday
The early window is all about Joe Burrow (with a side of McPherson) for the Football Team. At least, that's where the bulk of the points can be expected. New England's defense may make things difficult, but its equally likely that QB and K combine for 30.
Cordarrelle will need to find lanes against the Ravens D, and while that isnt the easiest task, CPat is a high-floor start. Don't sleep on Roquan, who has put up double-digits in nearly half his starts this year. Is Kittle ready to have another great game?
As Christmas Eve goes eve, the two key cogs in the Walkertown express will need to deliver gifts. Adams has been in a mini-slump over the last two games, but he could easily snap out of it. Jacobs is the top back in fantasy this year, so expect no less than 15, even with a stingy Steelers D.
Sunday
The once-stout Bucs D has been mediocre lately, but what better opportunity to get right than a beaten Cards team starting a third-stringer. Keep an eye on this one.
Monday
The 13th day of Christmas brings the Football Team two final chances at advancement, with Pittman and Moss getting their chance to catch and run. Perhaps Foles fires up the energy?
Summary
There have been very few weeks where this team has underachieved, and even with a couple of injury concerns, it would be difficult to pick against them.
Cheetahs
Overview
No strangers to success, the Cheetahs returned to the playoffs and immediately got a win. They'll bring their potent running game and Bucs-loaded offense into the fray with hopes of another title shot.
With an even spread over Saturday and Sunday, the Cheetahs will get most of their scoring in balanced doses, but the Tampa Bay game on Sunday night will clearly carry the weekend impact.
Saturday
Having Justin Tucker to get your scoring started seems like an optimistic order of affairs. Well, that and a certain TE who has outscored all but a couple of receivers this year. Watch for Kelce and Tucker to post a combined 25+ in their 1pm games.
The real meat and potatoes comes with a heavy portion of CMC against the Commies D, and Terry McLaurin catching Heineckens on the other side of the ball. Throw in the always dangerous Cowboys D, and there should be points aplenty here.
Najee should maintain his 8-12 point range to assist the cause, but carries +5 upside in this matchup.
Sunday
Don't be surprised if Josey Jewell shows up in the Rams backfield, but the real show will be the Cheetahs trio of "Bucs for bucks".
Whether they will be money or not is the question. Not because of the defensive matchup, but rather the game script. Brady has a high floor, and so he should make the QB battle a reasonable one. Evans and Godwin may not both reach 15+, but if the run game is all that's required for a W, the feasting may be lighter.
Summary
There's no reason to doubt the Cheetahs will make this a competitive matchup, and they are certainly capable of a win over a tough opponent. We won't know for sure until Monday.
Round 1 review
One Round Down
The Quarterfinals were a set of solid showdowns in the LOC.
At one point on Sunday, both playoff matchups were projected within 2 points of even. While the finishes were a little further apart than that, the games were well-played and competitive.
The Addicts and Football Team got a team of rest in Week 15, but now they know who they'll be facing.
The top-seeded Addicts will square off against the red-hot Bruisers, while the reigning Points champ Football Team will meet the battle-tested Cheetahs. For the Wolves and Losers, it's off to the winner's consolation bracket to play a two-week marathon for 5th.
The semifinal matchups will get their proper due in the days ahead, but for now, let's revisit the exciting quarterfinals action.
Bruisers vs. Losers
Make it 6 straight for the Bruisers. They turned the corner in the back stretch of the season, and now they're lighting up the scoreboard at the perfect time. The right calls off the wire, the best returns from their starters, and a 143-point Round 1 performance have earned them a ticket to the next round.
To be fair, they needed almost every one of those points. The Losers have been formidable throughout most of the year, and they brought enough points to the table this week to beat just about anyone else. But it wasn't quite enough to overtake the Brus.
Ben made just the right selections for RB replacement, getting 15 from Dobbins and a game-winning 26 from McKinnon. Hurts was the team leader yet again, posting 29.5 on 300+ yards passing and 3 rushing TDs. What a machine.
Montgomery and CeeDee gifted 18 apiece, and DeVonta Smith added 17. When points are coming from every direction, it's hard to lose the game (RIP Madden). The Bruisers are off to face the Addicts.
Ledford certainly showed up to play, getting a big 30 from Mahomes and a nice 25 from AJ Brown. Everyone contributed to the cause, with 4 others posting double-digits. If there were any fault to be placed, it would be on the mid rushing performance, as Mixon was held largely in check. Overall though, a solid effort in a shootout.
Cheetahs vs. Wolves
If experience is the difference, then the Cheetahs are going to win their way through this tourney. In this 9th trip to the postseason, they adjusted to circumstance and put together a winning score that held off a wily Wolves team late.
It wasn't a sure thing, as the Wolves parried to keep things close throughout Sunday, but in the end, receiving points proved the winning ticket for Conover.
Godwin and Evans combined for 27 and Kelce was indeed counted on, adding 17.5 himself. Both teams had underachievers here, with the Cowboys D subtracting a point and Dire's Jets D laying an egg. But CMC's steady brilliance (22.5) and a nice effort from Najee pushed the margin further in James' favor.
On the receiving end of their recent trade, the Wolves were let down by Olave and Herbert. They certainly get credit for the rushing effort, with Henry leading the game (23.5) and Mostert adding 19 and B-Rob 10.5. A solid run to get to the postseason for Wes, but it's off to the consolation match.
Meanwhile, the Cheetahs will square off against a dangerous Walkertown team for their shot at another title game.
Round 1 Preview
The Quarters
It's Quarterfinals weekend in the LOC. Points are on the board, and our two key matchups are in progress.
While the Addicts and Football Team sit and wait for their competitors to emerge (and hope for healthy bye weeks), our other 4 playoff entrants are fighting for their immediate future.
As you know from last season, the losing teams will enter the marathon matchup for 5th place.
Side note: That 5 v 6 battle is played over two weeks, and while both games are played as individual matchups, final standings are determined by cumulative points.
On the bright side, the two winners advance to the semis where they will face the top 2 seeds for a shot at the title game.
The playoffs are an exciting (and anxious) time for half the league. It's where legacies are forged and team success is truly measured. Finishing strong is tough, no matter how great your season has been.
This is where your planning and timing will be put to the test. Hopefully you're ready!
Let's dive into our two Quarterfinal matchups.
Cheetahs vs. Wolves
Cheetahs (3)
Things got off to a good start for Conover, with McCaffrey honoring his RB1 status with 22.5 on Thursday. Joining him in the backfield will be Zonovan Knight, who has shown he is capable of delivering double digits in a starting role. Najee is a sneaky flex play, and should find running room despite the stingy Panthers defense.
The Bucs will be counted on to get the Cheetahs through to the next round, as Brady must look more like vintage TB12 then he has in recent weeks. Will Evans and Godwin help him out in a potential shootout with the Bengals? They will need to combine for 25+ at least.
Kelce is likely to have a great game, but just how much he will be needed against a bad Texans squad could be a factor. The Cowboys D may underachieve today, though it would be tough to predict anything less than 8-10 from them.
All in all, the points are there to be had for the Cheetahs. Will these playoff veterans find enough to advance?
Wolves (6)
A solid effort from Mostert on Saturday has the Wolves running game looking to at least match up against their competitors. Fitting that these teams traded supplemental players just a few short weeks ago. Henry will be needed against the Chargers D, and there will be running lanes to exploit. Robinson gets the nod at flex, and he should also find a dozen or so.
Lockett's 10 (prior to injury) was serviceable, but Olave must have a good game against Atlanta. There's no reason to believe he scores less than 10 himself.
The Jets D is certainly strong, but the Lions have a way of putting up serious points. That will be a situation to keep an eye on. Maxx Crosby should be his usual high-scoring self, and Myers already kicked in 10.5 on Thursday.
All in all, Justin Herbert is probably the deciding factor for the Wolves. A 20+ point game would ensure this matchup comes down to the wire, and may get the Wolves by in a close one.
Losers vs. Bruisers
Losers (4)
Ryan and Co. had a projection advantage entering this one, but they now find themselves on the short end of predicted score. Not by much though. Nothing that one Patrick Mahomes can't handle. His early scoring should be great, but will he be needed later in a blowout win? Ledford will hope for a closer game against Houston than expected.
Mixon may not have the same running lanes against the Bucs D, but they have proven susceptible to option runs/screens, so he won't be snuffed out.
The receiving game will be a big key for this team, as AJ Brown, Keenan Allen and Garrett WIlson are all playing great football right now. Any combination of 50+ from this trio would bode well for the outcome. So critical to that result will be how much of the Hurts share that AJ Brown can haul in. Could make the difference.
The Broncos D will be boom/bust this week, and the Losers will have a tough fight to emerge the winner.
Bruisers (5)
A nice plug and play with Dobbins has the running game set to outpace their opposition. The Bruisers stuck with Montgomery all year, and he will be needed here despite the defensive challenge. McKinnon is a flex call that could reap big rewards or turn out to be a costly decision, depending on the Chiefs gameplan.
Schultz has been hit or miss, but he will need to contribute 8-10 to keep the balance intact.
The real firepower starts and centers on Jalen Hurts. Can he keep his stellar scoring pace intact for another week? The key will be for him to get the rock to Smith (more than Brown) and that (along with some scrambles) should keep the Bruisers in it. If Lamb can go for at least a dozen, this team will be in a good spot.
The Chiefs D will put up double digits (they better!), and that might be enough to push the Benny Bros into the semis. Won't be easy though.
Week 14 Review
Hill scooped up 23 in the Addicts' record-tying win.
*The Finale*
That does it for the regular season! Our playoff lineup is all set...
The Addicts just tied the best record in LOC history at 13-1! Congratulations to Corey and his team of fantasy junkies. They'll get Week 15 off and enter the postseason as the favorite.
Right alongside, the Football Team notched their second straight Points Title (and it wasn't particularly close). They finish at 9-5 and also have a bye week ahead. A team to watch out for in the playoffs.
The Rest division race came down to the literal wire, with the Cheetahs ultimately winning the #3 spot and the Losers taking the first Wild Card ticket right behind them. Literally right behind them. Because despite a tie in record, the first tiebreaker is total points, and these two teams tied there too! That made it a matter of head-to-head matchups, for which the Cheetahs prevailed in both regular season scrums.
The Bruisers held up their end of the win-and-in bargain, locking up the #5 spot and becoming the third team from the Rest to make the cut.
And in a very close battle, the Wolves emerged victorious to outpace the Threat/Remix (both of whom put up fierce challenges) for the final Wild Card spot.
We'll take a closer look at all 6 playoff teams over the next few days, but first we'll attend to the final regular season business. A low-scoring but competitive week it was.
*Awards*
Owner of the Week
Cliff's Crushers - 113.5
Power Player
Threat Level Midnight
Evan Engram: 31.5
Points Title
Walkertown FT
1704.5
Fantasy Fumble
Conover Cheetahs
84.5
*Matchups*
Wolves vs. Football Team
The Wolves got to .500 and earned their 5th playoff berth (and first since '18) with a critical win over the favored Football Team. This one was close throughout, with Henry's 18.5 leading the effort. Herbert added 16.5 and the Jets D had an important 15 in the win. For Walkertown, a pair of 16's from Burrow and Jacobs were the high marks, with slightly lower efforts from the star receivers (and a potentially costly injury to Deebo). They'll have next week to get their postseason game plan laid out.
Bruisers vs. Losers
These two will face each other again next week with the stakes even higher. Jalen Hurts (QB3) continued his brilliance with 24.5 to lead the Bruisers, while a 4-pack of 12's and 13's from Devonta, Schultz, KC and Carlson helped ensure victory. The running game is where playoff questions will need to be answered. The Losers couldn't get enough help for Mahomes (23), though Keenan Allen did contribute 15 (and Brown 13) in a week where the supplemental positions failed to come through.
Cheetahs vs. Dominators
Jared Goff got the start in Lamar's absence, and he showed up with a stellar 29.5 for the Dominators, who close their rocky regular season with a win over the playoff-bound Cheetahs. The Bills D chipped in 13, and the WRs found double-digits to get Dolla over the top. For Conover, this was a forgettable game, and HATR's first Fumble of the season. Huntley (5) failed to show, and the Bucs were held to single-digit slates. CMC was awesome though, leading the team with 25.5 points.
Remix vs. Crushers
Neither one of these teams made the final cut, but both showed up with nice efforts to close out the regs. For the Crushers, the losing streak was finally struck down, as a healthy WR group reminded them of the season's first half. Jeudy had 23 and Chase found 22 more. The dual RB byes could have been devastating. The Remix got damn close to the postseason, and their second highest scoring QB (Cousins) gave 25.5 to the cause. The Pats D and Folk combined for 31 in a late run that almost was.
Addicts vs. Qrew
The Qrew hoped to play spoiler against the favored (and nearly unstoppable) Addicts, but injury and couple of goose eggs ensured that would not materialize. Ghetto was led by Tyreek's 23, and Mike Williams showed up with 20.5 himself. Pollard added 16 in the franchise-record 13th win for GK. Justin Jefferson has been a force all year, and his 30.5 were a big part of the 4:20 effort this week. Conner dropped 18 and Geno an efficient 17. A Diontae away from victory.
Marauders vs. Threat
The defending champs saw their chance at running it back fall short, but they closed the season with a win over their Camel City colleague to notch a respectable 7-7 campaign. And without any points from Kyler or Boyd. Instead, it was waiver gem Evan Engram, who's 31.5 points were the best of the week. Trade acquisition Sanders added 26.5 in a close win. The Marauders were led by Ekeler's 18, and 5 others reached at least 10, but the Fins meltdown and the Seahawks D (0) ruled them out.
Week 14 Preview
Can Tyreek lift the Addicts to a record-tying 13-1?
*The Finale*
Week 14 is here. Hard to believe the season is pushing the finish line, but it's go time for the final week.
We've already seen the scenarios in play for playoff qualification, just as we've seen teams swoon in the second half of the year while others rose to the occasion to give themselves a shot at a title.
We've seen teams steamroll their way to the postseason, while others are limping into this final showdown with a hope and a prayer.
This is where the rubber meets the road. An all-divisional week to lock things up.
Two spots available with 4 teams vying for their chance at the dance.
One division race still to be decided.
If you aren't in contention, feel free to undercut someone else's chance for pride and position.
Everyone has to bring their A-game. Are you ready?
*Quick Picks*
Wolves vs. Football Team
Stakes: The Wolves are playing for a Wild Card spot, while the Football Team look to post their second straight 10+ win season.
The Raiders gave Walkertown an early lead, but will need solid outings from their Niners contingent to notch another win before the bye. The Wolves are leaning on Herbert and their capable running game to deliver a win, and they'll pull off the upset.
H2H Record: 7-6, WFT
Experts Pick: WFT by 10
ESPN Pick: WFT by 1
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 3
Bruisers vs. Losers
Stakes: This one sees the streaking Bruisers to try to lock up a postseason bid, facing a Losers squad looking for their first division title.
This one will come right down to the wire, and while Mahomes and AJ Brown will have great games, the Bruisers will get enough from Hurts and Lamb to push it to the finish line. If James Cook shows up, they might just notch a needed win.
H2H Record: 6-5, Losers
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 1
ESPN Pick: Losers by 1
Commish's Pick: Losers by 5
Cheetahs vs. Dominators
Stakes: The Cheetahs aim for a 9-5 finish and a Rest division title, while the Dominators hope to spoil the day and end their season on a high note.
This matchup will see a barrage of points from both running games, and Huntley will do an admirable job at QB fill-in for the Cheetahs. Expect the Dominators WR group to outpace their counterparts, while the final score comes down to whichever Team Def emerges with the edge.
H2H Record: 16-4, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Dominators by 1
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 2
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 6
Remix vs. Crushers
Stakes: Both teams are in contention (technically), but its the Remix who are fighting for the final dance card against a Crushers team looking to end a 6-game slide.
Another game likely to come down the closing minutes, despite struggles from both running games. Expect low scoring overall and a critical receiving battle to unfold. The Crushers have all 3 WRs healthy, and that will help them spoil the Remix postseason bid.
H2H Record: 9-7, Remix
Experts Pick: Remix by 10
ESPN Pick: Remix by 9
Commish's Pick: Crushers by 2
Addicts vs. Qrew
Stakes: The Addicts are all set as the #1 seed, but they will look to maintain momentum against a Qrew squad that has been improved of late.
Even if the Addicts don't have anything significant to play for, a 13-win season would be epic. The receiver scoring might wash out between these two, but it's the success of Pollard/Etienne that will determine if GK gets the win. Geno is the x-factor here for the Qrew.
H2H Record: 17-8, Addicts
Experts Pick: Qrew by 9
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 7
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 1
Marauders vs. Threat
Stakes: The Threat face elimination, but can give themselves a chance if they end their losing streak against the beatable Marauders in this one.
With a chance to end the Threat's title defense officially, MIM will expect big games from their rushing trio, and their Fins combo (Tua/Waddle) will need to be efficient. The Threat need to overcome projections with Higgins and JJSS, but should keep this one close with their rushing threat.
H2H Record: 2-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Marauders by 18
ESPN Pick: Marauders by 23
Commish's Pick: Marauders by 7
Week 13 Review
Hurts led the Bruisers to 33 and a critical win.
*Situations*
A week of massive importance unfolded, despite the notion that the postseason impact might be minimal in Week 13.
The net result? 4 teams are in, 4 teams are out, and 4 are still in contention.
The Addicts bounced back to get to 12-1, and the Football Team (9-4) just mathematically locked up the #2 seed and the remaining bye week. Barring a meltdown/miracle, WFT will earn the points title this year as well!
With the Cheetahs and Losers both winning to reach 8-5, they each locked up a guaranteed playoff spot, and their Week 14 outcomes will determine who wins the Rest, who gets the #3 spot, and who gets the #4 spot. Congrats to both of them.
That leaves two available postseason tickets.
The Bruisers elevated their chances with a 4th straight win, and at 7-6 they have the inside track for one of those two spots. The Remix refuse to bow out, and they will join the Threat and Wolves as 6-7 teams hoping to finish strong and make the cut.
So yes...a 7-7 team will get in. And possibly two of them! The only question is which...and that will be answered in the days ahead. We'll look at the playoff scenarios tomorrow when the final Power Rankings come out.
In a less exciting note, the Crushers dropped from the race with their 6th straight loss, joining the spoiler contingent in the bottom 4.
Let's look at our Week 13 standouts.
*standouts*
Owner of the Week
Benny's Bruisers - 139
Power Player
Benny's Bruisers
Jalen Hurts: 33
The Overcomer
Ghetto Krackaddicts
+18
Fantasy Fumble
Threat Level Midnight
75
Negatron
Dolla' Dominators
Lamar Jackson: -1.5
*Showdowns*
Crushers vs. Addicts
The Addicts got back to their winning ways in this one, led by Tyreek's 26.5 points and a game-clinching 19.5 from Pollard on Sunday night. They now have a chance at equaling the best record in LOC history with a win next week.
Once it rained, it really poured for the Crushers. Their 6th straight defeat was marked by a mediocre rushing day and no big standouts in the moment. The Niners D led the way with 17, and Kirk/Chase combined for 28 in this elimination game.
Cheetahs vs. Threat
Plenty of McLovin to go around for the Cheetahs, as McCaffrey led the way with 22.5 and McLaurin added 20.5 to the winning effort. The Cowboys D (18) continues to post big numbers for this team on the rise.
On the bright side for the Threat, Koo scored 16 at kicker and Mike White posted 15.5. On the reality check, the Fins players turned in duds and the Threat dropped their 5th in a row and stand at the edge of elimination.
Losers vs. Wolves
No Mixon, no problem for the Losers. Garrett Wilson stepped in and delivered 22 in the flex. AJ Brown's team-leading 26.5 was critical, and the Broncos D chipped in 16 to make up for the loss of Kenneth Walker to injury.
The Wolves got another big game from Lockett (23) in the loss, but a down day from Henry and a loss in the defensive battle kept this one from being closer. Dire will need to finish strong in Week 14 to join the playoff party.
Football Team vs. Dominators
It's apparent that the Football Team are building a legacy, as they stand on the verge of consecutive Points titles. Davante's 32.5 was the team highlight, while Burrow's 26.5 helped ensure victory. They'll now get Week 15 off.
The loss of Lamar proved costly in this one, and while the Dominators got balanced scoring from everywhere else, it wasn't nearly enough to change the outcome. Amon-Ra's 26.5 was a standout, and D'Andre added 16.5.
Remix vs. Qrew
The Remix have had their ups and downs this season, but they got a win when most needed. And it wasn't the refreshed running game that helped. Instead, their trio of WRs (led by DK's 22.5) combined for 58 points to keep hope alive.
Well, Geno sure looked good. He gave the Qrew a 20-point boost in the loss, and Jefferson added 13 more. Ultimately, a goose egg from the Falcons D and a disappointing flex (2.5) kept them away from the win here.
Bruisers vs. Marauders
In the biggest blowout of the week, the headstrong Bruisers kept battering and earned an OTW with 139 points. Hurts (30) was the top man once again, Perine filled in with a clutch 20, Smith added 18.5, and everyone but Kyren came to play.
The Marauders couldn't win two in a row, and never really got off the ground. Bobby Wagner's 18.5 was the team's best, but a couple of 14's from Tua and Zeke weren't even close to enough, and injuries wrecked the WR group right out of the gate.
Week 13 Preview
Kelce (Cheetahs) is one of only two TE's with a double-digit ppg average.
*The Playoffs*
It's clear that we won't know who our full slate of postseason contestants are until next week. With Week 14 as a divisional week, the final record/scoring splits will be decided once and for all. The drama will certainly be thick in the closing week, but what about the penultimate matchups this weekend?
Here's what we know for certain:
The Addicts and Football Team are in. GK has a guaranteed bye as the top overall seed, and the Football Team have clinched a Top-3 spot by winning the WS division. They could even lock up the other bye if they win and the Losers and Cheetahs both lose.
Two teams have a chance of being eliminated in Week 13: the Remix and the Crushers. If they lose and two of the 6-win teams score win #7, that's it for one/both. Win to stay alive.
Two teams have the potential to clinch their spot in the playoffs, and they're both in the Rest. The Cheetahs and Losers can earn at least a Wild Card spot with a win and a couple of losses from 6-win teams.
This is somewhat good news for the Wolves, Bruisers and Threat. They can't technically be eliminated this week, nor can they clinch. But the sledding gets very difficult when you're trying to get in at 7-7, so make sure you put up some serious points regardless of outcome.
It appears a 7-win team will join the short list of .500 squads making the cut, but probably only 1, and the right series of events in the last two games could raise that bar to 8-6.
For the other 3 teams, it's a spoiler week. The Dominators, Qrew and Marauders are all hoping to ruin the fun for someone still in the chase. We'll see how it goes.
*Quick Picks*
Crushers vs. Addicts
The Crushers get JaMarr Chase back in a must-win game, but it will be an uphill battle against an Addicts team looking to bounce back after their first loss.
Both run games and WR groups will do well, but Carr will go for 20+ for Ghetto and the Rams D will bottle up the Hawks, making the winning difference.
H2H Record: 12-10, Addicts
Experts Pick: Addicts by 13
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 19
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 10
Cheetahs vs. Threat
Two teams with vastly different fortunes than at midseason, the Cheetahs are gunning for a division crown and the Threat are trying to end a miserable fade.
The Threat run game will actually outpace the Cheetahs, but it won't be nearly enough to make up for the WR edge created by the Bucs + Kelce.
H2H Record: 2-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 20
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 21
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 15
Losers vs. Wolves
In what should be a hotly-contested showdown between two teams coming off a loss, the Wolves are looking for a Wild Card and the Losers are hoping to secure a postseason spot.
This one will come down to the wire, as the 3-headed rushing attack of the Losers will earn them an advantage, while big days from Herbert and Lockett keep the Wolves in it with a shot.
H2H Record: 5-1, Wolves
Experts Pick: Losers by 9
ESPN Pick: Losers by 14
Commish's Pick: Losers by 1
Football Team vs. Dominators
It's been a rock solid run for the Football Team of late, and while the prognostications indicate a blowout, they face a Dominators team that has proven capable of hanging with anyone.
It likely won't make a difference that Hopkins is on bye, with the 3 Walkertown WRs still posting a 15+ average this week. Only if Cook outduels Jacobs will Dolla have an upset bid.
H2H Record: 11-6, Dominators
Experts Pick: WFT by 12
ESPN Pick: WFT by 18
Commish's Pick: WFT by 6
Remix vs. Qrew
The Remix have answered the bell every time they've been on the ropes, and they'll need to put their best foot forward against a Qrew squad finding its rhythm of late.
With the arrival of Chubb, the Remix find themselves in a good spot this week, but this matchup will come down to Trevor Lawrence, and whether the Qrew WR group can outduel the RMX group.
H2H Record: 12-5, Qrew
Experts Pick: Remix by 12
ESPN Pick: Remix by 17
Commish's Pick: Remix by 3
Bruisers vs. Marauders
A Bruisers team on a recent tear (W3) will look to keep the playoff picture in front of them by taking out the basement-ridden Marauders in an SFA classic.
The Alabama QB battle will likely be a wash, but the Bruisers run game and the production of Devonta Smith will be critical. The Marauders need a big day from Waddle and Zeke to steal this one.
H2H Record: 13-10, Bruisers
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 1
ESPN Pick: Bruisers by 4
Commish's Pick: Marauders by 5
Week 12 Review
Jacobs exploded for 300+ yards and fueled WFT to victory.
There you have it. The unbeaten Addicts have fallen.
A hell of a run that may not be over, but will not be the flawless march to glory that was taking shape.
At 11-1, the top of the race is still set. But there is an emergent force that cannot be ignored.
The Walkertown Football Team. With their nearly uncatchable points lead and an 8-4 record following a toppling of the Addicts, they've become the second team to clinch a playoff spot.
Based on simple math and remaining schedules, the Football Team have also locked up the WS division, meaning they will finish no lower than the #3 seed. The stars (like Josh Jacobs) are aligning at the right time for this team.
In other Week 12 news, how about the Qrew! After an 0-7 start, they've won 4 of their last 5, and in the process notched their first OTW of the season. Even the Marauders got a rare win this week.
The Cheetahs are quietly maintaining a playoff pace, knocking off the division rival Losers to pull even with them at 7-5 in the Rest. That race should be a tight one down the home stretch.
It was a high-scoring week overall, and both the Bruisers and Remix showed up with big outputs to keep their playoff hopes alive. Their cause is helped by the struggles of the Crushers and Threat, who are both on multi-game losing streaks. A Wolves loss this week kept the door open for the 5-win teams.
We'll reset the playoff picture as we enter Week 13, but the last two weeks are going to be quite a show.
The Dominators joined the elimination party this week, despite some solid moments this season. 7 teams remain in the chase for the 4 available playoff spots. How about our standouts...
Owner of the Week
THE 4:20 Qrew - 144
Power Player
Walkertown FT
Josh Jacobs 47.5
The Overcomer
Remix OG: +17
Fantasy Fumble
Ledford's Losers - 84
*The Matchups*
Football Team vs. Addicts
This one was a picture of contrast, with things going very right for Walkertown and multiple breakdowns for the Addicts. These two division winners very well may meet again in a few weeks.
Josh Jacobs' 47.5 points was the game-breaking difference in this one, just as Etienne's injury ensured this would not be a close battle. The Addicts got 19 from Carr, but a couple of zeroes and a lesser week from Pollard kept things from staying competitive. Walkertown got a solid 16 from Burrow and another 15 from Hopkins in support of a big day from the Raiders. They locked up the WS and turn their sights toward clinching a bye week.
Cheetahs vs. Losers
The Rest division battle has been a back-and-forth affair, but the Bucs-driven Cheetahs pulled even with the Losers this week in a hard-fought but critical win.
It was the lowest scoring of an otherwise high-points slate, but Chris Godwin had his second great week in a row, this one to the tune of 23 for the Cheetahs. The revamped run game was mostly held in-check, but Tucker provided insurance with 16 and Brady added a steady 14. The Losers couldn't find their usual support for Mahomes (who led the way with 19.5), and while Walker posted 12, the return of Keenan Allen was overshadowed by a Fumble for Ledford.
Bruisers vs. Dominators
In a matchup of teams heading in different directions, the Bruisers notched their third win in a row to get to 6-6 while the Dominators slipped out of the race for the '22 postseason.
Most everyone got in on the scoring for the Bruisers, led by Jalen Hurts and a nifty 30-point effort. Perine added 15 at RB2, Lamb led the receivers with 17, and the supporting positions all reached double digits in a balanced victory that gets BB back to .500 and one game back in the Rest. The Doms were led by Amon-Ra's 23, and Lamar looked strong and familiar with 21.5, but a middling day from Cook and the score they were up against sent Dolla to the eliminated column.
Wolves vs. Remix
A lot of momentum was carried into this matchup by the Wolves, but it was the Remix who lit up the scoreboard and kept their own postseason hopes alive.
A trio of 20+ points performances paced the Remix's rise, with two of them coming on Monday night when the team was trailing. Miles Sanders (27) and Justin Watson (22) helped fuel the comeback, and the return of Kyler netted 21.5. In his first game for the Wolves, Justin Herbert starred with 23.5, while newcomer Rachaad White added a nice 15.5. There weren't really any holes in the performance, it was just a better day for the Remix.
Threat vs. Qrew
This game represented a furtherance of the Threat's second-half slide and reinforced the recent surge from the scrappy Qrew.
Behind Justin Jefferson's continued dominance (24), Tee Higgins assisted the 4:20 cause with 20.5 himself. The running back duo of Conner/Stevenson combined for 35, and the Panthers D surprised with 15 to pad the numbers. The Threat avoided the Fumble, but not their 4th straight defeat, thanks to a dismal receiving day (4 combined) and a goose from Gesicki. Chubb and Barkley combo-ed for 30, and the Steelers D chipped in a sturdy 16, but the outcome was decided early.
Crushers vs. Marauders
With five straight losses for the Crushers, the streak was punctuated this week by a loss to the league-trailing Marauders.
These two squared off directly following a trade, and the new faces contributed directly. The Marauders benefitted from Pacheco's 12.5 and Waddle's 11, but it was the Fins D (20) and Ekeler's excellence (17.5) that helped them get off the losing track, at least for a week. For Cliff, the Aaron Jones addition helped the run game (15), and Josh Allen paced the week with 24.5. The Niners D proved worthy with 19. Unfortunately, they came up just short in this one.
Week 12 Preview
Adams leads WFT against the undefeated Addicts.
*The Situation*
With only 3 weeks left in the regular season, the intensity naturally picks up.
We've got two huge showdowns this week, with the Football Team attempting to end the Addicts' undefeated run, and the Losers and Cheetahs squaring off for the Rest division lead.
Elsewhere, 5 other teams will be playing for their playoff lives. One or two of them will be eliminated this week, and two teams could clinch a playoff spot. Matchups of the Bruisers vs. Dominators and Remix vs. Wolves will give us some of those answers.
It's a must-win Sunday for those teams, and the sledding won't be easy. The results from a big Week 12 will tell us if a 7-win team can even make the cut this year, and we'll find out if any separation can be had from the large contingent in the middle of the pack.
A massive Week 14 divisional slate looms large in the distance. Wins this week will keep hope alive as we enter the home stretch.
No byes this week, so everyone will be counting on their (healthy) studs to ride to victory. Good luck.
*The matchups*
Football Team vs. Addicts
It's the game of the week, as two hot teams face off in a battle for pride and position. The Addicts have the top seed locked up, but an upset win here could earn Walkertown a return to the postseason.
The 11-0 Addicts didn't get the full plate from Pollard (7) on Thursday, but nice matchups set them up for a competitive day. Carr will have his way with the Hawks D, and that will take some of the sting out of Jacobs/Adams productivity on the Walkertown side. Etienne may struggle against Baltimore, but Amari should exceed projections. Tyreek and Taylor are set for big performances, and this one may well come down to JT's efforts on Monday night.
Watch for the Football Team to put up some serious points (maybe not 170 though). Burrow faces a tricky Titans D, but needs to show up. Can Patterson continue to be the value play he's been thus far? Hopkins and Deebo are likely to combine for 40 here, making the real WFT impact a question of the Jets D and Cordarelle. Kittle's re-emergence has been a welcome sight, and it's tough to pick a winner here.
H2H Record: 12-10, Addicts
Experts Pick: Addicts by 5
ESPN Pick: WFT by 1
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 1
Cheetahs vs. Losers
The Rest division battle has been heating up, and this matchup will tell us if the Losers are gearing up for a postseason bid or if the Cheetahs are making division-win plans of their own.
We've reached full-Bucs commitment phase from the Cheetahs, as Brady steps in at starter for combo points with Evans/Godwin. Najee gets the nod in his Conover debut, and while CMC will go for 15+, Najee needs to as well. No holes in the lineup means another big week for this team. The Losers are not to be taken lightly, with Mahomes likely to erase any Kelce edge on the other side. A healthy Keenan Allen and sneaky good Mike Carter will drive scoring up, but the lack of Mixon will be felt in the final score.
H2H Record: 7-2, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 9
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 6
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 10
Bruisers vs. Dominators
The other divisional battle this week sees two teams fighting for their postseason lives, as the Bruisers try to keep momentum while the Dominators attempt to stave off elimination.
This one was halfway over by Thursday night, but the outcome is very much in the air. For Benny, big efforts from Lamb and Schultz got them rolling. Montgomery is joined by fill-in Perine in the backfield, and his performance will be critical. The Chiefs D should feast, and Hurts faces a susceptible secondary. The Doms got 23 from Amon-Ra, but need Foreman to bounce back and more goodness from Aiyuk. Lamar should elevate his game today and make this a nail-biter.
H2H Record: 15-9, Bruisers
Experts Pick: Dominators by 4
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 2
Commish's Pick: Bruisers by 3
Wolves vs. Remix
Postseason implications abound in this showdown between the rising Wolves in the WS and an inconsistent Remix squad facing a must-win scenario.
No Fields/Mostert this week, but the Wolves do get fresh arrivals Herbert and Chris Olave to bolster their efforts. Not to be forgotten, Rachaad White should have a solid day. If he and Henry can carry the load, this one will be close. The Jets need at least a dozen. The Remix welcome Kyler back (but will want him throwing to non-Marquise WRs). The running game should bounce back, and if Metcalf can outduel Lockett, the Remix will take the W.
H2H Record: 5-5, Tied
Experts Pick: Remix by 8
ESPN Pick: Remix by 5
Commish's Pick: Remix by 1
Threat vs. Qrew
This matchup might have been a different story just a couple of weeks ago, but it currently stands as a critical streak-ender for the Threat or a chance to play spoiler for the Qrew.
Big Thursday efforts from Rhamondre and Justin Jefferson have the Qrew expecting a blowout win, but the Threat are certainly capable of mounting a challenge here. Look for a big game from Jeff Wilson and a rare breakout from Russell Wilson. The Panthers D will be on the receiving end of that breakout, meaning the Qrew will need to count cash from Conner and Tee Higgins. If Geno is serviceable this week, the Qrew will roll.
H2H Record: 2-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Qrew by 4
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 35
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 15
Crushers vs. Marauders
The Crushers seek to end their losing streak and keep the playoff train on the tracks against the flailing Marauders, fresh off a big trade between these two squads.
Allen and McKenzie combined for 40+ on Thanksgiving, setting up a better outlook for a Crushers team that has struggled of late. New arrivals Jones and Kirk are immediately being counted on to help end the losing streak, and with Chase and Jeudy ruled out, their efforts will be critical. The Marauders are looking for the love connection between Tua and Waddle, and need Ekeler to go off. Fill-ins on both teams make this a tough one to predict.
H2H Record: 11-10, Marauders
Experts Pick: Marauders by 11
ESPN Pick: Marauders by 1
Commish's Pick: Crushers by 8
Week 11 Review
Pollard lit up the scoreboard (34.5) for the sensational Addicts.
Just when it seems we will settle into a normal week of fantasy football, history is made yet again.
And the 11-0 Addicts seem determined to raise that bar every week. W13 is unprecedented in league history, and even with another close challenge, Ghetto emerged victorious yet again...clinching the top overall seed and a Week 15 bye.
Now the considerations about "running the table" are quite justified.
Not too far behind, the Football Team are making some noise of their own. A league-high and franchise-record 172 points this week ought to keep them relevant. Considering the mounting points lead and general momentum they are also carrying, we are in for a hell of a matchup next week when they face the league's only 11-0 team.
The Losers are alongside WFT at 7-4, and these two are likely only a win away from locking up a playoff spot.
And let's not count out sneaky teams on the rise, like the Wolves and Bruisers. They've taken their lumps this season, but both are in position to make a playoff push in the closing weeks.
The Qrew pulled off a late win against the Crushers, damaging the Cliff odds and pulling themselves out of 12th place in the standings. Can't keep a 3-time champ down forever.
Several other teams put up solid efforts in defeat, including the 6-5 Cheetahs (2nd in scoring this week) and the Remix and Dominators. No one was officially eliminated from the race, but RMX and QCDD are on the verge of joining the Marauders and Qrew.
On to the awards from a competitive Week 11, followed by a team-by-team look at the action.
*The Awards*
Owner of the Week
Walkertown FT - 172
Power Player
Ghetto Krackaddicts
Tony Pollard - 34.5
Last Man Standing
Ghetto Krackaddicts - 11-0
Fantasy Fumble
Threat Level Midnight - 61
Negatron
Ghetto Krackaddicts
Graham Gano / -4
*Team by team*
Football Team
It makes more sense now why the Team got a #1 slot in the Power Ranks. They were due for a big week and they certainly had one. Everyone but Roquan scored at least 11 points to combine for a franchise-best week. Davante's 27.5 was team best, with Burrow right there (26.5). Kittle and Deebo combined for 34.5, as did the RBs. Its all working, and WFT now holds sole possession of the WS division lead.
Crushers
When all three of your starting receivers are out, its fair to expect a slump, but we're 4 games into this one and the optimism starts to fade. Josh Allen only came up with 9, despite generally leading the team. Instead it was Gibson's 12.5 that was the team high. The Niners added 12 on Monday night, but the Crushers needed 3 more from somewhere to get the win and couldn't find it. Trade for glory.
Cheetahs
You don't get to choose your opponent, but if the 6-5 Cheetahs had a say, they would likely choose not to play the OTW multiple times in a season. 138 points is nothing to sneeze at, especially when your TE goes for 28.5 and 3 Tugs. The Commies D was lights out with 24, and Olave (in his final game for Conover) posted 21.5 in bye week service. Pierce had his first dud since Week 1, but its hard to nitpick.
Remix
If only the Pats D could duplicate into other positions. They've been consistently balling, this week with 22. Watson proved a valid waiver scoop with 14.5, while Kamara and Diggs chipped in 10+ each. This one really came down to Taylor Heinicke (and no Kyler), as his 7-point showing was likely the difference between taking down the undefeated Addicts or being on the edge of elimination.
Losers
If you have enough weapons, there is greater margin for error. The Losers didn't dominate in their win over the Marauders, at least if we're talking about receivers. But Mahomes magic (28) has a way of offsetting those dips, and when a waivers kicker puts up 25 points, things are generally going well. Jamaal Williams 18 was another boost for a team gearing up for the postseason.
Addicts
So it appears Ghetto can just turn their attention to Week 16 if they so choose, as nothing that happens between now and then will affect their status. But you play to win the game, right Herm? This week's test was hard-fought, but Pollard's 34.5 point explosion was the difference maker. Dak delivered 23.5 in the starting role, and Amari Cooper was excellent with 25. We'll ignore the Gano score.
Qrew
Maybe it's not fair to expect a playoff run every year. And there was little chance of it by midseason, but the Qrew haven't quit. They outlasted the Crushers on Monday night to get their 3rd win in the last 4, with Tee Higgins' 21 pacing the effort. Rodgers had a better day with 18, and both RB's reached double digits. Even with Jefferson having his worst game in 8 weeks, they got enough for the W.
Wolves
These aren't your early-season Wolves. In a must-win stretch, Dire has pulled together 3 straight wins, sneaking past the Doms to reach 6-5 and second place in the WS. It was the run game that carried the day, with Henry's 22 and Najee's 21.5 ensuring victory. Maxx Crosby's 15 proved essential, and despite the Fields injury, things are looking up for this team. A late trade sets them up for Week 12.
Threat
It's rare to see so many good players play so collectively badly. At least Younghoe Koo (13) and Micah Parsons got to 10 points, because no one else found it. That's 3 in a row in the L column for the once 6-2 Threat. They are really missing Cooper Kupp, and are now embroiled in heated division race that threatens to leave the '21 champs behind. First career Fumble.
Bruisers
It was supposed to be a hard fought battle, but instead it was another victory cruise for the Bruisers. That's two in a row, and if there were ever a time to get the ship steaming ahead, this is it. No Fournette wasn't great for the run game, but Montgomery (17) did his part. Hurts managed 18.5 despite some picks, but the Ravens D was the real winner here, adding 21 to pad the win. Momentum?
Marauders
Sometimes the breaks just aren't to be had. 2-9 arrived on the wings of injury and a motivated Losers team. Mariota's 15.5 in bye-week duty proved to be the team's best, Butker added 15 and Ekeler 14.5 more. But another defensive dud (-1) and general mediocrity from the supporting staff pushed the odds quickly away from this broken team.
Dominators
It's hard to say what Dolla could have done differently to improve their odds. Foreman (2) had been red hot until this week, and the Bills seemed set for success against Cleveland. Singletary lived up with a nice 14.5, but Tyler Bass (24) was the real team leader this week. The receivers posted a pair of 11's, but the running game let down the cause and Lamar didn't provide enough juice. Playoff hopes in jeopardy.
Week 11 Preview
Jefferson (4:20) projects as the top WR in Week 11.
*The Situation*
Week 11 brings us NLS divisional battles and a Rest vs. WS showdown to further clarify the playoff picture.
For the Crushers and Remix, these are must-win games to stay in the Wild Card chase, while the Addicts look to secure the #1 seed with a win. As previously mentioned, Corey can also set a new record for the longest win streak in LOC history (W13) if the run continues.
There's an exciting matchup between 6-win teams featuring the Cheetahs vs. the Football Team, both seeking a standalone position at the top of their respective divisions.
Will the Wolves stay hot this week? Can teams like the Dominators and Bruisers fight their way back into the top 6? Do the Losers and Threat bounce back to get their 7th wins and hold position?
Answers will be along shortly. On to the arbitrary (and abbreviated) predictions.
*The matchups*
Remix vs. Addicts
Watson got the Remix on the board Thursday with 14.5 in place of Metcalf (bye), and one would assume that Heinecke gets the nod at QB with Murray likely out. The rushing tandem of Kamara and Sanders will be counted on to keep the Remix in this one, and the experts like them to pull it off, but this won't be easy.
The Addicts are without Tyreek, which should limit receiving points, but they get Mike Williams back and are looking to Cooper and MVS to hold up at WR2 and Flex. No Etienne, no problem, as Taylor and Pollard will carry the load this week. Dak gets the start over Carr, and will likely reward the Addicts with a win to make history.
H2H Record: 7-5, Addicts
Experts Pick: Remix by 8
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 1
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 10
Crushers vs. Qrew
The implications here are clear for the Crushers. End the 3-game losing streak and stay relevant in the postseason race, or continue the slump and face a serious uphill battle. With all 3 starting WRs on the shelf, it will be a real challenge. Buffalo is being leaned on, with Allen, McKenzie and Knox there to buoy the scoring. The Niners D should shine, but can Drake/Gibson keep CFFT in the hunt?
This hasn't been a memorable run for the Qrew, but they have won 2 of their last 3 and finally got a good game out of Rodgers (18). Jefferson and Higgins are likely to shine today, and we'll see if Kmet can carry his momentum forward. The running game is certainly capable, but Conner/Stevenson face tough defensive matchups. The outcome will hinge on their success.
H2H Record: 14-12, Qrew
Experts Pick: Qrew by 14
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 7
Commish's Pick: Crushers by 1
Cheetahs vs. Football Team
This is the most exciting matchup of the week, but the Cheetahs will be without their Bucs contingent and will have their WR depth tested today. Mclaurin and Olave are slotted to do well, and Kelce is guaranteed money. Can the CMC and Eli Mitchell tandem deliver the timeshare points to get Conover through? Herbert will need 20 or more this week to ensure victory.
For Walkertown, the Niners will also play an important role, as Deebo and Kittle must recover from bad weeks and combine for 20+. Adams is heating up and Jacobs has proven his value for WFT, so their reliable scoring will also be essential. Can Burrow pick up where he left off? Hopkins will get the targets, but he needs at least one big play in this one. It will come down to a tense Monday night finish.
H2H Record: 15-7, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 1
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 3
Commish's Pick: WFT by 5
Wolves vs. Dominators
These two teams have both proven themselves capable, but the Dominators have been hot/cold and need this to be a hot week. Look for D'Onta Foreman to show up with 15+ in place of Swift at RB2. If game script is as expected, Lamar will have a massive day. A healthy Andrews at TE will bolster that effort, leaving the Dolla receivers to determine if this week is feast or famine.
Henry has already done his part for the Wolves (22), and Fields has proven to be the waiver pickup of the year at this point. Najee and Robinson are question-marks in terms of RB volume, but certainly capable. DJ Moore continues his wild-card season, and will likely see a lot of targets (despite Baker). If Fields and Mooney can hook up on a big TD, it might be the difference.
H2H Record: 10-9, Wolves
Experts Pick: Dolla by 12
ESPN Pick: Dolla by 4
Commish's Pick: Dolla by 3
Losers vs. Marauders
The Losers are looking like a playoff-ready team, and there is no reason to think this week will be any different. Mahomes will be in a shootout, and Mixon is primed for another great performance. If AJ Brown's soft Week 10 is an aberration, than it will lessen the pressure on Carter and Garrett Wilson to shore up the scoring. Jamaal Williams will be a key contributor (for better or for worse).
There isn't much to like about the Marauders this week, though Jones (11) and Ekeler are sure to do their part. Allen Robinson (once a Loser) is joined by Rondale Moore at the WR slot, with Kirk on bye and Sutton fading fast. That group will have to find some sort of boon to keep Mitchell in this one. Mariota is an iffy roll of the dice at QB, and this matchup will go about as expected.
H2H Record: 7-2, Marauders
Experts Pick: Losers by 4
ESPN Pick: Losers by 9
Commish's Pick: Losers by 15
Bruisers vs. Threat
We've seen the series of ups and downs from both squads, but the Threat are in a position to correct their woes despite the loss of Kupp (which of course is huge). Samuel and Duvernay get the start at WR, and only one will show up. That may not matter, as the Chubb/Barkley express is set to see 30+ combined touches. The Saints D is a good start, and Russell will finally show a glimmer of hope.
The Bruisers got a nice salvo from their IDP Long (12.5), and will ratchet things up with an excellent combo effort from Hurts and Devonta Smith. Kyren Williams is a big question mark, but Montgomery should be fine against the Falcons. Davis and Freiermuth will need double-digit outings, and they should deliver. This one feels like the Bruisers game to lose.
H2H Record: 1-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 3
ESPN Pick: Bruisers by 1
Commish's Pick: Bruisers by 10
Week 10 Review
Taylor (26) helped the Addicts make history this week.
*The Details*
Week 10 was a historic one. It appeared by Monday afternoon that the Rest division was about to pull off a series sweep of the NLS, but the stingy Addicts were not to be denied. 10-0!
They are the first to team in the LOC to ever reach that mark, and despite every challenge thrown their way, they keep emerging victorious.
Not only that, the Addicts officially clinched the NLS division, ensuring a top 3 seeding in the postseason. They can actually clinch the #1 seed and a bye week in just a few days if the run continues. They're also a win away from another record: 13 straight wins. Will even more history be made in Week 11?
A tip of the hat to two previous champs, the Qrew and Marauders, who despite competitive efforts this week, fell in close battles and are officially eliminated from postseason contention.
Where does that leave us? 9 teams fighting for 5 playoff spots, and given the current standings, it's a wide-open opportunity to claim one.
The Football Team shook off the previous two weeks to climb to 6-4 and a spot atop the WS. Likewise, the Cheetahs got back on the winning side and have a share of the Rest lead. Those two are joined by the Threat and Losers in the 6-win group.
The Wolves are coming to life (hello Justin Fields!), and they just won their second straight to join the Crushers at 5-5.
And just one game back of them, the Dominators (OTW!) and Bruisers both pulled off convincing wins to get their 4th victories and stay in the race.
It still feels like a 7-7 team will sneak into the dance this year, but with 8 teams sitting between 4-6 wins, you'll probably need to get to 8-6.
Let's look at the standouts...
*The Awards*
Owner of the Week
Dolla' Dominators - 124
Power Player
Dire Wolves
Justin Fields - 39.5
Last Man Standing
Ghetto Krackaddicts - 10-0
Fantasy Fumble
Cliff's Crushers - 76
Negatron
Threat Level Midnight
Younghoe Koo / -1
*The matchups*
Losers vs. Addicts
This one certainly lived up to top billing, though not the high-scoring matchup we might have expected. It came down to the wire, with the Losers within two points of extending their own winning streak. AJ Brown failed to deliver in the final minutes, and the Krackaddicts held on to reach double-digit wins.
Jon Taylor's 26 paced the Addicts effort and was a welcome return to form. Tyreek was held in check for the most part, but Derek Carr redeemed himself with a respectable 16 at QB. The Losers were without Mixon, but the Williams/Walker combo held up okay. Mahomes was awesome with 33, but Brown's letdown proved costly in the narrow loss.
Threat vs. Football Team
A WS battle with the lead at stake, the Threat saw their spot atop the stack evaporate with a second straight loss. These two are now tied at 6-4, but the Football Team find themselves with an expanding points edge over their division foes and the league at large.
The Raiders came through for WFT, with Adams looking like his old self lately. He posted 24 this week, and Jacobs chipped in another 17. Daniel Jones filled in with 17 himself, and Hopkins improved on an average Week 9. The Threat have lost Keeper Cupp for at least the foreseeable future, and his absence was costly right away. A potent rushing combo of 53.5 points from Chubb, Barkley and Wilson was a positive takeaway.
Cheetahs vs. Crushers
A battle of survival among two capable teams, the Cheetahs emerged with their 6th win in this low-scoring affair. They are back in a share for the Rest division lead. It marks the 3rd straight defeat for the previously potent Crushers, who have struggled since the Chase injury. Matters were compounded when Jeudy went down without a catch.
The Cheetahs got a serviceable 24 combined from their two lead backs, but it was Kelce's 15 and a Godwin end zone trip that gave them the needed baseline. Josh Allen delivered 20 and Devin White posted 14.5 to lead CFFT in the loss.
Remix vs. Bruisers
These two teams are fighting to stay in the playoff race, but the Bruisers were badly in need of a corrected course and they found it this week. A four-game skid was ended, and the Remix's momentum was halted for the moment.
For the Bruisers, Lamb balled out (as the Commish predicted) with 30.5 points, and helping to offset a poor rushing effort. Toney was indeed a savvy pickup--adding 14.5 to the mix, and Hurts was solid with 18.5. The Remix were rewarded for starting the Titans D (13), and Diggs led the way with 20.5. The OG effort was ultimately thwarted by down days from Kamara and Sanders.
Wolves vs. Marauders
With their second straight win this week, the Wolves are the only team besides GK with any winning streak. This one came at the expense of the Marauders, who got close on Monday night but didn't get enough from the usually reliable Ekeler to keep hope alive. The Wolves are now only one game off the lead in the WS.
Justin Fields was the star this week, as nearly reached 40 again on his dual-threat efforts. Mostert chipped in 16.5, and most everyone else contributed fairly well to raise the scoring tide. A respectable trio of 20+ point games from Tua, Jones, and Kirk was still not quite enough to pull off the comeback for Mitchell, who lost Ertz (and their 8th game).
Dominators vs. Qrew
This one had the lowest billing in the preview, but proved to be the highest-scoring game in a fairly tame week. The Dominators led all scorers this week, bouncing back from a dismal stretch to outlast the improving Qrew. This one was close throughout, but ended with Dolla salvaging their postseason hopes.
Foreman's 19 in the flex proved critical for the Doms, as only Dalvin's team-leading 25 was better. Amon-Ra added a nice 18.5 to re-indicate his value. Justin Jefferson had a mighty 30.5 for 4:20 and Cole Kmet added a clutch 20, but Hollins didn't live up in the Flex and Allgeier came up short in this hard-fought matchup.
Week 10 Preview
The Addicts seek to become the first team to ever reach 10-0.
*The Situation*
Week 10 kicked off in Munich this morning, but there will be drama all day in the LOC.
The Addicts face a tough challenge against the red-hot Losers as they seek to become the first team in LOC history to reach 10-0. Will they make history today?
The WS division has another important divisional week--their last until Week 14--while the Rest and NLS square off again.
4 of the top 6 teams are looking to correct losing trends, while the lower-ranked squads are looking to sneak into the race. The Bruisers will hope to end a 4-game slide, but otherwise there aren't any active streaks of more than 2 (aside from Ghetto's historic run).
Will the standings continue to tighten? Or will we see some course correction from teams getting their bye week starters back? No one is yet eliminated from the playoff race, so there is a lot of meaning in every matchup. Good luck winning yours.
*The matchups*
Losers vs. Addicts
Should be the game of the week. The Losers are currently the biggest threat to the Addicts top seeding, but there's a reason Ghetto is 9-0. Both teams will have to bring their A game.
Addicts: With Tyreek leading the WR group, points are practically guaranteed. Sneaky good 2 & 3 options in Cooper and Palmer should fare well today also. Carr is somewhat inconsistent, though the Colts D may prove susceptible. Taylor will be counted on today, so his performance will be telling. Etienne should stay hot. The Rams D needs to play up to their talent level. No guarantees.
Losers: Kenneth Walker has had some awesome weeks, but this one isn't looking as promising. That will mean more pressure on Jamaal to keep up the double-digit streak. The Eagles contingent of Brown and Goedert should continue to post numbers, though Cooks is a wild card flex. Mahomes should post 20 and if the Broncos D can show, this one may come down to the wire.
H2H Record: 9-7, Losers
Experts Pick: Losers by 2
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 4
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 7
Threat vs. Football Team
The implications here are huge for this stage of the season. Winner will be atop the WS division. Projections say it will be close, and both teams need a bounce-back win.
Threat: Mr. Koo let down the Threat on Thursday, but the better news is that both top-tier RB's are back in action this week. Expect 30 or more from the Barkley/Chubb combo. Russell gets another opportunity in the kitchen. Is this the week he actually cooks? Kupp and JuJu will both have good weeks. Jeff Wilson was a nice snag, but will he get the share of touches he saw last week? The Saints D should feast.
Football Team: No Burrow this week for WFT, so they turn to Daniel Jones for a plug-in with hopes of at least 10+. Jacobs needs to make up for a mediocre effort from Patterson, but he is more than capable. The return of Deebo and Kittle's upside will help the scoring floor this week, but Hopkins will be the key cog. Adams should deliver, will DeAndre show up without Kyler?
H2H Record: 2-2, Tied
Experts Pick: Threat by 1
ESPN Pick: Threat by 2
Commish's Pick: WFT by 4
Cheetahs vs. Crushers
The Cheetahs bring a strong projection into a matchup with the beat-up Crushers, but both teams have the same record at the moment. Will this one turn into a close game?
Cheetahs: The scoring gets going with the serviceable expectations of Bucs WR's in Germany. The real meal ticket will be the duo of CMC and Pierce. Expecting nearly 40 combined there. The Cowboys D will bring their usual shine, and Kelce can be expected to continue his brilliance. Herbert needs to have a good game. Can Olave deliver this week?
Crushers: The Chase injury and RB depth have undermined a great first half from the Crushers, so they roll out Pacheco and Isiah McKenzie in hopes of a better showing this week. Josh Allen determines a lot for this team, and he should carry the scoring lead here. Waddle and Jeudy will need to bring 15 each. Can Evan Engram find 10 or more? It will take all hands on deck.
H2H Record: 13-12, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 25
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 22
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 12
Remix vs. Bruisers
The Bruisers are looking to end a rough slide since their peak in Week 5, while the Remix hope to continue their momentum of late. Only one can do so.
Remix: No Kyler Murray means that Lawrence gets the start. He will be counted on for at least a dozen here. Metcalf and Lazard should post manageable totals, but Diggs will have to carry the group with his usual excellence. Kamara may have a down week, but Sanders will show up Monday to offset some of that. If Hockenson can post 10 and the Titans D doesn't get shocked, this one should go well for the OGs.
Bruisers: If it isn't working, change it up. In a bold attempt to get back on track, the Bruisers have benched Fournette and Davis, turning to a youth movement in Kyren Williams and Kadarius Toney. Expect Toney to be a good call. This is the week CeeDee goes off, and Hurts should excel as usual on Monday night. Whether Schultz can contribute or the Seahawks D can hold up is in question.
H2H Record: 7-6, Bruisers
Experts Pick: Remix by 10
ESPN Pick: Remix by 18
Commish's Pick: Remix by 8
Wolves vs. Marauders
The other WS matchup sees two teams trying to keep the playoff dream alive. A loss eliminates the Marauders, but the Wolves appear to just be heating up.
Wolves: DJ Moore didn't do much Thursday, but one would expect Lockett to help offset that. Fields (the waiver gem) gets a second go this week, and he should find 20+ for the Wolves cause. The real keys otherwise are a good game from Henry (likely) and whether Najee and Mostert get the carries to impact the bottom line. Unclear there. The Cards D may surprise, and Dulcich will have a nice showing.
Marauders: After finally ending their losing streak, the Marauders hope that their running game can deliver another good round. Ekeler and Jones should fare well enough, though Herbert is no sure thing in the flex. He has to bring 10+ at least. Kirk looks better of late, but Sutton is a huge question mark at WR. Tua will provide 15, but the Fins D will need to play much better to give MIM a shot.
H2H Record: 11-5, Marauders
Experts Pick: Wolves by 8
ESPN Pick: Marauders by 6
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 10
Dominators vs. Qrew
The Dominators enter this one looking for better answers from their capable squad, while the Qrew continue to dig out of their early hole (coming off consecutive wins).
Dominators: A big 19 from Foreman on Thursday has projections arrowing Dolla's way. Cook and Swift are due for big games, but only 1 (Cook) will find it here. No Lamar and Mark Andrews means substitutions in a must-win, so Goff gets the nod. Combo points with Amon-Ra will be critical. The Bills D will be tested, and this one will be tight until the end.
Qrew: The RB depth is being tested this week, as Conner needs to carry the position in Rhamondre's absence. Allgeier didn't hold up his end on Thursday. Jefferson is the key piece at WR, and he should do what he does. Expectations for Diontae are measured, but Hollins may turn out to be a savvy Flex play. The Giants D is a good call here, and if Geno can find some 4th quarter magic, the Qrew might stave off elimination.
H2H Record: 10-6, Qrew
Experts Pick: Doms by 4
ESPN Pick: Doms by 23
Commish's Pick: Doms by 10
Week 9 Review
Joe Mixon (44.5) led the Losers and the league this week.
*The Essentials*
Just when you think it can't get any more interesting...
This week gave us a number of anomalies that seem to only build as the season progresses.
Two players scoring over 40 points? Check.
A clinched playoff spot in Week 9? Check.
A team posting nearly 190 points? Also Check.
A lot of winning teams lost. A lot of losing teams won. The matchups weren't very close. And we've got quite a playoff race beginning to brew.
The Addicts became only the 3rd team to ever clinch a playoff spot in Week 9, joining the Bruisers and Cheetahs in that rare class. At 9-0 (and having won 11 straight), they're only two wins away from LOC history.
Speaking of history, The Nugget recently covered the Losers and their epic 208.5-point game from 2014. Now we'll cover the fact that they just put up 189.5 points in Week 9. It's the highest score since that same season (Undead, 187) and the second highest ever.
They were led by a 5-TD day from Mixon, but they weren't the only one with a 40+ point effort. The Wolves also notched a 42.5 from savvy waiver scoop Justin Fields. It's rare to see two 40's in the same week, though it's happened twice now this year (Week 2).
Only the '12 Undead and the '19 Gronks have ever scored 40 with a defense, but the 33 that the Remix got from the Patriots D this week was impressive and a key piece of their critical win.
As for league standings...things got a little closer (aside from the Addicts). At the back end of the bus, the Qrew and Marauders both got a second win this week, while further up, four of the 5- and 6-win teams lost.
It is still early to be sure, but it seems like the battle for Seeds #2-6 will be a tight one. Technically, even the 2-win teams aren't yet eliminated. Find your win streak.
*The Awards*
Owner of the Week
Ledford's Losers - 189.5
Power Player
Ledford's Losers
Joe Mixon - 44.5
Last Man Standing
Ghetto Krackaddicts - 9-0
Fantasy Fumble
Benny's Bruisers - 66
*The Matchups*
Addicts vs. Cheetahs
One can argue with projections, but cannot argue with results. The Addicts are dinged up, but they've consistently made the right calls in the right matchups to keep winning. Palmer was that player this week, and his 16.5 were critical in the victory. Hardman chipped in 15.5 too. No Taylor meant that Huntley got the call, and while that didn't work, a pair of 23's from Etienne and Tyreek ensured victory. The Cheetahs are one of three 5-win teams that have dropped their last two. Kelce's 18 and Pierce's 15.5 were team-best this week, but without CMC and the dangerous Cowboys D, the points weren't quite there to overthrow the Ghetto.
Crushers vs. Losers
A lot of these games ended up a little lopsided, but only one clocked in with a 100+ point differential. Both teams entered with 5 wins, but the Losers leave with all the optimism. Mixon's 44.5 set it off, but every player on the team reached at least 10 (which isn't common, despite the group text ribbing). Mahomes donated 30, KW3 added 24, and Goedert had a hungry 20. It is all working for LL at the moment. In contrast, depth questions are haunting the Crushers during this bye/injury stretch. Allen and Waddle chipped in 15's, and a smart snag of Kenyan Drake netted 19.5 to lead the team. But McKenzie and Woods combined for only 2.5, though it likely wouldn't have mattered this week.
Threat vs. Wolves
The WS division will be hotly contested. The Threat entered as the hot hand, but even they knew that a bye martyr week was in order with both their key RB cogs out. Kupp never stops being Kupp, and his 25.5 was welcome as always. But fill-ins didn't fill out, and once the outcome became apparent, TLM held on to stud DP Parsons despite his bye. Dire Wolves see the opportunity and are doing their best to seize it. Fields (42.5) was more than serviceable in replacing Brady in the starting role, and King Henry reigned in 22 (and stands currently as RB1 overall). No Najee proved negligible, and the Wolves got their 4th win with points to spare.
Football Team vs. Marauders
This one came down to Monday night, but the Marauders managed to survive against the Football Team to end their skid at 6 games. Things haven't been rosy the last two weeks for WFT, first with the Raiders failure to show, and this week just not quite enough juice in the squeeze. Adams was the key star with 29.5 points, and Patterson's 13.5 was a welcome return, but trouble in Indy hurt Pittman (3.5) and the absence of Niners (bye) lowered the ceiling. The Marauders got a stellar 26 from Tua, 16 from Ekeler, and Kirk re-emerged with 15.5 to help them sneak by with a win.
Remix vs. Dominators
In what was supposed to be a momentum game for the Dominators, it was instead a statement game for the Remix and they ran away with it. Outside of a weak stream IDP, all hands were on deck for the OG contingent. The Pats and their kicker combined for 50, with a balanced attack of 8/10 reaching double digits to fuel the dub. Things just didn't add up for Dolla, with only Lamar's pedestrian (for him) 14 points to show for it. Cook had a nice one-handed TD grab and managed 10 points, but no one else managed more than 7.5 for the inconsistent Doms.
Bruisers vs. Qrew
When Week 8 isn't too late for your first win, ya might as well add another in Week 9. That's two in a row for the unpredictable Qrew, quiet on the chatter but seemingly turning a corner. Star WR Jefferson turned in 22, while the RB pair of Rhamondre and Allgeier added 12.5 apiece. And this was all without Diontae. For the Bruisers, there wasn't anything to feel good about. While Jalen posted 15 and the Ravens D added 14. Higbee laid an egg and no one else reached more than 8. No CeeDee meant another hit was missing, and the Bruisers are slumping.
Week 9 Preview
Herbert leads the Cheetahs against the 8-0 Addicts.
The weekend is here, bringing with it another round of Sunday drama.
This one gives us WS division showdowns and the NLS facing off against the Rest.
Among these matchups, the undefeated Addicts will be challenged by the Cheetahs, while the Crushers meet the Losers in a battle of 5-3's.
From a standings standpoint, there are two distinct groups of 6 separated by two games at minimum. If someone wants to make a run to break into the top 6, this is the week to get moving.
With a bunch of teams on bye this week, your positional depth will be tested. Are you ready? There are a lot of blowouts projected for this week...Let's go through the matchups.
*The Matchups*
Addicts vs. Cheetahs
Will the run continue? The dangerous Cheetahs will try to prevent the Addicts from reaching 9-0 in a matchup that could net us the first playoff lock of the season.
Both teams are facing bye week issues, and without Taylor, it appears the Addicts may concede the rushing battle to Conover. Pierce already posted 15.5, and Deon Jackson is slated to have a big workload. Expect the Bucs receivers to give the Cheetahs another boost, as the injuries hold GK to Tyreek's excellence but not much support. Herbert outduels Carr, and the Cheetahs hand the Addicts their first loss.
H2H Record: 13-7, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 15
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 14
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 10
Crushers vs. Losers
An important outcome for both teams, as each try to notch a 6th win. The Losers have the momentum, but the Crushers have found ways to win all year.
Mahomes vs. Allen may prove to be negligible in points differential, but should mean plenty of scoring there. The Eagles provided the Losers a great jump with 31.5 from Brown/Goedert, so Waddle will have to put up a big game and Robert Woods will need to emerge from the dustbin for the Crushers. No Chase or Jeudy will be painful for CFFT. Expect Kenneth Walker and Jamaal Williams to have big games for LL, taking any drama out of this one.
H2H Record: 10-8, Losers
Experts Pick: Losers by 24
ESPN Pick: Losers by 34
Commish's Pick: Losers by 20
Threat vs. Wolves
The Threat bring a 5-game winning streak into this one, and they'll face a Wolves team on a competitive upswing in recent weeks.
For TLM to make it 6 straight, they will have to dig deep without their two star RB's, so Henderson and Jeff Wilson must combine for 20+ to provide any hope. Neither Fields or Wilson provide much optimism at QB this week, but the Wolves have Derrick Henry to pace their RB group and a capable Mostert in the Flex. The Threat may win the WR battle thanks to Kupp and Boyd, but the overall outcome will go Dire's way.
H2H Record: 2-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Wolves by 20
ESPN Pick: Wolves by 17
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 10
Football Team vs. Marauders
This one is one of the few projected to be a close matchup, with the Football Team trying to bounce back from a down week and MIM just looking for oxygen.
The QB matchup should be a fun one, as both Burrow and Tua are projected to have great games. The Football Team gets Patterson back this week, strengthening their running game. It won't be enough to keep up with Ekeler/Jones on the other side, but should negate any serious edge. The WR trio for WFT will easily outpace the Marauders front 3, and while the overall matchup may be close, that difference earns Walkertown the win.
H2H Record: 12-11, Marauders
Experts Pick: Marauders by 4
ESPN Pick: WFT by 1
Commish's Pick: WFT by 5
Remix vs. Dominators
Both teams with a lot of promise but without the wins to show for it, the Remix and Doms look for a leg up in attempting to catch the current Top 6.
The Dominators are finally healthy, and they will need full capacity from Cook and Swift to stay on pace with the Remix's Kamara and Sanders (13). Diggs and Metcalf ensure an OG edge at WR, though Foreman should flex to 15+ for Dolla. The Bills D will likely outmaneuver the Pats D, though nothing is certain. The winner here will be determined by who gets more out of their QB, as Kyler and Lamar face susceptible defenses.
H2H Record: 4-3, Remix
Experts Pick: Remix by 2
ESPN Pick: Remix by 12
Commish's Pick: Doms by 3
Bruisers vs. Qrew
The Bruisers need a win here to keep the playoff dream intact, while the Qrew are coming off their first win and would love to make it two in a row.
Jalen Hurts notched a respectable 15 on Thursday, but the Bruisers will need solid outings from Davis and Doubs to keep close in the WR category. Jefferson and Higgins should combo for 25+ to give 4:20 a positional edge. James Conner's return may not be as exciting, so the Qrew will need a solid showing from Allgeier. Expect a narrow RB win for the Bruisers, but only a big day from the Seahawks D will salvage a 4th win for BB.
H2H Record: 11-8, Qrew
Experts Pick: Qrew by 8
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 14
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 4
Week 8 Review
Pollard's 32 helped fuel the Addicts to 8-0 this week.
*The SItuation*
The midseason is over. Week 8 is complete. What a week it was.
Six teams scored at least 123 points, with five of those in the elevated space between 123-126.5. The exception was the Krackaddicts, who--despite the Monday odds, rode an Amari Cooper appearance to a grand total of 134, an OTW, and yet another win. Still undefeated. Still the team to beat. And seemingly unable to be shaken by injuries or byes. Kudos to Corey for a damn good run thus far.
An important streak did come to an end this week, as the Qrew held off the previously surging Football Team to kill the L streak at 11 and earn their first win of the year. The Threat won a close battle with the Crushers, thanks to a Monday night comeback.
Also back in the win column this week? The Losers, Remix, and Dominators. All three of those teams put up serious points to get it done.
We saw tons of individual stars this week, as five players reached 30+ points and 22 starters scored at least 22. They were all led by Derrick Henry's 33.5-point effort for the Wolves, part of a valiant effort to take down the Addicts.
So where are we now? GK is at the top at 8-0, and only the Threat emerged from the pack of 5-2 teams to get a 6th win. Four teams are right behind them at 5-3. There's your current playoff line. No one is at .500, and four teams sit two games back at 3-5. Our two 1-7 teams watch from afar.
Who will emerge from the 3-5 group to challenge for a playoff spot in the coming weeks? Or are the participants decided already? Hardly. There's a lot of football left to be played, and several teams appear capable of rising from the back half of the current standings.
*The Standouts*
Owner of the Week
Ghetto Krackaddicts - 134
Power Player
Dire Wolves
Derrick Henry - 33.5
Last Man Standing
Ghetto Krackaddicts - 8-0
Fantasy Fumble
Benny's Bruisers - 83
Negatron
Walkertown FT
Evan Mcpherson / -2
*The Matchups*
Addicts vs. Wolves
The path to perfection faced another big challenge this week, as the Wolves brought their A-game and a big dose of Derrick Henry (PP/33.5) to the party. In what was the highest-scoring game of Week 8, the Addicts managed their 10th straight win despite a -1 from Carr and a goose egg from the Rams D.
Their running game offset the issue, with Pollard (32) and Etienne (27) lighting up the scoreboard. Tyreek parlayed 12 catches into 188 yards and 27 points, while Amari Cooper lifted GK to victory with nearly 20 on Monday night. For the Wolves, the DJ Moore trade has paid off (27), and Dulcich proved to be a nice TE pickup, but there just wasn't quite enough to get back to .500 in this one.
Dominators vs. Cheetahs
This was a really close matchup that went against the historical records and delivered the Dominators a much-needed win. The work of recent acquisition Foreman has proven valuable. He matched his 118 yards from last week but added 3 TD's in the process. Along with a nice 22 from Dalvin and a decent receiving day, it was enough to sneak by the consistently difficult Cheetahs.
CMC's triple crown Touchdown outing was worth 31.5 this week, putting to rest any notion of a downturn in opportunity in San Fran. The Bucs receivers were solid, while Cousins chipped in 18 in fill-in duty. No Kelce hurt the Conover cause, but it was a solid day for the now 5-3 squad.
Threat vs. Crushers
The story of a Monday night comeback in a battle of teams looking for their 6th win, it ends with the Threat emerging victorious once again. The Chubb factor proved sizeable, as his 22.5 erased the deficit against the Crushers. Kupp (16.5) did his part, but it was a balanced scoring venture that gave TLM enough to claim the W.
The Crushers almost withstood the loss of Chase for this one, but it was not to be. Waddle delivered 24.5 and Gibson turned in 15.5 (again), but it may have been Boswell's 0 that doomed the day. For CFFT, they fall back into the pack of 5-3 teams fighting for position.
Qrew vs. Football Team
For a while, this matchup had the makings of a Fumbowl, but the Qrew pulled away late to claim an elusive first victory. It puts an end to a stretch unlike any we've seen from the 4:20 franchise, and perhaps signals a revival of fortune. Stevenson's 17.5 led the winning effort, while Allgeier (13.5) proved a worthy waiver add. Plus, they've got Diontae.
This wasn't the Football Team we've seen in recent days, as they narrowly avoided a Fumble and had only two players reach double-digits. To be fair, one of those was Nuk, who went off for 28. The Eagles D posted a helpful 15. But the lack of Niners (on bye) proved visible, and Burrow descended from his league-leading pace of the past two weeks.
Losers vs. Bruisers
Rhyming names, but no resemblance in fortune lately. The Losers bounced right back from last week's shootout loss with a similar scoring day that pushed them past the mercurial Bruisers. AJ Brown was silly, notching 32.5 points to pace the matchup. Dalton (17) proved serviceable in relief of Mahomes, and Jamaal Williams bounced back with 16.5 points. Win #5 for the Losers.
The Ben folds were not able to get back on their feet, slipping to 3-5 despite some nice weeks previously. There was the brilliance of Hurts (25) and 14 from Lamb (and the right call with the Jets D) , but it was an otherwise forgettable Fumble for the Bruisers.
Remix vs. Marauders
Kamara has been getting better as the season progresses, but he saved his best week to date for this matchup. His 32 points were the team lead for the Remix, who are seeking better days ahead in the race for playoff contention. Kyler's 22.5 was a nice touch, and Diggs donated 19.5 for the cause. Have the Remix turned the corner? DK inbound.
There are familiar narratives surrounding the losing Marauders, as a solid running game and weak receiving group continue to add up to losses. No Ekeler this week, but Jones and Khalil Herbert combined for 32.5 in support. Tua was fired up this week, leading the team with 28.5, but the receivers bombed (combined 9) and the season looks about that way...bombed.
LOC Midseason Report
The Commissioner's annual league status report at the midpoint of the regular season. Sometimes it's hurriedly short. Sometimes it's excruciatingly long. But it's always a must-read for like 5 people.
Introduction
Welcome to the midseason.
Of course it went by fast. That's what happens when you get old. Shit speeds up and your brain slows down. Yet here we are post-Week 7...so it's time to assess the damage. We'll spend a little less time on league history this time around, and a little more time on league present.
Starting with the lay of the land.
Undefeated. 7-0. That's where we have to begin. We haven't seen the Krackaddicts come out of the gates quite this strong since 2006 (even then 6-1). They're answering the bell every time. Strategic drafting and smart starting are reaping wins, one week at a time. As a Fins fan, I'll always maintain that you can't hate on perfection. #Super72's
This time last year, there were four teams tied for the best record at 5-2, three of which (Addicts, Threat, Football Team) are at least at that same point again (Guard now departed). The Cheetahs and Crushers round out the 5-2 contenders this time around. Any of these 4 seem more than capable of making a title run.
The Losers are the only 4-3 team, but they seem to just be hitting their stride.
In the 3-4 standing, the Wolves and Bruisers are fighting to get back up and put together a win streak.
For the Remix and Dominators, it's a painful 2-5 despite indicators of better success. The quest for 8 wins begins.
And last but certainly least, the Marauders and Qrew might have 6 combined LOC titles, but they have only 1 combined win in 2022, and it's from when they played each other. Moving on.
We know from history that no one is really eliminated by midseason, but there are usually some pretty fair indications of who will or won't make it. One of the teams at the top may fall, and one of the sub .500 teams may be just about to take off. It's happened almost every year, though last year had little late-season drama given the expanded playoff setup.
Not everyone can be the 2009 Dominators. 1-7 start, won out until the championship game. Okay, I'll leave the history out of it...except to remind you, don't give up yet. There will be plenty of time for that later.
Making Points
How much are you scoring? No, not in that department. I'm sure you're doing fine.
But we do have to take a quick look at points. Do you remember the Nugget from a few weeks back about the qualification for a good game being 107 points? If not, you can head over to League Comms and revisit.
So far, only 5 teams are at or above that average for the season. Here are the teams in order of Points Per Game thus far, with the number of games where 107 points was reached indicated alongside.
Walkertown FT 125.9 - 6x
Conover Cheetahs 116.5 - 4x
Threat Level Midnight 110.2 - 3x
Cliff’s Crushers 108.9 - 3x
Ledford’s Losers 107.0 - 2x
Ghetto Krackaddicts 104.7 - 3x
Dolla’ Dominators 104.1 - 4x
Mitchell’s Marauders 99.1 - 3x
Benny’s Bruisers 97.6 - 2x
Dire Wolves 93.6 - 2x
Remix OG 91.7 - 1x
THE 4:20 Qrew 87.9 - 1x
When you combine PPG with the strike indicators for consistent 107+ scoring, you'd think it would be clear which teams have the best record, and you'd be correct. The top 6 here are doing quite well.
Unfortunately for teams like the Dominators and Marauders, it's about who you played those weeks. The Points Against are always out of your control--a category that the Losers have had to contend with fiercely. They've been up against a league-high average of 122.6 ppg, but to their credit they've maintained a positive record.
As long as we're talking about points, let's take a couple of moments to acknowledge the league leaders at each position. Please note: these are also based on PPG (rather than ESPN fantasy rank). Have to account for those bye weeks.
QB1 - Josh Allen
29.3 ppg
Cliff's Crushers
RB1 - Josh Jacobs
19.1 ppg
Walkertown FT
WR1 - Stefon Diggs
20.8 ppg
Remix OG
TE1 - Travis Kelce
16.0 ppg
Conover Cheetahs
DST1 - Buffalo Bills
14.5 ppg
Dolla' Dominators
DP1 - Maxx Crosby
10.6 ppg
Dire Wolves
K1 - Daniel Carlson
12.5 ppg
Benny's Bruisers
Predictive Behavior
Do you ever see the predictions for your matchup and think No way. That can't be right!
You're not alone in that regard. And the Commish has been known to throw in upset picks for kicks even when the experts disagree. But how accurate are the prognostications? Why don't we look at the track record for all 3 weekly picks and see how they stack up with reality.
If you follow ESPN's weekly rankings for your team, you'll expect that they have their predictions correct more times than not. You would be incorrect. They've correctly projected the winner of only 19 of the 42 matchups thus far. That's 45%. A coin flip from a circus monkey would be more accurate.
The Commish can't judge. He's also at exactly 45% on the season.
The vague "Experts Pick" has been the most accurate. That's a custom ECR standard based on projected roster strength and ppg projections from a swath of 20 leading fantasy experts. Evidently, if you get enough expertise in a room, it helps save the rate from mediocrity.
Those experts have projected 27/42 game outcomes correctly, a success rate of 64.3%. They believed in the Qrew and Dominators and the Remix and the Football Team, to varying degrees of realization.
Here (in the same order as scoring) is a breakdown of the number of correct predictions from each party, with a weekly hits (o) and misses (x) indication and a summary below each team. The order is Experts Pick (EX), ESPN Pick (ES), and Commish's Pick (LM). Outliers are noted in color.
Walkertown FT
1-oox 2-xxo 3-oxo 4-ooo 5-oxo 6-oox 7-ooo
EX-6/7 | ES-4/7 | LM-5/7
Conover Cheetahs
1-oxo 2-xxx 3-xox 4-ooo 5-xxx 6-oxx 7-ooo
EX-4/7 | ES-3/7 | LM-3/7
Threat Level Midnight
1-oox 2-xoo 3-xxx 4-oox 5-oxx 6-oox 7-oxo
EX-5/7 | ES-4/7 | LM-2/7
Cliff’s Crushers
1-xxx 2-oox 3-ooo 4-ooo 5-oxo 6-xxx 7-oxo
EX-5/7 | ES-3/7 | LM-4/7
Ledford’s Losers
1-xxx 2-oox 3-xxx 4-ooo 5-ooo 6-xxx 7-ooo
EX-4/7 | ES-4/7 | LM-3/7
Ghetto Krackaddicts
1-ooo 2-xoo 3-oxx 4-ooo 5-xxx 6-oxx 7-ooo
EX-5/7 | ES-4/7 | LM-4/7
Dolla’ Dominators
1-xxx 2-oox 3-ooo 4-oxx 5-ooo 6-oxx 7-oxo
EX-6/7 | ES-3/7 | LM-3/7
Mitchell’s Marauders
1-xoo 2-xxx 3-ooo 4-ooo 5-xxx 6-oox 7-ooo
EX-4/7 | ES-5/7 | LM-4/7
Benny’s Bruisers
1-ooo 2-xxx 3-oxo 4-oxx 5-xxx 6-xxx 7-xxo
EX-3/7 | ES-1/7 | LM-3/7
Dire Wolves
1-xoo 2-oox 3-xox 4-oox 5-xxx 6-oox 7-xxo
EX-3/7 | ES-5/7 | LM-2/7
Remix OG
1-oxo 2-xxo 3-oxx 4-oxx 5-oxx 6-xxx 7-oxo
EX-5/7 | ES-0/7 | LM-3/7
THE 4:20 Qrew
1-xxx 2-xxx 3-ooo 4-oxx 5-xxx 6-oxx 7-ooo
EX-4/7 | ES-2/7 | LM-2/7
It doesn't seem like the consensus rankings are working quite so well over at ESPN without Matthew Berry. Maybe they should go back to the faceless bookies (Hank and Henry?) who used to give us the player rankings/updates in the first couple of years before they had a staff.
The Commish will work hard to outpace those projection rates in the second half of the year. That would be some small measure of satisfaction, even if his failing Marauders can't right the ship.
Stress Test
The coming weeks will be a test of strength for your team. Bye weeks have already leveled a couple of squads, and others will soon feel the pain (or reap roster depth rewards). What's the plan? Are you looking ahead?
Advance preparation is a key that isn't often discussed but is the single-most important strategic element you can control as a manager. That defense you need to replace your stud unit going on bye...they aren't going to be there on Sunday at 9am. That 4th WR or 3rd RB that was a disposable piece on your bench...hey look, now you have to start them.
Whether from byes or injuries, your depth and flexibility will be tested. Be ready to make the run.
As you plan, consider your strength of schedule and what it means for the weeks ahead. Here is the remaining strength of schedule for each team in descending order of difficulty (based on opponents' current record):
Conover Cheetahs .612
THE 4:20 Qrew .592
Mitchell’s Marauders .551
Ledford’s Losers .551
Dire Wolves .531
Cliff’s Crushers .490
Ghetto Krackaddicts .490
Dolla’ Dominators .469
Walkertown FT .469
Threat Level Midnight .449
Remix OG .429
Benny’s Bruisers .367
If the ground previously tread has any substance, the Cheetahs will face tougher challenges ahead and the Bruisers should be able to get things back on track. There are no crystal balls in the room, and no opponent can be taken for granted. Be ready for the stress test.
What Will Be
Most people don't appreciate history until they've made history.
For a couple of teams, history is knocking again. Yeah, we're going there.
The 7-0 Addicts need two more wins to match the LOC record for a start to a season, one held by the Bruisers since 2011 (9-0). They would need five wins in the back seven to match the record from their magical '06 Championship season, and six to match the undaunted 2012 Odells (who went 13-1 en route to a title).
We dare not approach the idea of a 14-0 or 17-0 run just yet. That's jinx material. Either way, 7-0 is rare air, having only been reached twice before.
Contrastingly, the 0-7 Qrew are facing the ominous possibility of a record losing streak. At 11 straight defeats, only the Crushers 12-game skid from '19-'20 stands further out. The pain is real.
So what though? Both of those teams could flip fortunes and finish at 7-7. That's why we play the damn games. Anything is possible with good decision-making and a stroke of luck.
There are 6 playoff spots available. While it took 8-6 to make the dance last year, there's a real chance a 7-7 team makes it this year (for only the 5th time in 17 seasons). That's the reality of good teams with tough schedules ahead. Some will rise to the occasion, but a couple will falter...leaving room for a Cinderella story to emerge.
Your chance to further your franchise legacy (and make a little history of your own) starts this week. Be ready, have a great Week 8, and keep working 'til you've made the postseason and hoisted the trophy.
Let's move to overviews for each team at this stage of the game.
Ghetto KRackaddicts (7-0)
Reasons to Believe:
No losses yet
Stacked starting unit
Upper hand in division race
Reasonable upcoming schedule
Reasons to Doubt:
WR depth
Recent injuries
2nd half projections
---
High/Low Score: 131.5/88
Points Per Game: 104.7
Scoring Rank: 6th
LOC Standings: 1st
Power Rank: 4th
W/L Last 3: 3-0
Best Acquisition: Tony Pollard (RB23)
Team MVP: Tyreek Hill (17.9 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 8th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .490 (7th)
Projected Record: 10-4
Playoff Chances: 90%
Walkertown Football Team (5-2)
Reasons to Believe:
High points ceiling
Best WR depth
Balanced scoring
Manageable schedule
Reasons to Doubt:
Crowded playoff race
RB depth
2021 repeat
---
High/Low Score: 155/87
Points Per Game: 125.9
Scoring Rank: 1st
LOC Standings: 2nd
Power Rank: 1st
W/L Last 3: 3-0
Best Acquisition: Eagles D/ST (D6)
Team MVP: Joe Burrow (21.9 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 2nd
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .469 (9th)
Projected Record: 10-4
Playoff Chances: 83%
Conover Cheetahs (5-2)
Reasons to Believe:
Historical success
Supplemental strength
Talented backfield
1st in experts rank
Reasons to Doubt:
WR depth
CMC future
Toughest schedule
---
High/Low Score: 156.5/86
Points Per Game: 116.5
Scoring Rank: 2nd
LOC Standings: 3rd
Power Rank: 2nd
W/L Last 3: 2-1
Best Acquisition: Chris Olave (WR12)
Team MVP: Travis Kelce (16.0 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 1st
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .612 (1st)
Projected Record: 9-5
Playoff Chances: 72%
Threat level Midnight (5-2)
Reasons to Believe:
Defending champs
Best 1-2 backfield
High scoring floor
Reasonable schedule
Reasons to Doubt:
QB vacancy
Division competition
WR questions
---
High/Low Score: 139/95
Points Per Game: 110.2
Scoring Rank: 3rd
LOC Standings: 4th
Power Rank: 3rd
W/L Last 3: 3-0
Best Acquisition: Devin Duvernay (WR26)
Team MVP: Cooper Kupp (20.2 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 4th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .449 (10th)
Projected Record: 9-5
Playoff Chances: 68%
Cliff's Crushers (5-2)
Reasons to Believe:
Top-scoring QB
Record despite projections
Starting WRs
Division competition
Reasons to Doubt:
RB issues
Projected back 7
Overall depth
---
High/Low Score: 140.5/87
Points Per Game: 108.9
Scoring Rank: 4th
LOC Standings: 5th
Power Rank: 6th
W/L Last 3: 2-1
Best Acquisition: Chris Boswell (K11)
Team MVP: Josh Allen (29.3 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 11th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .490 (6th)
Projected Record: 9-5
Playoff Chances: 61%
Ledford's Losers (4-3)
Reasons to Believe:
Solid running game
High-floor scoring
Mahomes
Future upside
Reasons to Doubt:
WR depth/health
Division/schedule
Waiver misfires
---
High/Low Score: 123/96.5
Points Per Game: 107.0
Scoring Rank: 5th
LOC Standings: 6th
Power Rank: 5th
W/L Last 3: 2-1
Best Acquisition: Jamaal Williams (RB16)
Team MVP: Patrick Mahomes (23.3 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 5th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .551 (4th)
Projected Record: 7-7
Playoff Chances: 41%
Benny's Bruisers (3-4)
Reasons to Believe:
High points ceiling
Easiest schedule ahead
QB Depth
Solid special teams/defense
Reasons to Doubt:
RB Depth
Scoring inconsistency
WR underachievement
---
High/Low Score: 154.5/73.5
Points Per Game: 97.6
Scoring Rank: 9th
LOC Standings: 7th
Power Rank: 10th
W/L Last 3: 1-2
Best Acquisition: Geno Smith (QB8)
Team MVP: Jalen Hurts (20.4 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 6th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .367 (12th)
Projected Record: 7-7
Playoff Chances: 32%
Dire Wolves (3-4)
Reasons to Believe:
Excellent RB cast
Roster upside
Waivers savvy
Wild Card opportunity
Reasons to Doubt:
WR questions
TB12 underwhelms
ROS rank
---
High/Low Score: 114/69
Points Per Game: 93.6
Scoring Rank: 10th
LOC Standings: 8th
Power Rank: 11th
W/L Last 3: 2-1
Best Acquisition: Raheem Mostert (RB21)
Team MVP: Derrick Henry (16.3 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 12th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .531 (5th)
Projected Record: 6-8
Playoff Chances: 17%
Dolla' dominators (2-5)
Reasons to Believe:
Strong starting unit
Highly projected
High points ceiling
Reasonable schedule
Reasons to Doubt:
Injury-plagued
Scoring inconsistency
RB underachievement
---
High/Low Score: 165/60.5
Points Per Game: 104.1
Scoring Rank: 7th
LOC Standings: 9th
Power Rank: 7th
W/L Last 3: 0-3
Best Acquisition: Jakobi Meyers (WR33)
Team MVP: Lamar Jackson (21.1 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 3rd
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .469 (8th)
Projected Record: 7-7
Playoff Chances: 27%
REmix OG (2-5)
Reasons to Believe:
Post-trade upgrades
Easier remaining schedule
PPG upside
RB depth
Reasons to Doubt:
Experts projections
WR depth
Low scoring ceiling
---
High/Low Score: 120/75
Points Per Game: 91.7
Scoring Rank: 11th
LOC Standings: 10th
Power Rank: 9th
W/L Last 3: 0-3
Best Acquisition: Patriots D/ST (D8)
Team MVP: Stefon Diggs (20.8 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 9th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .429 (11th)
Projected Record: 6-8
Playoff Chances: 15%
Mitchell's Marauders (1-6)
Reasons to Believe:
Talented RB room
QB back and healthy
Historical success
Scoring upside
Reasons to Doubt:
Tough remaining schedule
WR underachievement
Positional depth
---
High/Low Score: 140.5/63.5
Points Per Game: 99.1
Scoring Rank: 8th
LOC Standings: 11th
Power Rank: 8th
W/L Last 3: 0-3
Best Acquisition: Khalil Herbert (RB13)
Team MVP: Austin Ekeler (18.9 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 7th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .551 (3rd)
Projected Record: 4-10
Playoff Chances: 5%
The 4:20 Qrew (0-7)
Reasons to Believe:
Championship pedigree
Capable position leaders
QB upside
Previous win streaks
Reasons to Doubt:
No wins yet
QB/RB inconsistency
Tough schedule ahead
---
High/Low Score: 117/62
Points Per Game: 87.9
Scoring Rank: 12th
LOC Standings: 12th
Power Rank: 12th
W/L Last 3: 0-3
Best Acquisition: Hayden Hurst (TE11)
Team MVP: Justin Jefferson (18.1 ppg)
Rest of Season Rank: 10th
Remaining Strength of Schedule: .592 (2nd)
Projected Record: 2-12
Playoff Chances: 1%
Week 7 Review
Burrow led WFT and the league for the second straight week.
*The Situation*
And just like that, we're halfway through the regular season. There will be plenty more to discuss in regard to where everyone is and the prognosis going forward, but we'll save a lot of that for tomorrow's Midseason Report.
For now, we have to recognize the great efforts of Week 7. The Addicts are still the story of the league, as they won yet again to move to 7-0. Not to be outdone, the Football Team once again lit up the scoreboard, and this week they will take OTW honors as well as a 40+ point Power Player from Burrow. These two are hitting on all cylinders.
The Cheetahs are picking up steam as well, as they notched another 125+ game for the 3rd time in the last 4 efforts. Conover and WFT lead a crowded 5-2 group fighting for potential playoff positioning. The Threat and Crushers both answered the bell this week for their fifth wins.
The Wolves were able to get back on the right side of things in their scrum with the Bruisers, rounding out our Week 7 winners. And the Commish managed to pick all 6 outcomes correctly.
*The STANDOUTS*
Owner of the week
Walkertown Football Team - 155
Walkertown Football Team - 155
Power Player
Walkertown FT - Joe Burrow - 41
Fantasy Fumble
Dolla' Dominators - 60.5
Negatron
THE 4:20 Qrew - Jags D (-1)
*The Matchups*
Addicts vs. Qrew
Another week, another win. The win streak is only nine for the Addicts, with the first against 4:20 in Week 16 of '21. The Qrew are mired in an abysmal 11-game brown streak, stretching back to Wk 14 of last season. Rather than pile on the Qrew, the energy here is for our Last Man Standing. The Addicts got a balanced effort along with the return of Taylor, though it was the now-injured Breece Hall who led the RB scoring with 14. Mike Williams led all starters with 16. 4:20 got 18 from Rhamondre on Monday, and another 15 from Rodgers, but otherwise only Tee Higgins (11.5) joined the effort.
Football Team vs. Losers
Both of these teams showed up to play, but once again the Football Team found scores just about everywhere to seal the win. Led by Burrow's 41 and 30.5 from Jacobs, they cruised to 155 (their 4th highest score as a franchise), with only the Bucs D not chipping in. Even Kittle showed up in old form (16.5). The Losers win total stays at 4, despite 29.5 from Kenneth Walker and 29 from Mahomes. MVS chipped in a nice 15 as well. LL is very much in the contending mix, but Walkertown was not going to lose this one.
Cheetahs vs. Marauders
Look out for the Cheetahs. We've seen this show before, but they seem to be rounding into form at just the right time. They got points from every corner (except for the CMC snap limitation), but the Cowboys D was the star this week. Their 23 led the way, and 6 others posted at least a dozen in the win. Pierce (13.5) looks like a draft steal, and Olave (16) is red hot. The Marauders can't seem to line things up, despite a massive rushing day led by Ekeler (26.5) and Jones (19.5), there weren't enough points to be found to overcome their 5th straight loss.
Threat vs. Dominators
Having Kupp on bye could have meant a long day for TLM, but instead they steamrolled the confounded Dominators with their consistently solid RB duo (33 combined) and a team-leading 22.5 from JuJu Smith-Schuster. That's two in a row over 20 for JuJu. Zach Wilson fared no better than the Wilson he replaced. The Dolla is feeling inflation, and with no Cook/Swift or Bills D this week, there wasn't much to like. D'Onta Foreman was a great waiver snag, posting 17, but only Aiyuk joined him in double-digits. 3 players combined for .5 in the L.
Crushers vs. Remix
Don't sleep on the Crushers. They got their 5th win thanks (again) to their great SEC WR trio, as Chase's 28 led receiver scoring. Jeudy and Waddle both went over 10. Gibson's 15.5 was a nice bounce-back as well. They weathered the Josh Allen bye week. The Remix got off to a decent start Thursday, but Kyler's 15 was the best it ever got. Kamara had 13.5 in the mix, but Gallup goose-egged and Bobby Trees didn't fill in well for Diggs (on bye). Pacheco was a nice waiver add, but only got 8 touches.
Wolves vs. Bruisers
A much-needed win for the Wolves entering midseason, they enjoyed a pair of 17's from Henry and Mostert and enough supplemental points to hold the edge. Josh Reynolds didn't show (1.5) in place of Thielen, but Dulcich chipped in 8 off the wire and Brady was serviceable (10). The Bruisers entered Monday night needing 24.5 from Montgomery to overtake Wes, but it was not to be. Feiermuth was a nice claim off waivers (11.5), but he was the high man for the week. BB slips back to 3-4 and 3rd in the Rest.
Week 7 Preview
Will Taylor's return propel the Addicts to 7-0?
Today's preview will be short (the Commish works all weekend) and probably not that sweet.
But we can't have a week without a preview...so let's get to it.
Week 7 features battles among the NLS contingent, while the WS and Rest cross enemy lines.
The undefeated Addicts meet the unfeated Qrew, the Football Team and Losers face off in a matchup of 4-2's, and the Cheetahs and Threat look to keep at least a share of their division leads. The Crushers are also seeking a 5th win.
For everyone else, its about course correction. Good luck getting things corrected.
*The Matchups*
Addicts vs. Qrew
This would be W9 for the Addicts and L11 for the Qrew, if predictions hold. But that's why we play the games.
On paper, the Addicts should dominate the rushing battle with the return of JT, and their receiving trio (led by Tyreek) has the upper hand as well. The best chance for 4:20 is in Aaaa-ron, though Kenyan Drake could chip in nicely this week.
H2H Record: 16-8, Addicts
Experts Pick: Addicts by 18
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 21
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 15
Threat vs. Dominators
The Threat are 4-2 despite some inconsistency, but are certainly capable, facing a Dolla team still fending off injuries and questions.
Both teams are without a starter, as Swift was ruled out and the Threat don't have Russell this week. For better or worse, Zach Wilson might overcome expectations. Lamar will have to deliver 25+ to offset the Doms' banged-up RB group, but likely lose a low-scoring affair.
H2H Record: 1-1, Tied
Experts Pick: Threat by 6
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 4
Commish's Pick: Threat by 6
Football Team vs. Losers
Two winning teams square off, with the red hot Football Team matching up with a quietly solid Losers squad.
Eno got 19 to propel WFT into the weekend, and with their stacked WR/RB setup and LL's Eagles on bye, this will be a tough one for Ledford. Mahomes magic won't be enough on its own, and if Walkertown's Adams outpaces Drake London (likely), there won't be any drama.
H2H Record: 7-3, Losers
Experts Pick: WFT by 12
ESPN Pick: WFT by 18
Commish's Pick: WFT by 10
Bruisers vs. Wolves
Both of these teams are looking for consistency and answers at WR, with both in desperate need of a short-term win.
The Wolves benefit from their full complement of runners this week, and the trio (led by Henry) should outpace the Fournette/Montgomery duo on the other side. A bounce-back from Geno could be the ticket for the Bruisers, but only if Lockett (Dire) isn't the primary beneficiary. Expect a close matchup that comes down to the wire.
H2H Record: 10-6, Wolves
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 2
ESPN Pick: Bruisers by 1
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 4
Cheetahs vs. Marauders
This battle sees the upside of the Cheetahs against the consistently poor Marauders in what should be a less-than competitive game.
With 16 from Olave on Thursday, the Cheetahs are already out of the gate. If CMC is on a snap count in his new duds, the RB tilt should lean the Marauders way. That said, the WR and TE tilts are assuredly going Conover's direction, so expect this one to be decided before Tua takes the field.
H2H Record: 17-8, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 7
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 14
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 15
Remix vs. Crushers
These NLS mates face off for a better spot in the division race, as the 4-2 Crushers look to keep a winning pace and the Remix try to bounce back.
The Remix already got 28+ from Kyler/Kamara, but neither of these teams has their best weapon, thanks to the Bills bye week. Expect the Crushers to win the WR battle behind big days from Chase/Waddle, and that will leave the Remix counting on Kareem and the Pats D to stay in it. Will be close, but going Cliff's way.
H2H Record: 9-6, Remix
Experts Pick: Crushers by 2
ESPN Pick: Remix by 9
Commish's Pick: Crushers by 5
Week 6 Review
Burrow (WFT) led all scorers in Wk 6.
That does it for Week 6.
Low-scoring all around. We had a couple of close finishes, but only a couple of teams really showed up this week.
Bye weeks and injuries always seem to sap scoring this time of year, so your waiver/trade game will need to be on point, as will your team depth.
Let's look at the lay of the land in terms of LOC standings...
The separation in fortunes is becoming more apparent, as the 6-0 Addicts continue their march toward the playoffs. Can they be stopped?
They hold a two-game edge over the Crushers in the NLS, who were victorious this week as well. The Addicts also took a share of Owner of the Week honors, posting 124 alongside the 4-2 Football Team. How many times has that happened? See the Nugget for more.
The Football Team is tied with the Threat atop the WS division, but hold a commanding points lead thus far.
Over in the Rest, the Losers and Cheetahs also share the lead with a 4-2 record after wins this week.
So half of the league is 4-2 (or 6-0), three teams sit at 2-4 after taking losses, and there are a couple..ahem..below that.
On to the standouts...
*The Standouts*
Owner of the week (x2!)
Ghetto Krackaddicts - 124
Walkertown Football Team - 124
Power Player
Walkertown FT - Joe Burrow - 32.5
The OVercomer
Ledford's Losers - +5
Fantasy Fumble
THE 4:20 Qrew - 62
Negatron
THE 4:20 Qrew - Jags D/-4
***The Matchups***
Bruisers vs. Crushers
The Crushers overcame their recent slump and got back in the win column to keep them in the NLS chase, while the Bruisers hot streak came to a Gordon-less end.
It certainly wasn't the running game that earned the Crushers a win, but Josh Allen's continued brilliance (27) and a massive receiving combo from Chase (29.5) and Waddle (15.5) propelled them to victory. The Bruisers were let down by MG3 (.5) and Higbee (1), offsetting solid days from Fournette (16.5) and Gabe Davis.
Qrew vs. Cheetahs
The Cheetahs moved up to 4-2 and hold a share of the Rest lead, while the lowly Qrew notched their 10th straight defeat and a Fumble to boot.
It didn't require a starting Defense for the Cheetahs to return to their winning ways, or even a good day from Herbert (5.5). The workload for CMC (18.5) and Kelce's 16.5 were enough to get by the Qrew. 4:20 had their worst week of the season, falling to 0-6 despite solid efforts from Rhamondre (19) and Jefferson (15.5).
Football Team vs. Wolves
The points-leading Football Team seemed unaffected by bye weeks in their win over the struggling Wolves in this WS matchup.
The week's biggest blowout was led by WFT, who didn't need their Raiders stars to find points. Burrow's 32.5 and Pittman's 21.5 were the high marks in a balanced day overall for the red-hot Walkertown unit. The Wolves definitely missed King Henry, as Zeke's best day (13) and a pair of 11's from Brady and the Chargers D were the only bright spots.
Addicts vs. Dominators
The undefeated Addicts stayed that way with a hard-fought Sunday win over the bye-beaten Dominators, who fell back despite a decent effort.
The highest-scoring of a light week saw the Addicts ride their team depth to yet another win. No Taylor, no problem. Hall and Etienne combined for 30+, Cheetah delivered 25.5, and 7 of 10 starters went for double-digits. The Doms kept things interesting, notching a pair of 20's from Andrews and Aiyuk, though a goose egg from Eli Moore was the nail.
Losers vs. Remix
The Losers continue to find a way to win, moving to 4-2 and keeping pace in the Rest with their win over the up-and-down Remix (who drop to 2-4).
In the closest of the duels this week, the Losers squeezed enough points out of the Broncos D on Monday night to score a 3-point win over the OGs. Mahomes led the action with 19, while Mixon and Walker combined for 28. The Remix are likely wishing they'd started the Pats D, as the Bengals gave them zilch, negating a 25.5 from Diggs and 15 more from AK.
Marauders vs. Threat
The Threat weren't hitting on all cylinders this week, but they did enough to get by the rudderless one-win Marauders, moving up to 4-2 with an important division win.
It ultimately came down to Monday, but the needed points were already there for TLM. JuJu flexed for 21, while Barkley and Kupp chipped in enough to offset a down day from Chubb. The Commies D (13) was a crucial waiver add. The Marauders got 17 from keeper Ekeler, but the WR group crapped the sheets (8 combined) and Jones proved weak as a waiver plug QB.
Week 6 Preview
Barkley (19.8 ppg) looks to keep the Threat motoring.
*The Situation*
We've arrived at the Week 6 runway, cleared for descent. Although some teams appear to just be taking off, there's a lot of air traffic and it may be awhile before you get to cruising altitude.
Bad analogies aside, we're wading into the bye weeks, the trade market is heating up, and teams are cutting bait with underachievers and rolling the dice on potential waivers wonders. Some teams are top-heavy and swapping for depth, while others are fairly balanced and standing their ground.
Where does your team land in all of that? Let's look at how many of the current Top-50 players (by scoring average) each team has on their roster at this point.
Cheetahs - 8
Dominators - 6
Addicts - 5
Football Team - 5
Bruisers - 4
Losers - 4
Threat - 4
Marauders - 4
Wolves - 3
Remix - 3
Qrew - 2
Crushers - 2
Since that list constantly evolves throughout the season, you can't (and won't) have an entire starting cast of Top-50 players, but if you've got a decent supporting cast, you won't need many. We'll look at that list again in a few weeks and see how much it has changed.
Week 6 brings divisional matchups for the WS, while the Rest and NLS go head-to-head. On one end, the Addicts are looking to get to 6-0 (and extend their win streak to 8), while the Qrew are hoping to avoid 10 straight in the L column. Everywhere in between, teams at 3-2 and 2-3 are skirmishing to get a front-season edge. Let's get to the matchups and arbitrary predictions.
*The Matchups*
Bruisers vs. Crushers
This battle of 3-2 teams sees the Bruisers riding a wave of momentum from Week 5, while the Crushers look to right the ship after a 2-game slide.
Bruisers: World-beater Geno Smith gets the nod this week at QB, and he should at least provide a floor of 15. Montgomery wasn't great Thursday, so Fournette and Gordon will be counted on to secure the RB points edge, and should do so. Gabe Davis won't match last week, but Lamb is due for a big game if Rush can get him the rock. Vikes D should feast. Look for a Bruisers win here.
Crushers: The run game has been letting Cliff down, and he will need newly-acquired Mike Boone to steal Gordon's share in Denver. Josh Allen is an absolute lock against KC, and Chase is overdue to excel. Waddle is handcuffed until Tua returns, but Jeudy will have a big TD this week. The Niners D will continue to dominate, enough to keep this one closer.
Critical Matchup: Flex - Jeudy vs. Gordon
H2H Record: 13-8, Bruisers
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 12
ESPN Pick: Bruisers by 4
Commish's Pick: Bruisers by 10
Qrew vs. Cheetahs
The stakes for the Qrew are clear, as they try to avoid the 2nd-longest losing streak in LOC history, while the Cheetahs bring a high-scoring unit looking for their 4th win.
Qrew: At some point, Rodgers has to have a huge game. While it might not be needed against the Jets, the Commish sees a 3-TD game for him today. The rushing battle may actually go the Qrew's way, as Jeff Wilson looks strong and Rhamondre tries to match last week's breakout. Jefferson should have an easy go (vs. Miami), and Hollywood will benefit from a shootout.
Cheetahs: This one will likely come down to Herbert's performance on Monday night. CMC faces a stingy Rams D with a backup QB at the helm, so AJ Dillon will have to fill in for Pierce admirably. Both Bucs WR's should feast against the Steelers weakened defense, and Kelce won't reach 4 TDs but should have 100+ yards. The Cowboys D is a question mark, as is the outcome.
Critical Matchup: QB - Rodgers vs. Herbert
H2H Record: 11-11, Tied
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 6
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 5
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 8
Football Team vs. Wolves
In what should be a low-scoring WS battle, the Football Team seek a division lead and a continuance of momentum against a Wolves squad trying to start a winning streak.
WFT: Roquan got the show started Thursday with 11, but this week the Team will be without their two premier playmakers (Jacobs/Adams), meaning a test of depth. Eno Benjamin is a plug-in who may excel in the Conner role, and Pickens gets the Flex nod. He must reach 10 points. Rachaad White makes his first LOC start with questions. Burrow and Deebo will have to light up the scoreboard.
Wolves: There isn't likely a big game coming for Brady, but this week the run game will outplay projections, as Mostert gets another solid workload and Zeke/Najee get involvement in the passing game. Lockett will put up 15+, and if Doubs can continue to build chemistry with Rodgers, there is a lot to like here. The Chargers D won't match the Bucs D, but it may not matter.
Critical Matchup: WR2 - Pittman vs. Doubs
H2H Record: 6-6, Tied
Experts Pick: WFT by 13
ESPN Pick: WFT by 5
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 7
Addicts vs. Dominators
The undefeated Addicts try to keep the good times rolling and remain undefeated against a capable but recently struggling Dominators squad.
Addicts: With no Taylor again this week, it will take another scrappy effort from the Addicts to keep the unbeaten run alive. Hall is back in the mix, and he's joined by Etienne in a youth movement at RB. They will not deliver as Ghetto hopes, so the potent WR pair of Tyreek and DK (and Williams in the flex) should compensate. Can Trevor Lawrence step up, or is this the week things unfold?
Doms: After a blazing start, the Doms have fallen quickly, and no Lions this week is testing depth yet again. Cook and Singletary will serve as a valid 1-2 in this one, but the WR trio is middling at best. They will have to combine for 30 to assist the cause. The key to the upset will be a big day from Lamar against the Giants. Along with the high target share for Mark Andrews, it will be just enough.
Critical Matchup: D/ST - Panthers vs. Rams
H2H Record: 11-9, Dominators
Experts Pick: Addicts by 2
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 2
Commish's Pick: Dominators by 2
Losers vs. Remix
Two teams trying to secure their identity this season need this win to get an edge, as the Losers seek 4-2 and the Remix try to get back to .500.
Losers: Expect a big game from Mahomes (why not) despite the Bills tough defense. Mixon should be serviceable this week, but Kenneth Walker will truly outplay expectations in place of Williams (bye). Eagles reps Brown and Goedert should help carry the load, while London and MVS underachieve. The prognosis here is a competitive effort that isn't quite enough.
Remix: The Remix know they need this win, and they've got the firepower to make it happen. Kyler was a trade win and he will keep up with Mahomes. Sanders should post 12+, though Dobbins isn't a sure thing here. Expect another winning day from Diggs, with Lazard providing double-digit support. If Kamara can get the expected utilization, the OG's will take the W.
Critical Matchup: Flex - MVS vs. Kamara
H2H Record: 3-0, Remix
Experts Pick: Remix by 8
ESPN Pick: Remix by 11
Commish's Pick: Remix by 7
Marauders vs. Threat
The defending champs hope to continue building on a solid start to the year, while the flailing Marauders scrape the bowl looking for a winning vibe in this WS battle.
Marauders: The QB roulette (and non-Tua struggles) are well-documented, and its mediocre Danny Dimes that gets the nod in a must-win game. He just has to post 10 points. Ekeler and Aaron Jones are expected to carry the Mitchell squad, but Kirk must bounce back and Sutton needs to work around the Chargers secondary. The Pack D should thrive, and an Ertz 10-12 will help the cause.
Threat: There's no reason to think the Threat can't continue posting 110 a week, as their run game keeps the floor high every week. Chubb and Barkley will combine for 30+ once again, though Kupp will need another big game after Samuel's dud on Thursday. Irv Smith steps in at TE to replace the deposed Waller, while the Commies D already provided 13. It will be close.
Critical Matchup: RB1 - Ekeler vs. Chubb
H2H Record: 1-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Threat by 15
ESPN Pick: Threat by 6
Commish's Pick: Marauders by 1
Week 5 Review
Gabe Davis (34.5) paced the Bruisers in a league-leading Wk 5.
There you have it. Another round of close games decided late. Another layer of separation at the top and bottom of the LOC standings. And a continued glut of teams fighting in the middle.
That's right, 9 out of 12 teams are either 3-2 or 2-3. Parity for the win!
At the top, the Addicts continue to reign unbeaten at 5-0. At the bottom, the Qrew and Marauders struggle to put it all together.
Everywhere else, it's really hard to say, though there are certainly signs of momentum.
Let's talk about the 3-2's. The Bruisers showed the league they can put up points, leading the way in a high-scoring win over the Cheetahs (who were 2nd in scoring this week). The Football Team got a big Monday night showing from their Raiders to pull even with the Crushers, the Losers got what they needed from Mahomes, and the Threat worked their running game for a win Sunday.
Of the 2-3 teams, the Wolves survived a late push from 4:20 to get their second win, while the Dominators and Remix both slid back this week.
Now we're on to the standouts from Week 5. Notice the return of some familiar icons below? Pretty cool, eh? Found our old trophy case icons in an archived email from 9 years ago. Even better, every team's individual trophy case will be built over the next week. Obviously, we don't have some of the old data or the awarded trophy archives, but I'm making the most of what we do have.
If you'd like to see what this will look like in practice, check out the team pages for the Bruisers or Crushers. Best viewed in landscape mode. Your page will be up soon! Like the rest of the site, the team pages will continue to evolve over the course of the season (as the commish has time).
*The Standouts*
Owner of the week
Benny's Bruisers - 154.5
All systems go for the Bruisers, led by Davis, Fournette, and Hurts.
Power Player
Cliff's Crushers - Josh Allen - 43
Allen threw for 424 and 4 TD's, leading the league despite a Crushers loss.
The OVercomer
Walkertown FT - 36 Points
Needing 36 from Adams/Jacobs, WFT got 54.5 points from the explosive duo.
Fantasy Fumble
Mitchell's Marauders - 80.5
That's two of out the last three in the Fumble zone for this QB-less team.
Negatron
Marauders/Wolves -2 (MIA/LAC)
Both teams started defenses that got exploited. Both posted -2.
*The Matchups*
Game of the Week: Bruisers vs. Cheetahs
This one outplayed the billing. The Bruisers showed their upside in a duel with the Cheetahs that saw 290 combined points.
Gabe Davis was the lead man, posting 34.5 on a pair of insanely long TD grabs. Fournette added 26.5 and Hurts 21 more, and the effort was punctuated by a Carlson 18 that pushed the Bruisers over 150.
The Cheetahs saw plenty of balance, and getting a combined 41 from DAL and Tucker boosted their chances. Kelce caught 4 TDs (on 25 yards!) to keep things uncomfortable, and CMC chipped in 17.5 himself. It was good enough to beat anyone but the Bruisers this week.
Wolves vs. Crew
A hope-critical matchup that came down to the wire, this one saw the Wolves outlast the Crew to end their 3-game slide, simultaneously adding an L9 to the 4:20 ledger.
A trio of 20+ games from Henry (24), Lockett (23.5) and Brady (22) were plenty of ammo to overcome a weaker support effort, and waiver scoop Mostert delivered 18 in the flex to help the Wolves to victory.
The Qrew got everything they needed but Edwards-Helaire production on Monday night, falling short in a comeback bid. JJ led the effort with 25, and Jeff Wilson was strong with 19 points. A goose egg from Conklin was the likely difference.
Threat vs. Remix
This game was close until it was decided, as the Threat continued their steady approach and the Remix took a step back at day's end.
The '21 champs lost Waller on Monday, but they had enough banked with their top-shelf running game, fueled by Chubb's 24 and 16 more from Barkley. Cooper Kupp continues to show his keeper value, posting 25 in the contest.
The Remix were let down by Dobbins, but the Kamara double-deuce and the comfortable 20 from Diggs helped keep them close. Hockenson didn't replicate his Week 4 success.
Addicts vs. Marauders
The continuance of Krackaddicts success was not foretold in this matchup, but they weathered an early injury (Hines) and cruised past the Phin-fangled Marauders to get to 5-0.
We haven't seen the best of this team yet, and that could mean trouble for the NLS division. This week it was a combination of Breece Hall (26.5) and reintroductions from DK and Mike Will (combined for 36) that drove the Addicts to an early lead and win.
Another week of QB injury doomed the positional points for MIM, and though Ekeler had a monster day with 31.5, there wasn't enough WR or D/ST (-2) production to give the Marauders a shot to win.
Losers vs. Dominators
There wasn't a lot of drama by the time Monday arrived, but the Losers came through and notched their 3rd win in this Rest battle.
The Mahomes 26.5 certainly added insurance to the margin, helping to overcome a subpar effort from Brown (4.5) and Robinson (still starting). The Broncos D's 15 and Goedert's 13.5 were critical contributions to the win.
The Dominators have fallen quickly from a couple of weeks ago, as Swift is injured and depth is being tested. Cook was strong with 20.5, and the Bills D (14) was on point, but Singletary and the WR group underwhelmed in this one.
Crushers vs. Football Team
It appeared the Crushers had done enough to sneak by to 4-1, but the capable Football Team had other ideas, completing a Monday night comeback to take the win.
That's taking nothing away from Josh Allen, who led all scorers with 43 and gave the Crushers a good shot at it. Unfortunately for Cliff, only the Niners D (14) gave any double-digit support to the cause.
Walkertown has shown they are to be taken seriously in the WS division, and they hang on to the points lead after this week. Davante and Josh Jacobs each reached 27 to drive the comeback, and there was enough production elsewhere to make a winning formula.
Week 5 Preview
Can Rodgers get the Qrew on the winning path?
Sunday of Week 5 is here, where we'll see the Rest division battling within their own ranks while the NLS and WS groups face each other. The Addicts have a chance to move to 5-0 and extend their win streak to 7, the Football Team have a chance to build on their overall points lead, and the teams in the Rest have a chance to prove their early success (all 4 teams at .500 or above) is legit.
We'll also keep an eye cast the Qrew's way as they look to end their 8-game slump. One thing is certain based on the matchups, there will be at least 5 teams with losing records after this week (3 currently) and potentially 7 with a positive W/L ratio.
Can the Crushers bounce back from last week's loss? Will the Cheetahs stay hot? Is it panic time for the Wolves and Marauders?
Which of the six 2-2 teams will join the narrow group at the top of the standings? What about .500 survivors like the Bruisers and Losers? Are their fortunes as optimistic as the steady Threat and the rising Remix? Can the Dominators regain their footing after a forgettable Week 4?
Anything is possible at this point, but clearer answers are on the way. We just saw our first trade and the waiver wire is heating up. It's officially adjustment time across most of the league.
Is your team ready for a prove-it week? We'll know soon enough.
*The Matchups*
Qrew vs. Wolves
This one qualifies as the "something's got to give" category. Both these teams are on multi-game losing streaks and looking for a turnaround.
For the Wolves, the signs of life from Derrick Henry are a good sign, and the running game is certainly capable, but the WR group must step up this week. No Thomas, so Doubs and Lockett are the primaries that Dire will be counting on today. Zeke and Najee should have better performances despite the tough defensive matchups. If Brady can keep up last week's momentum, the Wolves can hang in.
The Qrew are counting on Rodgers to put up points against a suspect Giants D, and he will do so. Look for CEH to post 15, though Jeff Wilson and Hollywood Brown are both question marks. Jefferson and Higgins will excel, pacing the team with solid outings. If the Jags D can hold Houston down, the Qrew will snap their losing streak and start a turnaround.
Critical Matchup: QB - Rodgers vs. Brady
H2H Record: 8-8, Tied
Experts Pick: Qrew by 6
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 16
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 5
Football Team vs. Crushers
Both of these squads enter this exciting matchup on slightly different trajectories, as the Football Team seeks to continue their upward momentum, while the Crushers try to reset after their first loss.
The Flex matchup proved to be a wash Thursday (Pittman/Jeudy), and Walkertown should expect a challenge at every position. Both run games are in injury-related flux, so WFT is calling on Burkhead to replace Patterson, while the Crushers move Harris into the second RB spot. If Jacobs has another game like last week, the Football Team will take this positional scrum. It's anyone's guess who takes the WR tilt, though the Commish sees Chase elevating the day for Cliff.
Josh Allen will slightly outpace Burrow, but a surprise upset by the Panthers against the 49ers will swing the defensive matchup toward WFT. That will be just enough for the win.
Critical Matchup: RB2 - Harris vs. Burkhead
H2H Record: 11-10, Crushers
Experts Pick: WFT by 4
ESPN Pick: Crushers by 2
Commish's Pick: WFT by 2
Cheetahs vs. Bruisers
These two enter with a winning record, but its the Cheetahs who roll in with high projections and plenty of optimism. The Bruisers are finding ways to hang in, and could elevate the outlook with a win here.
Following a trade with RMX, the Cheetahs will roll out James Robinson in the Flex this week, and he should surpass Gabe Davis on the other side. Kelce is always the pick to win the TE battle. Herbert may underwhelm against Cleveland, meaning the Bruisers' Hurts will hold the QB edge here. The rushing battle will be close (Gordon's 11 was slightly encouraging for BB), but McCaffrey will definitely outscore Fournette. Is Pierce for real? We'll know shortly.
This one will be closer than projected, with the Bucs WRs going 1 for 2 on production and CeeDee Lamb helping the Bruisers hang in. A Monday night decision goes to Conover.
Critical Matchup: Flex - Davis vs. Robinson
H2H Record: 10-9, Bruisers
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 13
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 7
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 3
Dominators vs. Losers
This battle of 2-2 squads is an early test for both. They need to find their footing after tough losses in Week 4, and its the Losers who are projected to do so here.
The Doms are still missing Swift, and the Losers are still without Keenan Allen. The fill-ins will tell that story for us, as the Losers will gain the additional Swift value via Jamaal Williams, while Amon-Ra has a big day collecting passes from Goff. Yes, Goff is starting over Lamar, as the Doms try the hot-hand approach this week. He won't keep up with Mahomes, but should be serviceable. The Losers got 15 from the Broncs D on Thursday, but the Bills should easily match that against a rookie in Pittsburgh.
This one may well come down to whether Dalvin Cook can find a rhythm, or whether Goedert can come anywhere close to Mark Andrews at the TE spot. Expect a hard-fought game at around 100 pts each.
Critical Matchup: WR1 - Brown vs. St. Brown
H2H Record: 5-3, Losers
Experts Pick: Losers by 10
ESPN Pick: Losers by 11
Commish's Pick: Losers by 5
Threat vs. Remix
The Threat and Remix are both at .500 and in the top half of the league so far, but that has not been due to QB play. The OG unit just traded in for Kyler, and he may just be the ticket to 3-2.
Wilson's 4 on Thursday is a continuing problem for the Threat, so the production Murray provides will set the table for what TLM needs from their explosive running game to keep pace. Expect Chubb and Barkley to combine for 30+. Are Dobbins and Sanders up to that task? They will likely need only 20 between them. Diggs vs. Kupp is a fun WR1 battle that should be pretty damn close. The Vikings D will provide a defensive edge, but Kamara will outpace Smith-Schuster in the Flex.
The stakes may well be set by the QB battle, but the production of Waller (TLM) and Kamara (RMX) will be the final difference.
Critical Matchup: QB - Wilson vs. Murray
H2H Record: 1-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Threat by 8
ESPN Pick: Remix by 8
Commish's Pick: Remix by 8
Addicts vs. Marauders
The Addicts are the league's sole unbeaten team at 4-0, and they play a Marauders squad trying to get by at QB and avoid the league basement.
For Ghetto, the Taylor injury is a real concern in the short term, but they've been able to get W's so far despite his situation. Hines was called up this week, but left early with injury as well. That puts the pressure on Breece Hall to deliver a big day. Carr will certainly outpace Bridgewater on the other side, and the WR edge should go to Tyreek and DK. With that combo, the Addicts are set to keep up throughout this game. Watch for a potential big day from Mike Williams.
The Marauders need a lot from Ekeler and Kirk to give themselves a shot, and the Dolphins D must take advantage of the Jets (including stopping Hall). If Cooks can continue to improve his numbers, they make have a shot for the upset.
Critical Matchup:
H2H Record: 13-10, Addicts
Experts Pick: Marauders by 2
ESPN Pick: Marauders by 5
Commish's Pick: Marauders by 1
Week 4 Review
Pierce balled out (25.5) for the Cheetahs in Wk 4.
Week 4 was another exciting and competitive round of games. 3 of the 6 came down to Monday night. That's two weeks in a row of late sweating for multiple owners. All divisional games. Lots of drama.
Where does that leave us today? For starters, a big congrats to the Ghetto Krackaddicts for earning this year's Last Man Standing! At 4-0, and even without hitting on all cylinders, they are officially the team to beat in the short term. They edged out the Crushers in the battle of the unbeatens.
The Cheetahs proved their #2 spot in the Power Rankings was no joke, as they exploded for the second 150+ point effort we've seen this season (Dolla, Wk 2). Likewise, the Football Team picked up where they left off last week, charging by the Marauders to get a share of the WS division lead...alongside the Threat, who evened up their record in a hard-fought battle with the Wolves.
Over in the NLS, the Remix held off the Qrew to get back to .500, while the Bruisers outlasted the Dominators in the Fumbowl and are tied with them atop the Rest.
With all the course corrections from this week, the middle of the pack is piled high. Half the league is at 2-2. Only 3 teams at 4-0 or 3-1. Multiple starters went down with injury. And there are certainly more questions at this point than answers. Which is a good thing. On to the standouts and matchup breakdowns.
***The Standouts***
Owner of the week
Conover Cheetahs - 156.5
With a balanced scoring attack hitting at almost every position, the Cheetahs proved they are ready to contend this season.
Power Player
Remix OG - TJ Hockenson - 33.5
One player can make the difference. Hockenson lit up the scoreboard for the Remix and was a key in their Wk 4 win.
The OVercomer
Threat Level Midnight
Trailing by 22 on Monday, the reigning champs got all they needed and more from Kupp/Wagner to complete the comeback.
Fantasy Fumble
Dolla Dominators - 68.5
After a blazing start to the season, the suddenly slowed Doms found the sledding much tougher and hit the ice hard.
Negatron
Benny's Bruisers - Melvin Gordon
It's true that the Bruisers won and that Melvin may get a promotion, but MG's -1.5 point effort was a stain on the week.
***The Matchups***
Crushers vs. Addicts
This was the matchup to watch entering the weekend, and it proved to be competitive for much of the contest. The WR battle swung the Addicts way early, with Hill (23.5) outpacing the combo of Chase/Waddle (14.5) on Thursday. Sunday saw Mike Williams (17.5) outduel the Crushers' Jerry Jeudy (11) in a critical Flex battle. Neither run game flourished, but Breece Hall's 13 was a positive for GK as well. The Crushers found little to fuel their effort to reach 4-0, though Josh Allen's 20 and the addition of Boswell (14) were both positives.
The Addicts move up to 4-0 and are currently riding a 6-game winning streak, while the Crushers slip to 3-1 right behind them in the NLS race.
Cheetahs vs. Losers
Both these teams entered the contest 2-1, part of an early 3-way tie in the Rest. The momentum was all Cheetahs in this one. They notched their highest score since Wk 5 of last year, trouncing the Losers in a game that leaked any drama early. For Ledford, there were positives in defeat, such as the Jamaal Williams plug that paid off with 24 and Mahomes' continued magic. Robinson is becoming a liability, but this team is still a capable unit. The Cheetahs wisely elevated Pierce, and he combined with CMC for 44.5 points. Evans (24) and Herbert (22) added to a great day from just about everyone.
The Cheetahs jump up to 3-1 and sole position of the division lead, while the Losers settle back to .500 and a game down.
Bruisers vs. Dominators
A lot was made of this low-scoring game and it's Monday wind-down, but its was at least competitive throughout. The Doms entered with a lot of confidence, rightly positive after a great start. The Bruisers haven't had much luck, but got back to even with a late win in this one. Despite a couple of starting duds (Davis, Gordon, Smith), the Bruisers got between 11-13 from 4 other starters, managing just enough to outlast the cash. Dolla saw only Lamar reach double-digits (10.5) among starters, and with Swift and St. Brown both hampered, there was little value to be found this week.
The Dominators drop to 2-2, where they share 2nd with the Bruisers in the Rest division.
Football Team vs. Marauders
This one was largely decided early, though it was closer than the final score appeared. The Football Team were coming off a solid Week 3, and they added to it with a 146-point performance to roll past the Marauders. Josh Jacobs was the star of the show, posting a season's best 29.5 points and 2 touchdowns. Burrow (21.5) and the Eagles D (19) were solid, and Deebo added 23.5 on Monday night to secure a convincing win. The Marauders finally got a big week from Ekeler (25.5), and all but 2 starters reached double-digits, though Tua's injury-induced 1 point basically sealed the deal.
Walkertown rises to 2-2 with plenty of upside, while the Marauders slip to 1-3 in the WS division.
Threat vs. Wolves
The comeback story of Week 4 was not entirely unpredictable, but it had to materialize on Monday night, when the Threat got a 21-point game from Cooper Kupp. Wilson also posted 21 in the winning effort. The Barkley and Chubb duo provided 19 apiece, offsetting down days from Waller/Samuel. Brady came alive for the Wolves, hoisting a season-high 26 to lead the way, while Derrick Henry delivered 21.5 himself. No shame in the Dire effort, though Pitts needs to find his way soon. Despite the L, a competitive matchup throughout.
The Threat now own a share of the WS lead at 2-2. The Wolves drop to a less-than-expected 1-3.
Remix vs. Qrew
Eventually, any narrative about this matchup will find its way back to the 8-game losing streak that is nagging the Qrew. The Remix aren't complaining, as they got a needed division win. Both teams put up points and the game wasn't ultimately decided until the final minutes. The big story in this one: TJ Hockenson. He blew up in a injury-riddled shootout for Detroit, posting 33.5 to lead the week in the LOC. Miles Sanders continues to be a value, adding 26 to secure the win. The Qrew left CEH's game-winning points behind, but got a nice pair of receiving days from JJ (25.5) and Tee (24.5).
Surviving the matchup to move to 2-2, the Remix are still 3rd in the NLS. The Qrew fall to 0-4.
Week 4 Preview
Hard to believe we're already in the throes of Week 4, but here we are.
Half the league is 1-2 (including the entire WS division). The teams with the best records are banged up with injury and inconsistency. The teams with the worst records look far more capable than they've played thus far. There's a lot to sort out in the coming months.
What better way to start getting some clarity than LOC Divisional Week! The only time between now and Week 14 where everyone is playing in their own sandbox. The outcomes this weekend will definitely matter for tiebreaker purposes, so don't sleep on this one.
Both of our 3-0 teams face each other this week, meaning either the Crushers or the Addicts will be the last man standing at 4-0. Two of the three 2-1 teams (Losers and Cheetahs) square off to send someone to the top of the Rest division. And in the sea of 1-2's, it's likely that three teams will reach .500 by Monday. Can teams like the Dominators and Football Team keep their upward momentum? Are the Threat about to make a run? Can the Qrew get over a sluggish start and stop the streak? Answers are ahead.
The Matchups
Game of the Week: Crushers vs. Addicts
Someone will emerge as the team to beat in the LOC. Which one though? The early receiving edge goes to the Addicts, who got a robust 23.5 out of Tyreek on Thursday. Chase and Waddle both had down games for the Crushers, combining for just 14.5 points. There is still room for the Crushers to score a win here, but it will require a big day from Josh Allen (possible) and a solid 1-2 from Williams and Gibson. Taylor and Hall will try to push back for the Addicts (in a first start for Hall). The matchup that will likely decide the game is in the flex, where Mike Williams (GK) squares against Jerry Jeudy (CFFT). Expect a fun 3-0 showdown that is decided Monday night by the Rams D.
Critical Matchup: FLEX - Williams vs. Jeudy
H2H Record: 11-10, Addicts
Experts Pick: Addicts by 2
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 16
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 5
Cheetahs vs. Losers
The question marks in the Cheetahs Week 4 lineup are exacerbated by the starting lineup tango to this point, but assuming CMC and Hunt/Dillon get the start, there is a likely enough there to keep up at RB. That said, the Losers have Mixon and a prime stash play with Jamaal Williams, so this will be a close positional battle. Expect Herbert to stay close to Mahomes in scoring, given the defensive matchups. Kelce will win the TE duel for Conover, and Robinson will break out for the Losers. This Rest matchup will be settled on Monday during Chiefs/Bucs.
Critical Matchup: D/ST - Broncos vs. Cowboys
H2H Record: 6-2, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 2
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 1
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 7
Dominators vs. Bruisers
This one feels like it will be a hard-fought battle. The Dominators have been hot (and the composite Power Ranks have them at #1), but Swift and St. Brown are out this week, which sets the stage for the Bruisers to take a good shot at it. Lamb and DeVonta Smith should have good weeks, giving BB the edge in receiving points over Aiyuk and Eli Moore. Hurts will have a good game too, but the Lamar-to-Andrews connection will reap the usual benefits for Dolla. The run game will be interesting to watch, as Cook tries to rally and Fournette is expected to succeed against KC. The RB2 battle will be a wash. The Doms sneak by late.
Critical Matchup: RB1 - Cook vs. Fournette
H2H Record: 14-9, Bruisers
Experts Pick: Bruisers by 2
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 1
Commish's Pick: Dominators by 8
Threat vs. Wolves
This WS battle sees the defending champs trying to get things on track against a run-heavy Wolves squad. That takes nothing away from the Chubb/Barkley duo as the Threat's main weapon. Both have favorable matchups. Expect Henry to struggle but Najee to exceed projections for the Wolves. JuJu will surprise with 15+ from the TLM flex spot, while Zeke continues a trend of flat production. Both TEs (Waller and Pitts) will have get-right days. The winner here will be decided by the QB battle, where both Wilson and Brady have not lit up the scoreboard like days of old. Which will re-emerge here?
Critical Matchup: QB - Wilson vs. Brady
H2H Record: 1-0, Threat
Experts Pick: Threat by 12
ESPN Pick: Threat by 9
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 2
Football Team vs. Marauders
This matchup was likely decided the moment Tua's head hit the turf in Cincy, but the Marauders will still bring their troops to the fray against a Walkertown team ready to do some damage in the WS group. With Burrow's 21.5 in the bank, WFT are hoping Patterson and Jacobs continue their Week 3 momentum and Davante finally breaks out in Vegas. Deebo and Samuel will both post double-digits, and Pittman will see 10 targets against Tennessee. Roquan and McPherson are icing. Ekeler and Jones must reach 20+ for the Marauders, and even if Sutton and Kirk shine, it likely won't be enough. Herbert should excel in defeat.
Critical Matchup: RB1 - Patterson vs. Ekeler
H2H Record: 12-10, Marauders
Experts Pick: Football Team by 10
ESPN Pick: Football Team by 27
Commish's Pick: Football Team by 15
Remix vs. Qrew
A 59-yard TD by Tee Higgins on Thursday and 24.5 points overall have the Qrew feeling optimistic entering Sunday. Jefferson and Hollywood Brown will chip in a combined 30, meaning a win in the WR category. The Remix do have Diggs and McLaurin, so it won't be a big win, but the flex battle of Garrett Wilson vs. Brown will go the Qrew's way. Dan will get decent numbers from Cousins, but will it be enough to outpace Rodgers? What happens with Julio in the 4:20 IR spot? Will the Giants D backfire on the OG's? The running game will decide this, as Robinson and Kamara (RMX) must outpace Conner/Wilson if the Remix are to win.
Critical Matchup: RB2 - Robinson vs. Wilson
H2H Record: 12-4, Qrew
Experts Pick: Remix by 4
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 8
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 3
Week 3 Review
Joe Burrow broke out in Wk 3 for the Football Team.
It only took 3 weeks for us to get the kind of late-Monday drama that makes fantasy football so fun to watch. 4 of the 6 games were to be decided on Monday night, and 3 came down to the final moments. That equates to a whole lot of anxious moments...and it turned an otherwise middling NFC East matchup into must-see TV for the LOC.
When the smoke cleared, the Crushers and Addicts both emerged victorious and moved to 3-0. The Football Team (led by Burrow) got into the win column in style, leading all scoring to make an early season statement. Over in the Rest division, the Losers and Cheetahs survived to move to 2-1, while the Dominators steamrolled past their elder opponent to get to 2-1 as well.
It was a highly competitive and exciting week, and we're left with the two undefeated teams in the NLS, an entire division of 1-2 teams (WS), and a whole lot of parity early. Let's hope this is a sign of things to come. It's on to the Week 3 standouts (with a matchups review up later tonight).
***The Standouts***
Owner of the week
Walkertown Football Team - 128.5
Paced by Burrow and Patterson, the Football Team led all scoring in Week 3, putting themselves squarely in the mix in the WS division.
Power Player
Dominators - Lamar Jackson - 34.5
The Dominators have taken the overall scoring lead in the LOC, thanks in part to Jackson's continued dominance in Week 3.
Fantasy Fumble
Mitchell's Marauders - 63.5
Unable to get out of their own way, the Marauders suffered a beatdown in the Mitchell bowl and scrubbed the league floor in Week 3.
Negatron
Mitchell's Marauders - Chargers D
The Marauders found their way to the bottom of the heap this week with a decimating -6 from the Chargers defense.
***The Matchups***
Crushers vs. Qrew
Josh Allen and Jaylen Waddle continue to lead the way for the Crushers, this week to the tune of 25.5 and 14.5, respectively. The game was close late, but it was enough (along with a nice effort from Prater) to get the Crushers another W and a continued share of the NLS lead. The Qrew are now in a franchise-worst 7-game slide, this one due to a couple of incorrect starting decisions and a Micah Parsons letdown on Monday night. Hollywood Brown (23) came through with a solid leading effort for 4:20, but down days from Jefferson and Stafford sealed their fate in this one.
Addicts vs. Remix
So many things could have changed late, with this one coming down to a kicker (Gano) and ultimately a 1-point difference. The Addicts emerged victorious in this survivor match, getting to 3-0 as well in the NLS group. Carr led the effort with 20.5, while DK and Kendricks chipped in 12.5 each. Taylor's 10.5 proved just enough. The Remix were lead by Cousins' 17 and had hope on the horizon, but big points were left on the bench, and Gano's 16 wasn't quite enough to get them over the top.
Dominators vs. Marauders
This annual matchup was over by 2pm on Sunday, thanks to the continued MVP play of Lamar Jackson. His 34.5 led all scorers for the second straight week, and 20.5 more were from connections with Mark Andrews. The Dominators were able to overcome a Swift injury to cruise to 2-1. There were really no highlights in the starting roster for the Marauders, and other than a pair of double-digit WR days from Kirk and Sutton, it was a forgettable effort.
Bruisers vs. Walkertown
The Football Team brought a balanced effort that ended up being the league's best in Week 3, fueled by 24 from Burrow and another 21.5 from Patterson. Not to be overlooked is Roquan Smith's 19, a noteworthy IDP day amid many double-digit efforts from WFT starters. For the Bruisers, there wasn't much to celebrate, as Smith's big day (26.5) was left behind in defeat. Hurts (26) continues to be a force, and Lamb finally stepped up with 16.5, but the deficit was too much.
Losers vs. Threat
Another nail-biter, this matchup saw the Losers hang on late to emerge with their second win. Ultimately, the credit can go to the Broncos D/ST, who rung up 22 points on Sunday night. Mahomes and AJ Brown added 15's to get the Losers through in a battle with the '21 champs. For the Threat, it was almost enough that Saquon continued his comeback tour with 18.5 and Chubb piled on 17 more, but Boyd's points were benched and Russell Wilson (4.5) remained stagnant at the helm.
Wolves vs. Cheetahs
Yet another hard-fought matchup that came down to the wire. The Cheetahs snuck by late thanks to a big play from the Cowboys D and despite the loss of newly-acquired Sterling Shepard. Russell Gage's 16.5 led the Conover scoring, while CMC and Kelce chipped in a serviceable 14 apiece. The return of Derrick Henry (20.5) has to be encouraging for the Wolves, and 5 other starters contributed between 11-13, but the blame for this one likely lies with the Steelers D (1).
Week 3 Preview
Two unpredictable weeks have gone by. A third faces us today.
The NLS division squares off this weekend for the first time, while the Rest and WS groups face each other. The Crushers and Addicts look to reach 3-0, while the Qrew and Football Team are hoping to notch their first W in this young season.
Before we dive into the matchups, here is a quick look at starting roster strength entering this week, ranked by a third party. Feel free to adjust or ignore based on these grades.
Threat (A+)
Dominators (A+)
Crushers (A)
Qrew (A)
WFT (A)
Marauders (A)
Bruisers (A-)
Addicts (B+)
Remix (B+)
Losers (B)
Wolves (B)
Cheetahs (C+)
Are these ranks an accurate reflection of likely outcomes today? Probably not, but it's always fun to see what the experts think is gonna happen. Injuries (as always) and early underachievement are already impacting team strength, as that list looks pretty different from the pecking order just two weeks ago from the same ranking tool. Prove 'em wrong or prove 'em right.
Let's jump right into the battles ahead.
Crushers vs. Qrew
The Crushers are off to a great start, and they will expect continued success via Josh Allen and Dawson Knox vs. a susceptible Fins D today. They should see numbers. Waddle and Chase will both deliver 15+ at WR, but Javonte and Jeudy may both struggle to earn their spots this week. The Bears D will be a key here, as will Gibson's ability to hold a solid early pace. Expect things to go fairly smoothly.
Meanwhile, the Qrew are in the throes of a 6-game losing streak that began in Week 14 of last season, and are desperately trying to avoid a franchise-worst 7 in a row. This won't be an easy chance to change their fortunes. Stafford should have success against the Cards D, but the running game is in question with Conner dinged up and Jeff Wilson an uncertain value. Wilson and CEH could outproduce expectations, but the WR group will need max production from Jefferson (likely) and Higgins (?).
Critical Matchup: FLEX - Brown vs. Jeudy
H2H Record: 14-11, Qrew
Experts Pick: Crushers by 6
ESPN Pick: Crushers by 8
Commish's Pick: Crushers by 3
Addicts vs. Remix
So far so good for the Krackaddicts, as their '22 campaign is off to a solid start similar to last year. It's fair to expect that Tyreek won't be able to be stopped this week, but Mike Williams will need to replicate his Week 2 as well. The run game is riding on Taylor, who draws a good matchup with KC's defense. Can Carr elevate his game? Can DK be DK? The Rams D also needs to come together, and these questions will make this a close one.
The Remix pulled off a narrow win last week, but perhaps its the first sign of a momentum run. Dobbins is active for the first time and--along with a capable Miles Sanders--should fare well. Kamara is expected to have a great game. Can he show his draft value? Diggs will feast this week, and McLaurin should get plenty of targets. The Chiefs D will be challenged to score points, but there is likely enough elsewhere for the OG's to score an upset.
Critical Matchup: QB - Carr vs. Cousins
H2H Record: 6-5, Addicts
Experts Pick: Addicts by 4
ESPN Pick: Remix by 1
Commish's Pick: Remix by 3
Dominators vs. Marauders
It's all systems go for the Dominators thus far, and they enter this Mitchell duel with plenty of reasonable optimism. Lamar gets a Pats D that he can take advantage of to the tune of 25+, and the run game should motor on via a Cook bounce-back and Swift's continued roll. The WR group was a question, but so far St. Brown has been a stud. Can Moore and Agholor contribute double-digits? If the Texans D can hold up, the Doms should cruise to victory.
The Marauders had a great Week 2, but expectations are tempered with Tua facing the Bills D and Ekeler getting a reduced workload. Aaron Jones won't have much luck against a stout Bucs front 7, meaning the receiving corps must carry the water this week. Sutton, Cooks and Kirk are all capable, but only one will likely post WR1 value (Kirk?). DJ Moore (3rd Round) is already on the bench, and the Chargers D won't put up enough points to keep this one respectable.
Critical Matchup: QB - Jackson vs. Tagovailoa
H2H Record: 11-7, Marauders
Experts Pick: Dominators by 10
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 17
Commish's Pick: Dominators by 15
Bruisers vs. Walkertown
The Bruisers have gotten great numbers from Jalen Hurts, and his matchup this week should also yield 20 or more. Expect Fournette and Montgomery to continue to build on good opportunities as well, thought the WR pair will have their work cut out for them. Lamb will need to step up against the Giants. Bateman's speed will likely net him a big play or two this week, though Gabe Davis is boom/bust. Should be hard-fought game.
The Football Team will need Burrow to get rolling much earlier than last week, as his bad first half cost them. Drake is gone (for the best), but Kittle and Jacobs are set to go this week. Can they both put up expected production? Davante and Deebo will both have big games, and that will fuel the day for Walkertown. Patterson will need to step up, as the RB tilt likely will swing the other way. Watch for a big game from Pittman to put WFT over the top.
Critical Matchup: TE - Higbee vs. Kittle
H2H Record: 15-11, Bruisers
Experts Pick: WFT by 2
ESPN Pick: Bruisers by 4
Commish's Pick: WFT by 6
Losers vs. Threat
From the top, it appears the Losers will win the QB matchup fairly easily, as Mahomes has a definitive edge vs. Wilson. The run game will be the real challenge for Ledford, as Mixon should excel but Penny is a question mark. The 3 WR's are likely to post double-digits, with AJ Brown and London both reaching at least 15. Robinson will be counted on in the Flex and could surprise today. Goedert is hit or miss in this one. Can the Broncos D keep the Niners in check?
As referenced above, the Threat could really use a better game from Wilson than what they've seen thus far. Kupp and Samuel should post solid days yet again, so the running game is where this one will be decided. Chubb already notched 17 on Thursday. Can Saquon and Chase Edmonds lend the needed support? Only one of the two will come through. Expect a big day from Waller. The Panthers D must step up, and they should post enough to get the Threat through.
Critical Matchup: WR2 - London vs. Samuel
H2H Record: 0-0, Tied
Experts Pick: Threat by 16
ESPN Pick: Threat by 6
Commish's Pick: Threat by 12
Wolves vs. Cheetahs
For the Wolves, a solid Week 1 gave way to a miserable Week 2, and they will look to their run game to get them back in the saddle. Henry needs to show his established value in a hurry against the Raiders. Najee provided a whelming 9 on Thursday (and the Steelers D just 1). Can Brady turn back the clock this week? Can Thomas and Thielen deliver enough value to keep the Wolves in this one? These questions mean it will be a tough win to get.
The Cheetahs also saw their performance dip in Week 2, and likewise will be counting on their stable of backs to assist the cause. Kareem only managed 7 on Thursday, but Dillon and CMC will both create a ton of value this week. The WR group is banged up, and Jakobi is not likely to be the answer. Gage should get a lot of targets and deliver 15+ points. For the Cheetahs to take the win, the Cowboys must bottle up Saquon and Kelce will need to post 20+. It will come down to Monday night.
Critical Matchup: WR1 - Thomas vs. Gage
H2H Record: 8-7, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Wolves by 10
ESPN Pick: Cheetahs by 8
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 2
Week 2 Review
Recap
What it was...
Quite a weekend. There were definitely highlights to go around...and some forgettable moments. As we kinda expected, Week 2 looked very different from Week 1. On the field and on the scoreboard.
The LOC is a wonderful mess right now, with only two teams left standing at 2-0 (Crushers, Addicts), eight teams at 1-1, and two (Qrew, Football Team) still chasing their first W. It's actually possible we could have all 12 teams at 2-1 or 1-2 next week. That would be fun (and hasn't happened before).
The Crushers hold the overall scoring lead, but it was the Dominators who blew the doors off the scoreboard in Week 2, cruising to a 165-point day and a single-game franchise points record. Two players scored over 40 this week, with the Dominators' Lamar (49.5) and Marauders' Tua (44) battling for big points.
Give me more stuff.
Those scoring records have been updated here. With some time, I plan to start adding content to the team pages and the history section soon. Still putting out requests for pictures of old draft hangouts/boards. Ones you don't mind using on a site that gets tens of views a week. The regularly kept records will be updated as well. Plus, we'll do some cool stuff with featured LOC highlights. The work continues.
Maybe everything will be okay!?
For teams that struggled in Week 1, there were some bounce-back performances that calmed the nerves. The Bruisers and Remix evened out their records this week with better showings, along with the aforementioned Dominators and Marauders as well.
With an identical number of teams (4) falling after a 1-0 start, it balanced out the equilibrium from last week. We have a huge wedge in the standings. We don't know a whole lot yet about who will emerge as the team(s) to beat, but what's clear is that it's anyone's ballgame at this point.
Let's get to the standouts...
The StaNDOUTs
OWner of The Week
Dolla Dominators - 165
Blowing out their previous franchise high of 153.5, the Dominators hit on nearly every cylinder to pace the league.
Power Player
Dominators - Lamar Jackson
Posting a top-5 individual score in LOC history, Lamar Jackson led Dolla with 49.5 and showed why he's an MVP candidate.
The Overcomer
Remix OG
With a big Monday night from Diggs (35.5) and a Miles Sanders assist, the Remix broke through late for the W.
Fantasy Fumble
Dire Wolves - 69
With only two players reaching double digits, the Wolves were fumbling at both ends in Week 2.
Negative, Sir
Marauders - Dolphins D/ST
When is a win kind of a loss? When your starting defense posts -8 points, a treat the Fins D provided the Marauders.
The Matchups
Crushers vs. Wolves
The Crushers rolled to 2-0, but it was on the strength of another solid week from their roster rather than the feeble effort the Wolves put up in response. The two key contributors were back again, as Waddle ripped off 33 points and Josh Allen posted 31 more. The Wolves (1-1) were hampered by a lack of production from their stars, as Henry, Brady and Pitts combined for just 17. Michael Thomas (13.5) continues to be a draft steal.
Marauders vs. Qrew
After a shocking Week 1, the Qrew were counting on Rodgers and Co. to turn things around quickly. He did play better (13) this week, while CEH continued to show and Tee Higgins (14) stepped up. However, injuries to Schulz and Conner lowered the points ceiling. The Marauders came to life with a blowout win, as Tua exploded for 44 and Aaron Jones tacked on 28 more. They get back to .500 (despite a -8 from the Dolphins D/ST).
Addicts vs. Threat
That Tyreek Hill fella is pretty good. His 39 plus another 21 from Mike Williams ensured the Addicts would move to 2-0. Balanced scoring overall helped offset down days from Taylor and the running game. The Threat had a decent day in defeat, getting a pair of 24.5's from Kupp and Chubb and another double-digit game from Saquon. Their biggest letdowns in this one were Russell Wilson's 7 and JuJu's no-show.
Bruisers vs. Cheetahs
There really weren't many close games this week, but this one flipped hard from the early results. The Cheetahs got a robust 23 from Herbert, and CMC added 16.5, but otherwise found little of the Week 1 magic at any other position. The Bruisers got another nice game from Bateman (21.5) and a bounce back from Montgomery (16), but Jalen Hurts was the story here. His 30.5 points on Monday night put the game on ice.
Dominators vs. Losers
What a game for the Dominators. When your QB goes for nearly 50, it's hard for anyone to keep up. Add 32.5 from Amon-Ra St. Brown and 25 from the Bills D, and it all sums up as a franchise record week. If there was a real fault to find in the Losers effort, it was the subpar rushing day from Mixon and Penny (combined for 11 vs. 25 in Week 1). Mahomes came back to earth this week, but Drake London's 18.5 was a nice indicator moving forward.
Remix vs. Walkertown
This turned out to be the only tight contest down the stretch, as the Remix had to work a little extra hard on Monday night to get past (and stay past, Kirk!) the Football Team. The OG's got a big payday from Diggs with 35.5 points, which was enough to ensure victory by day's end. Walkertown got a nice lift from the Bucs D (25), but otherwise only Deebo and McPherson reached double-digits. Injuries are testing both teams' depth early.
Week 2 Quick Picks
Week 2 is upon us. Divisional matchups for the Rest while the NLS matches up with WS. I'm away from computers for the most part this weekend (unless you count the evil machines of Cherokee) but wanted to get something up for the preview, however paltry.
Here--quite summarily--are some picks for the week.
Crushers vs. Wolves
These two 1-0's will both put up promising starts, but the Wolves will edge away late with Henry and Thielen.
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 7
H2H Record: 7-6, Wolves
Marauders vs. Qrew
Rodgers bounces back and Justin Jefferson goes for another 20+ as the Qrew sweep past the Marauders.
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 10
H2H Record: 16-9, Crew
Addicts vs. Threat
A big game from Jonathan Taylor vs. a big rushing combo from Chubb/Saquon pushes this one to the very end.
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 5
H2H Record: 1-0, Addicts
Cheetahs vs. Bruisers
The Cheetahs ride big days from CMC and Kareem Hunt to a win despite a Monday night run from the Bruisers.
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 3
H2H Record: 9-9, Tied
Losers vs. Dominators
A close battle that sees lead changes but ultimately comes down to Dalvin Cook vs. AJ Brown.
Commish's Pick: Losers by 5
H2H Record: 5-3, Losers
WFT vs. Remix
The Walkertown receiving corps will give them a boost, but Kirk Cousins will have the final say in this one.
Commish's Pick: Remix by 2
H2H Record: 6-4, Remix
Week 1 Review
Recap
So there you have it! A somewhat sloppy, unpredictable, chaotic, and head-scratching Week 1 is in the books. Many teams looked predictably disorganized and rusty. In LOC terms, while the toll wasn't quite as obvious, we did see some curious results filter down to the stat sheet. Mahomes put up a huge day for the Losers as projected in their win over the Qrew, while Rodgers had the opposite sort of day. The Crushers were the top scorer this week in their comeback win over the Dominators, just edging out the Threat for league's high water mark thus far. Speaking of the current champs, they handled business in a fiercely fought matchup with the Football Team. The Cheetahs lived up to the early projections in their victory, while the Wolves overcame injury to cruise to 1-0 as well. To round out the winner's column, the Addicts sneaked out a late victory in a low-scoring scrum with the Bruisers.
Waivers officially kick off tonight, so it's a good chance to start plugging leaks in the lineup. Don't panic or celebrate just yet. The season stretching out in front of us may not well resemble the first episode.
Let's kick off the review with some accolades for this week, along with a few lowlights to balance things out. Then we'll turn our attention to the individual matchups.
STANDOUTS
OWner of The Week
Cliff's Crushers - 140.5
The Crushers led Week 1 team scoring on Josh Allen's 29.5 points and a pair of 20+ efforts from Chase and Jeudy.
Power Player
Ledford's Losers - Patrick Mahomes
Mahomes lived up to the projections, leading all individual scorers with 36.5 points to pace the LOC in Week 1.
The Overcomer
Cliff's Crushers
Trailing by 21.5 points entering Monday, Jerry Jeudy (21) and Javonte's 14 helped lift them to a comeback win.
Fantasy Fumble
Remix OG - 75
With 7 players scoring less than 6 points, the Remix found the league basement and 'mash unit' status in Week 1.
Negative, Sir
Qrew - Aaron Rodgers
The only sub-zero starter was one you wouldn't expect, as A-Rodge posted a -1 to assist the Qrew in defeat.
The Matchups
Crushers vs. Dominators
These two put on a solid fight, with the Crushers edging out the Doms late, thanks to some Monday magic from Jeudy and Javonte. The Dominators got a great opener from D'Andre Swift, and his 24.5 led the charge. The Bills D and Lamar Jackson also reached 20+ in support. The only "underachievement" in the starting lineup for Dolla was Singletary's 6.5 in the Flex. The Crushers had a big game from Josh Allen (29.5) and the two Broncos, with solid support from Gibson (16) and Waddle (14) to ensure victory and an OTW for Week 1.
Threat vs. Walkertown
The Threat picked up right where they left off last season, extending their winning streak to 6 games and handling the capable Football Team in another high-scoring affair. Saquon was the star of the show with 30 big points, while Kupp added 25.5 and Russell slow-cooked 20 more. For the Walkertown team, the receiving points were there to keep it close, and Davante led the charge with 24. Pittman earned his draft status with 22.5, while the Cordarelle kicked in 21 in the run game. With Kittle sidelined and Deebo quiet, this one went TLM's way.
Losers vs. Qrew
The Return of the Led-i proved a successful one, as the Losers jumped out to an early lead and never looked back. Despite the Keenan and Mitchell injuries and a no-show from Robinson, LL got ample points from Mahomes (36.5) while AJ Brown showed his worth with 22.5 to help pick up the slack. The aforementioned bad Rodgers game hurt the Qrew's chances, though Justin Jefferson's 9/184/2 brought home 32.5 points to ease some of the pain. Higgins underwhelmed in this one, but the 4:20 running game did outperform expectations.
Cheetahs vs. Remix
Overcoming injury questions entering the matchup, the Cheetahs got solid contributions from key players to cruise by the Remix in this one. Herbert led with 22, while Kelce posted a top-tier 21 to lead TE scoring. Doubs and Pierce underwhelmed in their debuts, but Dillon contributed 15.5 to aid the cause. The Remix will scrub this one from the memory banks, as Dak got hurt, Kamara was hobbled, and several starters sat out. Stefon Diggs certainly provided highlights with 25 points as team lead, and Sanders' 15 was nice, but overall a letdown game.
Wolves vs. Marauders
The Wolves brought their 3-headed rushing attack in as the potential headline, yet it was their complementary players that lifted them to victory over the Marauders. The Steelers D erupted for 24, while TJ Watt was ferocious with 17 (though injured in battle). Koo kicked in 21, and Mike Thomas had a good showing. MIM couldn't find momentum from any of their high-round picks, as it was the Dolphins D (20) that paced them in defeat. Tua's 12 was the second-highest outing in what was a forgettable week for the Marauders.
Addicts vs. Bruisers
This matchup proved to be a close one throughout, with slow swings back and forth that ultimately favored the Addicts. A win is a win, and nothing was certain until DK Metcalf put them over the top on Monday night. Jon Taylor was clearly the star of the game (25), while Tyreek contributed 15 more in the contest. The Bruisers got a promising effort from Hurts with 21, and Fournette's 16.5 should be replicable, but they were let down by CeeDee (3.5) and a pair of goose eggs from Kmet and Akers.
Lastly, how did the commish do on his opening week picks? A blind-monkey approved 3-3. I'll try harder in Week 2. Hopefully you will too.
Week 1 Preview
Mahomes (Ledford's Losers) projects as the highest scorer in Wk 1.
The first Sunday of football has arrived! Season 17 is a full go.
Hopefully your lineup is set and you're ready to go 1-0. Unfortunately, only 6 of us will reach that mark after today. Optimism abounds until then. Here's where all of those draft grades and expert assessments prove to be accurate or completely foolish.
Regardless of outcomes, we'll all learn a bit more about our rosters and get a clearer picture than the one we had on draft day.
I've got a plan to approach Previews/Reviews a bit differently this year, but given all the time already invested this week, this first preview will be short and simple. We'll explore a different format in the near future.
Week 1 features the NLS and Rest divisions facing off, while the WS division goes head-to-head.
Good luck to all of you!
Crushers vs. Dominators
Summary: Josh Allen (29.5) got the Crushers off to a great start Thursday, but Knox failed to show and the Bills D outpaced projections with 21 for Dolla. The Crushers WR group looks to have the upper hand here, while the rushing matchup should swing Dolla's way. Antonio Gibson needs to make the most of his opportunity this week for Cliff, while the Niners D and Jerry Jeudy must both reach double digits. The Doms will need Elijah Moore and St. Brown to show up, though Andrews and Cook should carry weight. If Lamar can come through, it will be the difference in this one. Should be close either way.
Critical Matchup: WR2 - Waddle vs. Moore
H2H Record: 9-5, Dominators
Experts Pick: Dominators by 6
ESPN Pick: Dominators by 2
Commish's Pick: Dominators by 4
Addicts vs. Bruisers
Summary: The Bruisers got no help from Cam Akers on Thursday, but Jalen Hurts carries the 2nd-highest points projection this week. Can he outduel Carr in the QB matchup? Addicts #1 pick Jonathan Taylor should be a force against the Texans D, though GK will look to their receiving trio to give them a winning edge here. Tyreek is the X-factor in this matchup. CeeDee Lamb must deliver WR1 numbers for the Bruisers, the Ravens need to take advantage of a soft matchup against the Jets, and Fournette needs to keep pace with Taylor as much as possible. With those questions, this one trends toward the Addicts.
Critical Matchup: WR1 - Hill vs. Lamb
H2H Record: 15-13, Addicts
Experts Pick: Addicts by 6
ESPN Pick: Addicts by 9
Commish's Pick: Addicts by 10
Qrew vs. Losers
Summary: This looks to be the most competitive matchup of the week on paper. Rodgers vs. Mahomes is one to watch. Both are adjusting to new wideouts. For the Losers, Mixon and Mitchell need to deliver on their draft value, but they should carry a slight edge over Conner and CEH. Conner (without Edmonds) should post 15-20. CEH is a wild card. The WR battle will be close, but keep an eye on Marquise Brown for the Qrew. No Rondale Moore means Hollywood could deliver a huge day. Jefferson should be a top-3 finisher. Can Keenan Allen get the target volume to keep up? The TE battle is likely a wash, and this one may come down to the Defenses. Qrew sneak by on Monday night.
Critical Matchup: WR1 - Jefferson vs. Allen
H2H Record: 7-7, Tied
Experts Pick: Qrew by 4
ESPN Pick: Qrew by 11
Commish's Pick: Qrew by 2
Football Team vs. Threat
Summary: The champs got off to a roaring start with 25.5 from Kupp vs. the Bills, but he's squared up against Davante Adams on the other side, who should post something close to that for Walkertown. Depends on how many targets Waller pulls as well. Burrow gets the nod at QB, but the rushing attack for WFT will be interesting. Jacobs may be feast or famine. Patterson is a question mark, but his versatility is an asset. Chubb and Barkley lead the Threat RB room, and both have upside but uncertainty. Watch Chase Edmonds in the flex. If Deebo can pick up where he left off, expect WFT to win the receiving battle. How much will JuJu contribute in KC? Russell Wilson will determine winner here.
Critical Matchup: RB2 - Patterson vs. Barkley
H2H Record: 2-1, WFT
Experts Pick: TLM by 8
ESPN Pick: TLM by 18
Commish's Pick: WFT by 3
Remix vs. Cheetahs
Summary: It appears Stefon Diggs (25) is going to have a great year for the Remix, but how well will McLaurin do in the Commies offense? Against the Jags, he should be fine. The OG's are also rolling with the Washington defense, but that could go either way. The Cheetahs draft drew high praise from the experts, but questions about receiving depth are up first. Evans (and Godwin, if he plays) will carry the water, but Doubs is a dice roll. Regardless, a healthy CMC and Travis Kelce should drive scoring early and often. The Colts D and Justin Tucker will lend great support, and Herbert is the right call at QB. Dak is back for the Remix, and if he and Kamara do the expected work, it will come down to the wire.
Critical Matchup: RB2 - Sanders vs. Dillon
H2H Record: 9-3, Cheetahs
Experts Pick: Cheetahs by 6
ESPN Pick: Remix by 13
Commish's Pick: Cheetahs by 3
Wolves vs. Marauders
Summary: The only matchup entering Sunday with no points on the board, this one projects to be a nail-biter. However, there are clues that it won't be nearly so close. Brady leads the Wolves at QB, and he should outduel Tua with ease. The Marauders boast a solid 1-2 with Ekeler and Jones, but that won't compare to the 3-headed RB attack of Derrick Henry, Najee, and Zeke. Key WR points from Moore and Cooks will have to be there (along with Sutton at flex) to try to counter the Dire rushing edge. Pitts at TE is another positional win for the Wolves, compounded by Ertz not being entirely healthy. Thielen and Thomas are unknowns entering the year, but it won't keep Dire from getting the win.
Critical Matchup: FLX - Elliot vs. Sutton
H2H Record: 11-4, Marauders
Experts Pick: Marauders by 1
ESPN Pick: Wolves by 1
Commish's Pick: Wolves by 10
LOC REST Preview
BENNY'S BRUISERS
Last Year 4-10 // 11th
The '21 Bruisers were coming off a playoff berth the season before, and a renewed pursuit of winning fantasy football seemed in place. Led by stud TE Kelce and a dynamic pairing of Herbert and Mike Williams, the table was set for plenty of success. Unfortunately for the Ben express, the starting gates never opened. A 1-9 start (with only 3 weeks of reaching 100 points) doomed any chance the team might have had. David Montgomery got injured and Allen Robinson had a tough year. Herbert was by far the team standout, and Kelce chipped in 12.6 ppg, but WR/waiver decisions didn't keep BB afloat early enough. A late run of winning 4 out of the last 5 prevented a mirroring of the infamous '06 season.
2022 Outlook
This should be an improved squad over last year's unit (even without Herbert). The first question is whether Fournette can carry the water as RB1. He's projected to do so, but the Commish hates Brady-led teams. Montgomery gets another go, though Akers could well supplant him at RB2 or provide service at the Flex. Jalen Hurts is a viable starter who could take the next step and elevate this team. Cole Kmet and Gesicki will outperform at the TE spot. WR depth is questionable, with CeeDee leading the way but a supporting cast with uncertainties. Will Devonta Smith still eat (now that AJ Brown's in town)? Will Gabe Davis continue his upswing? Olave looks like a nice waiver steal. Carlson and the Ravens D are both serviceable options on the back end of the starting unit. BB projects as a .500 level team with upside.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 5th
Composite Team Ranking: 7th
Projected Team Record: 8-6
Commish's Pick: 7-7
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LEDFORD'S LOSERS
Last Year N/A
The Losers have historically fielded a sound team (barring the slide in '15 and a disengaged '16 effort). They made playoff runs in '12 and '14, and won the points title in '14 as well. Gone are the Drew Brees days of yore, but LL can hang their hat on a couple of noteworthy accomplishments: the highest single game score of all time (208.5) and the highest individual player score of all time (54). They now make their return for a 9th campaign in the LOC. Can they regain some of the old magic?
2022 Outlook
One way to ensure relevance every week is to have a game-breaking QB in the bag. Mahomes is certainly that, and his top-3 projection for the position would be impressive (with Tyreek gone). Regardless, there will be plenty of points there. The Losers grabbed Joe Mixon in the first, and he projects as a high-end RB1 in many rankings (5 avg). Elijah Mitchell should complement, and Penny seems primed to outperform his ADP. The receiving group seems legit at the top, with AJ Brown and Keenan Allen sure to produce, and Allen Robinson hoping for a return to form. Depth is at least sound (including London). Aaron Donald is a great IDP option, but the Broncos D may be past its best days. Succop is middling. The Losers don't project well in the rankings at all, but the Commish believes they've got playoff upside.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 11th
Composite Team Ranking: 12th
Projected Team Record: 5-9
Commish's Pick: 8-6
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DOLLA' DOMINATORS
Last Year 9-5 // 2nd - LOC East Winner
Kind of a fantasy throwback vibe to the Dominators in '21, where the reliance on a strong running game fueled a division title and a second title game appearance. It didn't appear that would be the case early, as a 1-3 start suggested that the 10-year playoff drought might continue. Calvin Ridley was lost for the year, and despite promising efforts elsewhere, postseason hopes were on the brink. Even with Dalvin Cook missing a couple of games, the slack was picked up by Josh Allen, Mark Andrews, and D'Andre Swift. Their performances fueled a winning run of 7 of the next 8 games. Outrunning the rest of the East, the Dolla's won both playoff games and put up a solid championship effort. A season to be proud of.
2022 Outlook
The consensus is that the Dominators will pick up right where they left off. Dalvin Cook and D'Andre Swift are both back to anchor the running game (both Top 10 projected), while Singletary and Dalvin's lil brother should provide adequate depth. Lamar might be a slight step back from Josh Allen, but he could easily match the output if he continues to add run yards (and stays healthy). The biggest issue this year will likely be the receiving group. Amon-Ra St. Brown makes a solid case to be strong WR2, but there is no clear cut #1. To make it work, Aiyuk or Elijah Moore will have to elevate their production quickly. Mark Andrews is back at TE, and he's certain to be a top-3 end with plenty of combo points from Lamar. The Bills D only got better this offseason, meaning there is plenty of optimism to go around for this team.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 2nd
Composite Team Ranking: 2nd
Projected Team Record: 10-4
Commish's Pick: 9-5
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CONOVER CHEETAHS
Last Year 5-9 // 9th
When you've qualified for the postseason in 8 of the 15 seasons you've played and won 2 LOC titles, success is something you get used to. Entering last year (as Lights! Kamara! Jackson!) it has been 11 years since the James gang had seen a losing season. A 2-6 start meant all bets were off. Soon Kamara was gone, Jackson was injured and the Cheetah was the last man standing when the lights were dimmed. Though there was a phenomenal 160-point effort in Week 5. Trades brought Diggs, Keenan Allen, Darren Waller and CMC into the fold. The shuffles brought mixed results, given that Waller/CMC both were injured and couldn't contribute to a late-season upswing. The injury luck wasn't great, but it was unusual.
2022 Outlook
The outlook for this team is certainly high in practically every ranking exercise. Two strong QB's in Herbert and Murray should provide a good starting quandary every week. Both are projected as Top-5 starters. With CMC back (and healthy), the running game should be just fine. If he doesn't stay healthy, there will be concerns about strength in the category, though Hunt/Pierce/Dillon could prove worthy of weekly play. Kelce is still the TE to own, and he's projected 3.5 ppg above position average among the drafted TE's. The reliance on Bucs WR's might be a smart maneuver (a la the '15 Odells with Denver), but depth may be an issue unless MVS proves to be a value pick. The Colts D and Justin Tucker are both top-tier options in D/ST. Barring the unforeseen, it appears to be a postseason return year for this franchise.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 3rd
Composite Team Ranking: 1st
Projected Team Record: 10-4
Commish's Pick: 10-4
LOC NLS Preview
THE 4:20 QREW
Last Year 8-6 // 6th (Wild Card)
The Crew (and their various spelling iterations) are no stranger to success. As a franchise, they've made the postseason more often (10x) than anyone else, so their trip to last year's 6-team dance wasn't a surprise. After an opening week loss, they won 4 straight and found a balanced approach, led by their rushing combo of Najee/AJ and the Brady to Godwin connection. They reached the 150-point mark twice en route to challenge for the Central crown, but an unlucky receiving situation (Godwin injury, McLaurin slide) capped their output late in the year. They dropped their last 4--including the playoffs, eliminating any chance to become the LOC's first 4-time champion. An acceptable season but without a late surge.
2022 Outlook
A new division, a new roster. Despite being anchored by two top-flight QB's in Stafford and Rodgers, the projections seem to indicate fall-off years for both. Time will tell. Regardless, it would be foolish to think either isn't capable of another top-5 season. An Arizona double-dip sees James Conner (now without the Edmonds handcuff) and Hollywood Brown as either-or gameplan options, while CEH will need to step up or may lose his share of carries. Overall, the WR group will be a force. Jefferson should finish Top-3 at the position, and Tee Higgins is slated for Top-8 production. Diontae J and Hollywood are solid, but its Julio who may just be an absolute steal (he's likely to run Gronk routes in TB). Schulz is an every-week TE, and the Eagles D can always be swapped out later if they underachieve. Playoff-capable group, but a tough outcome to predict.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 6th
Composite Team Ranking: 4th
Projected Team Record: 9-5
Commish's Pick: 8-6
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CLIFF'S CRUSHERS
Last Year 4-10 // 10th
The Crushers have been accused (whether fairly or not) of mailing it in after bad starts, but as a 2x champion, the belief is that they just haven't had a good run lately. Last year was emblematic of their struggles since 2018, as after winning in Week 1, they proceeded to drop 7 of their next 8. A draft day illness landed them Saquon in the first round, and neither he nor they ever found solid footing. Michael Thomas never suited up, furthering the core weakness that made progress difficult for the Crushers. Joe Mixon was solid all year long, and Jalen Hurts proved a valuable late pick, but it wasn't enough to carry the team. Forgettable would be a kind description of the season, but at least it's all in the past now.
2022 Outlook
The first step in righting the ship was to nab JaMarr Chase...a man who scored 53 points in the '21 championship. That was a gimme in Round 1. Then it was Josh Allen in the 2nd, who is slated to be the top QB overall this year. The running game is led by Javonte (who slots as a RB2 until/unless he hogs Gordon's share) and Antonio Gibson, both of whom are capable, but are wait-and-see. Chase and Waddle will make for a formidable 1-2 punch at WR, so if Jeudy can deliver at the 3, that will take some of the positional depth questions out of the mix. A trip to the wire before bye weeks will be necessary. The Niners D will excel as expected, and Knox may get some connection points from Allen at TE. This team isn't perfect, but they could challenge for the division.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 4th
Composite Team Ranking: 5th
Projected Team Record: 8-6
Commish's Pick: 9-5
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REMIX OG
Last Year 5-9 // 7th
There was a point in which the Remix settled into a capable weekly challenge, but a 2-5 start and continued trades with the Cheetahs never really got them out of the woods. Sending an injured CMC away was probably the right call, and Kamara certainly carried his weight when healthy, but he also struggled to stay active. Miles Sanders underperformed, and the Odell dice roll never materialized in time. It wasn't all bad, as Dak and CeeDee Lamb connected early and often, while Stefon Diggs bolstered the WR group consistently until he was traded for Keenan Allen (who did just fine himself). All in all, another down year for the Remix that they will look to move on from with a roster reset. Or...
2022 Outlook
It doesn't require a double-take to realize that the OG band is getting back together in '22. Dak, AK, Sanders, and Diggs are all here again. But this time, there is more depth to support their efforts. CeeDee is gone, but McLaurin and Mooney step in as WR2's behind Diggs. Lazard is a sleeper who could end up being the top WR for Rodgers in Green Bay. Depth is pretty set there. JK Dobbins and James Robinson (finally healthy) join the RB fold, again providing solid depth, though rankers feel the run game is a player away. Neither defense inspires much confidence, but overall this team is better than projected. For now, they are more likely to reach .500 than projections suggested, but if things hold up, they could make life difficult for their NLS counterparts.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 8th
Composite Team Ranking: 10th
Projected Team Record: 6-8
Commish's Pick: 7-7
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GHETTO KRACKADDICTS
Last Year 8-6 // 5th (Wild Card)
2021 was a story of what might have been for the Addicts, as they looked fairly dominant the first half of the year and appeared poised to be one of the top seeds entering the postseason after a 7-2 start. Burrow and Russell Wilson provided consistent QB play, while Deebo lit up the scoreboard and DK ate up defenses early. Jonathan Taylor set himself apart as the leader of the team (and nearly the league). Then things got quirky, as Metcalf and James Robinson sputtered down the stretch. This contributed to GK losing 4 of their last 5 in a tight East division race, and they had to Wild Card their way into the playoffs. They righted the ship after a Week 15 play-in loss and took a 5th place finish. Still a good season overall.
2022 Outlook
How do you make a running game led by Taylor not just a one-horse show? Repeat the formula from last year, by adding youth with upside. Breece Hall and Travis Etienne are the candidates for that updraft, and they will determine whether this unit is well-rounded or not. Anchoring the QB spot is a duo of Carr and Trey Lance, though it seems likely that Carr will carry the weight there. The WR corps is as capable as any, with Tyreek likely to outperform expectations and Mike Williams a quiet threat at projected WR16. Add Amari and DK as the 3 and 4, and you've got a lot of reasons for optimism. The Rams D is still a valid option every week. This team is projected both poorly and highly depending on the source, but it seems they have the talent to be back in the playoff mix.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 12th
Composite Team Ranking: 9th
Projected Team Record: 5-9
Commish's Pick: 7-7
LOC WS Preview
MITCHELL'S MARAUDERS
Last Year 6-8 // 8th
The Marauders entered '21 looking to defend their '20 title, and even brought back their best connection (Kyler to Hopkins) in hopes of another lightning strike. Ekeler was drafted to lead the run game (and he scored 20 TDs), and Cooks and Keenan Allen brought in to support the WR strength. Things appeared promising for awhile, as MIM got out to a 6-3 record after 9 weeks. That is when the wheels fell off. They dropped their next 5 games straight, evaporating their playoff hopes. A trade to bring in running game help didn't pan out, and both Hopkins and Kareem Hunt were hurt. A dismal finish left them out of the mix, and some waiver miscues certainly contributed. Their 3rd sub-.500 season in the last 4.
2022 Outlook
Ekeler is back to lead the rushing attack, and he's joined by Aaron Jones. Depth may be a concern here, unless Mostert/Carter break out. In the receiving department, DJ Moore will get a turn with a new QB, which could go either way. The rest of the WR's are a balanced group, with Sutton/Cooks/Kirk all capable 2's. Whether the net effects (and starting choices) are sound remains to be seen. Tua was a late pick that clearly only the Commish believes in, but that faith may not be permanent. The Dolphins D is a solid but sometimes inconsistent unit. The overall prognosis for this team is that the Marauders aren't likely to show any improvement over last year. Doing so will require a lot of shuffling and waiver gold.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 9th
Composite Team Ranking: 8th
Projected Team Record: 6-8
Commish's Pick: 5-9
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DIRE WOLVES
Last Year 5-9 // 12th
With their first pick, the Wolves netted their new franchise cornerstone, Derrick Henry. They then leaned on an old friend in George Kittle and decided to roll the dice with the 2 TE set. Waller and Kittle are certainly formidable when healthy, but they couldn't stay that way at the same time last year. Julio and DJ Moore couldn't seem to carry the WR corps, and then Henry got hurt. Waller was eventually traded. Things went from bad to worse for a team still very much alive at 4-4 through 8 weeks. Including the postseason, they rang up only 1 win in their last 9. Elijah Mitchell was a nice waiver add, but some of the hope-so's didn't pan out. QB became a revolving door. The Dire straits were left with an L4 entering '22.
2022 Outlook
The Wolves swing into '22 with a lot more optimism after a sound draft. They boast the best top-3 RB's in the league, with keeper Henry leading and Najee and Zeke close behind. Old man Brady will play his last season at the Wolves helm, which should lead to a few solid scores as well. While the WR group does leave some questions ahead (and were drafted late in the day), they all have sneaky upside. Mike Thomas and Thielen are both studs of old, but can they regain form and stay healthy? If not, things will get interesting in a hurry. Kyle Pitts will be a force again this year in an otherwise-depleted Falcons lineup. Defensively, the Steelers will probably find their way to the wire. The Wolves should find the playoffs.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 2nd
Composite Team Ranking: 2nd
Projected Team Record: 10-4
Commish's Pick: 10-4
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THREAT LEVEL MIDNIGHT
Last Year 9-5 // LOC Champions
A team doesn't just waltz into the LOC and claim the title. There are far too many variables and experienced managers for that to happen. Somehow the Threat managed to do exactly that. After an opening week loss, they cranked out 6 wins in their next 7, ascending as the regular season moved toward its close. They got into the postseason with a Wild Card and proceeded to sweep the higher seeds in route to a place in league history. Looking back, only CEH was a disappointment. JaMarr Chase was a stud all year (especially in the playoffs), Nick Chubb cranked yards to keep the RB room working, and Stafford to Cooper Kupp proved a nearly unbeatable combo. Nowhere to go from here but...um...
2022 Outlook
Down? Only if you believe the "experts". Russell Wilson should have a great year, though there are questions as to whether it will happen. Getting Chubb back in the mix is a good call (especially given their QB situation), but he has also slipped in the ranks. A bounce-back year for Saquon would do the trick nicely. Keep an eye on that. And with Cooper Kupp back for another go, there's no reason to believe the WR points will diminish too much for the Threat. JuJu is a wild card, and Chase Claypool will be a bit target-dependent, but they both carry upside. Waller is a great TE option this year, with defenses having to focus on Davante Adams. And no one should sleep on the Saints D. Is it all enough? Time will tell.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 7th
Composite Team Ranking: 6th
Projected Team Record: 7-7
Commish's Pick: 6-8
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WALKERTOWN FOOTBALL TEAM
Last Year 11-3 // 4th (West Champs)
It was as impressive of a season as we've seen from Walkertown, and it continued the franchise's building momentum over recent years. For a while, it appeared they would be unstoppable. Rodgers to Adams combo points lit up the scoreboard, while Justin Jefferson emerged to join Adams as a fierce some WR duo. From Weeks 5-14, the Team lost only once, rattling off high scores every week. As the #1 seed was locked up early, they earned the first ever bye week in LOC history and finished at 11-3. It was simply a matter of who WFT would play in the postseason. Unfortunately, that joyride would end suddenly in the semifinals with a 14-point loss in a shootout against the Threat. A commendable season.
2022 Outlook
It's hard to elevate the roster after last season, so the retooled Football Team brought back the one piece they most believed in: Davante Adams. He will pair up Deebo to form a solid 1-2 at WR. Pittman is right behind them as WR3, meaning Walkertown will win the receiving points battle most weeks. And let's not forget that by midseason, DeAndre Hopkins will be back. That will make this group the best in the LOC. With Matt Ryan tossing the rock, there will be ups and downs, but perhaps more ups in the Colts system. Josh Jacobs is back at RB, but there are questions behind him. Can Patterson be the slash player who fills the RB2 shoes? There is work to be done in this department. Kittle is still a solid TE option. The rankers are down on WFT, but they could be back in the postseason.
Expectations
Starting Player Rank: 10th
Composite Team Ranking: 10th
Projected Team Record: 5-9
Commish's Pick: 8-6
Season Preview
Welcome back, LOC! Season 17 is cranking up this week, and we're just about set for another exciting and unpredictable fantasy campaign. The draft is complete, the rosters are loaded up, the parameters are set. In just a couple of days, everything NFL-related will count towards LOC outcomes.
Every new year brings changes. This year, we've welcomed back an old owner (and bidden farewell to the most controversial one), we've launched a new website that will eventually house all things League Of Champions, we've got new themed divisions, and we've increased dues slightly to make for a more rewarding postseason. No more weekly payouts, no more 4-team playoff, and nearly no more TE position. Since ESPN never changed the scoring settings, our approved kicker points adjustment will have to wait until next year.
The season preview is a tradition that has endured since our second year as a league. Sometimes your friendly commish overdoes it with preview length, though to be fair, there have been a couple of 3-paragraph mail-ins over the years too. One thing that doesn't change: before we dive into the year ahead, we have to take a look back at the previous season. What happened then, and are there any takeaways?
Looking Back
2021 was another year where predictions and outcomes did not match up. No one expected a first-year owner to win the title, but Will and his Threat Level Midnight squad did exactly that, taking the Wild Card path and finishing strong to become our 9th champion in 16 years. The Walkertown Football Team was an absolute force, winning their first points title, running an 11-3 regular season and earning a #1 seed. Their third consecutive postseason trip ended with an upset loss to TLM, but they again put together another solid year. The Dolla' Dominators surged into the playoffs, winning 6 of their last 7 and clipping their opponents in route to a second title game appearance. They also came up just shy against a potent Threat team in the LOC Bowl.
On the other end of that spectrum, teams with higher expectations crashed and burned. The defending champion Marauders skidded to a unimpressive 6-8 finish after a strong start, while the perennial contending Cheetahs/LKJ group had a sub .500 season to forget. Two other 2x champs, the Crushers and Bruisers never seemed to get off the ground. They'll also wipe the slate clean and look for an improved '22.
How do the outcomes from last year compare to the predictions made at the beginning? Let's take a look. Here--in order of initial roster ppg projections--are accompanying projected records from the experts (and the commish) for '21, along with the actual final record. [E-Experts, C-Commish, A-Actual]
1 Remix – E: 10-4, C: 9-5, A: 5-9
2 Dolla – E: 9-5, C: 9-5, A: 9-5
3 Bruisers – E: 8-6, C: 9-5, A: 4-10
4 WFT – E: 10-4, C: 9-5, A: 11-3
5 LKJ – E: 10-4, C: 9-5, A: 5-9
6 Crew – E: 7-7, C: 8-6, A: 8-6
7 Threat – E: 7-7, C: 7-7, A: 9-5
8 MIM – E: 6-8, C: 7-7, A: 6-8
9 Wolves – E: 9-5, C:8-6, A: 5-9
10 Guard – E: 5-9, C: 6-8, A: 10-4
11 Addicts – E: 6-8, C: 7-7, A: 8-6
12 Crushers – E: 5-9, C: 6-8, A: 4-10
By season's end, the league was split right down the middle, with six .500+ teams and six losing records. The experts got it mostly right with teams like the Dominators, WFT, Crushers and Marauders. But what of the teams with initially strong outlooks? The experts missed on several of those. The Remix, Wolves, Bruisers and LKJ/Cheetahs all came up well short of expectations based on their starting rosters. Additionally, teams like the Crew and Addicts overcame mediocre projections to make the postseason.
You know the old saying “You can't win your league on draft day, but you can definitely lose it?” It's mostly accurate, but injuries, trades and roster mismanagement can always tank a team with a ton of post-draft promise, so that is certainly a factor. It can't be ignored that the experts often get it wrong.
One thing we'll expand on in this year's preview is playoff odds. For the last few seasons, it has been a flat number. How accurate was it last year? The playoff entrants are in bold, but here is the list in order from last preseason.
1 Remix - 60%
2 Dominators - 57%
3 Bruisers - 53%
4 WFT - 50%
5 LKJ - 48%
6 Crew - 47%
7 Wolves - 47%
8 Threat - 44%
9 MIM - 43%
10 Guard - 41%
11 Addicts - 39%
12 Crushers - 31%
So yeah. Need any more indicators of parity/unpredictability? You aren't bound by any external percentages. The ability to overcome initial expectations has been validated many times over the years. The Threat were projected with a 44% chance of entry, but their Points Against average was the only one below 100ppg. That was enough (along with due credit for team management) to get them two additional wins...and you know what happened next.
Don't let a mediocre draft (on paper) derail your optimism. What you do in the next 6 weeks will set the table for a strong year as much as your starting roster.
'22 Draft Ranks
Regardless of what is to come, at this very moment, all we have to go on is your drafted roster and the experts' projections for each of these groups. Let's start with draft grades. Here are a couple of third-party assignments for each team's overall roster, in order.
Cheetahs: 100
Addicts: 97
Crew: 90
Crushers: 88
Threat: 88
Dominators: 87
Wolves: 86
Bruisers: 86
Marauders: 86
WFT: 84
Losers: 84
Remix: 71 (85 after IDP add)
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And a different ranking system:
Cheetahs: A+
Wolves: A
Threat: A
Dominators: A-
Losers: B+
WFT: B+
Crew: B+
Marauders: B
Addicts: B
Crushers: B-
Bruisers: C+
Remix: C (B after IDP add)
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Finally, here's ESPN's (always interesting) draft ranks as seen on their site:
Dominators
Crushers
Wolves
Crew
Cheetahs
Bruisers
Threat
Marauders
WFT
Remix (9 starters)
Addicts
Losers
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Notice all that variance? The supposed experts don't agree on too much here. One bit of research that generally provides an accurate value of your current roster is projected points averages for your top 10 players. Here are those numbers in order:
Dominators: 115.3
Wolves: 112.0
Cheetahs: 111.9
Crushers: 111.2
Bruisers: 110.1
Crew: 109.6
Threat: 109.4
Remix: 109.2 (adj.)
Marauders: 107.8
WFT: 107.2
Losers: 106.0
Addicts: 104.4
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So...which is it? The Addicts squad that got the second-highest draft grade or the one projected to score the least per game? The Remix team flipping the script with low expectations in contrast to their top projections last year? These are the questions no preview can truly answer. The information is provided here as a point of interest, a basic reflection of a presumed starting point. It's up to you to make the experts look silly and the projections less impactful than your personal strategy.
Playoff Projections
Let's revisit the playoff % gauge referenced earlier. This year, the playoff projection is three-tiered. Hopefully this will be a more accurate picture of your team's current odds to make the playoffs, since it is based on who you've rostered and how well you manage them. A proper range of outcomes.
The 3 levels are as such: EM – Excellent Management GM- Good Management AM – Average Management. This scale assumes that even at the AM level, you are still trying. Here it is by division:
Rest
Losers: EM: 75% / GM: 60% / AM: 45%
Cheetahs: EM: 99% / GM: 99% / AM: 92%
Dominators: EM: 90% / GM: 80% / AM: 73%
Bruisers: EM: 65% / GM: 45% / AM: 26%
NLS
Crushers: EM: 80% / GM: 65% / AM: 53%
Addicts: EM:75% / GM: 65% / AM: 47%
Crew: EM: 75% / GM: 65% / AM: 48%
Remix: EM: 70% / GM: 55% / AM: 40% (adj.)
WS
Wolves: EM: 90% / GM: 85% / AM: 79%
Walkertown: EM: 75% / GM: 65% / AM: 50%
Threat: EM: 90% / GM: 85% / AM: 79%
Marauders: EM: 70% / GM: 55% / AM: 40%
One thing is evident from these ranges...if you manage your team smartly, you're almost assured a postseason spot. Average won't cut it for half of the league. Undoubtedly, someone will contribute a less-than-average management approach, opening the door for a team below the fold. Also, the ranking folks reaaally like James' team. No trades for the Cheetahs (waiting on that name change) this year!
The other consideration to encourage balance is how different these percentages might look in 4-6 weeks. Willing to wager that the playoff field won't be nearly so hard set at that point.
In Closing
Finally, a bit of commish advice that's firmly in the common sense category. Turn over your roster as necessary. Make pickups with upside and find smart trades. Don't be afraid to take a chance on a sleeper. And of course the age-old key: Timing is everything. All 12 teams can win this thing. Just get to the dance and anything is possible.
Thank you for reading this. More importantly, thank you for being in the LOC. For contributing to the league. For staying on this journey. For talking a little smack. For managing your team to the best of your ability, even when so many things aren't in an owner's control. We've got a quality league that is hopefully getting a little better each year. Let's make '22 a season to remember.